WxWatcher007

That’s the recipe for a bulletproof pack, especially with the Arctic hounds apparently being ready to frolic in the region a week from now. Who am I kidding…we’ll probably see a highly anomalous cutter after a monster storm scoots harmlessly out to sea…and an arctic blast finds a way to evacuate just in time for the apps runner. Oh wait. Am I living in a time loop?

Yeah, I figured, but I’m all for thundersleet peeling the paint off my car. What a presentation on IR and radar.

What a beautiful loop. If only

What a nuke that’s detonating over your head. Enjoy and send obs even if some of the weenies here try to exile you lol.

Whiff—>arctic blast—>rainer Can’t make it up lol At least there’s some eye candy.

Awesome. Good luck and safe travels! I love it when you make an appearance If the home cooking is good, it’s an easy call If you’re traveling hours for wx, it should be higher end stuff. Just my humble opinion. I’m no mental health professional, but if lack of snow is causing legitimate mental health challenges—nobody on here is going to alleviate that effectively. That’s serious stuff that requires help, and there’s nothing wrong with getting that help—from a professional.

Best of luck. What’s your seasonal average out there?

We tried to tell ‘em

Be careful what you wish for lol

First map I've seen from BUF. Looks like an absolutely frigid night east of Ontario. Decided against heading west for this one, but with the pattern LEK highlighted earlier, it won't be long until it's WxWatcher Wagons West

Yes. Our sanity.

I was all set with anomalous warmth when the January 2020 blowtorch rolled through. 70 in January is the wrong kind of obscene to me.

I know I'm in the minority lol.

Euro has been a little aggressive with the cold from what I've seen the last few weeks, but that's a big boy Arctic shot. If we're going to screw up all the snow threats, bring on the epic cold.

We kid of course.

See more snow?

Can't make it up Snow is serious business.

He beat me to it! Anyway--even if there is a brief mix I think it's fine. We want a glacier after a synoptic event

Just look at the fronto on the GFS. Thing of beauty. I think the mixing risk is overdone this far inland. Soundings from the GFS @ 84. While ART is absolutely cooking here verbatim, I think each major location has a period of very efficient snow growth. Rates should be quite nice. Maybe not high end LES but plenty good for synoptic.

Setting aside that it's the NAM at range, you see a couple things that stand out here. First, the lift is quite impressive. Whatever falls looks to be heavy. Verbatim, it looks like things are right on the edge aloft with temps near freezing, and I do spy a bit of a warm nose right around 850mb. Not sure I'd be worried about mixing unless we saw the 700mb low screaming right overhead. The globals don't really introduce mixing into the region but has a rather uniform (and beautiful) deformation that traverses WNY.

It’s a hellacious thump lol. There’s some big omega in the soundings within that band.

Yeah, that just looks like high end deformation to me.

Sorry—was just trying to answer the question with the visual lol. Don’t disagree with any of the analysis.