WxWatcher007

I do think we’ll see more. Getting 3’ should happen, but for the higher end stuff I believe I will need tonight or early Sunday to overperform.

These cutoffs are incredible. I’d have 40 easily if the band just stayed one mile north.

I actually don’t know. The hardware store was closed. If I had to guess though, somewhere around 27-28? Area just to my east reported 36 earlier. I don’t think I’ve see that much even with compaction. For my location, an excellent event that could be better if we don’t fumble tonight-Sunday AM. This afternoon was a bust but it could have been a lot worse. I was right on the line.

In between lol. All of the locals know better than me.

Some higher ratio stuff would be great if/when we can get a prolonged band through the metro.

My luck has seemed to run out—being on the edge yesterday and this morning allowed the area to pile up a few feet, but most of the afternoon has been quiet.

I’ve been on the north side and it’s been amazing. The stuff from Hamburg is unreal. This lull sucks I want more snow

Watertown area getting obliterated

2.3 miles to my east reporting 36” total 2.5 miles to my NW reporting 9” Insane gradient

I was out for a while early this morning. Will go back out when things pick up.

Watertown always delivers. Love that place.

Absolute crush job. On northern edge of band and it’s a whiteout looking out my window.

Thundersnow not too long ago

I’m on the northern side of the band, but we are getting smoked.

These cutoffs are insane. You go from nothing to feet of snow in just a few miles. I’ve been on the right side of the line so far. Haven’t gone back outside yet.

Mesoscale Discussion 1957 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CST Fri Nov 18 2022 Areas affected...extreme western New York Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 180658Z - 181300Z SUMMARY...2+ inch/hr snowfall rates are expected to continue with the primary snow band into the mid-morning hours, promoting near-zero visibility and crippling travel conditions. DISCUSSION...A mature snow band, roughly 300 km in length, persists over Lake Erie and is continuing to produce 2+ inch/hr snowfall rates over and just to the south and east of Buffalo, NY. Unidirectional vertical wind profiles oriented parallel to Lake Erie's long axis suggest that the snow band should remain stationary and continue benefiting from a long fetch of ample low-level moisture. In addition, colder temperatures aloft overspreading Lake Erie continue to foster 8-9 C/km low-level lapse rates and 250 J/kg SBCAPE per 06Z mesoanalysis. Given a near-saturated, relatively deep dendritic growth zone and the aforementioned buoyancy, bouts of low-topped convection (perhaps with occasional lightning flashes) should continue to accompany the snow band, along with 2+ inch/hr snowfall rates, particularly with areas closest to the shoreline, where the buoyancy resides. The last few runs of the HRRR and 00Z HREF ensemble guidance also suggest that the snow band and accompanying 2+ inch/hr snowfall rates should persist into at least mid-morning, with crippling travel conditions and occasional bouts of near-zero visibility expected. ..Squitieri.. 11/18/2022

It was an unbelievable drive through the peak of this band into Buffalo a few hours ago. Literally couldn’t see more than a few feet in front at times.

This is WxWatcher007 reporting live from Buffalo, NY, just SW of Cheektowaga. It’s 29° and snowing moderately, and the drive to get here was the most intense of my life.

Where do I sign for the 00z HRDPS? lol

Just catching up. Congrats @Bob Chill, I wish you and your family the best. An enormous amount of work for sure but when you find someone that brings you peace and joy there’s nothing like pursuing it.

32.9/30 We snowed, we pinged, we flipped. .3” on the board. A nice car topper.