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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
  2. WxWatcher007
    15/6/2
  3. WxWatcher007
    It’s been incredibly hazy up here too. To me it’s almost a cloudy day. I miss blue sky.
  4. WxWatcher007
    This system is a great example of why recon is so important. Radar went down and left forecasters with limited ground observation and IR data just as the center collapsed some, making center fixes more difficult. Far from an ideal situation.
  5. WxWatcher007
    There’s a lemon on the potential low along the southeast coast, but it looks to remain non-tropical.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Rapid clearing of the eye now that it’s passing Guam.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Kind of hard to tell from the now out of operation radar, but I don’t think this has collapsed that much given the IR presentation. Obviously not high end 4 but it’s at least a high end 3 I believe especially in the southern part. The track is the bigger issue IMO. Now the northern and western part of Guam is in the surge zone.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Man, very interesting system. That dry air entrainment and ERC hit at the right time and really disrupted the core. Radar showed the northern section of the core pretty ragged before the radar went offline. PGUM reported gusts just shy of typhoon force about 30 minutes ago. It also looks like we got a fairly significant wobble north. Chasing ain’t for the faint of heart, and it takes extra special fortitude to play island roulette as Josh would call it.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Somehow Japanese knotweed has shown up in force along my fence line.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Constant lightning around the eyewall. Such an impressive typhoon.
  11. WxWatcher007
    It’s an absolute buzzsaw on satellite and radar even with an apparent attempt at an ERC.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Big dog headed their way.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Not our basin but there’s an absolute buzzsaw heading for Guam. Showing up on radar now.
  14. WxWatcher007
    In fairness, none of our seasons have been anything to write home about in SNE in recent times.
  15. WxWatcher007
  16. WxWatcher007
    Berg has quit the board. Ran out of patience.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Guidance generally has been hinting at a window for tropical/subtropical development off the SE for a few days now, which fits climo. Doesn’t need to be a well defined system to cause a messy weekend regardless.
  18. WxWatcher007
  19. WxWatcher007
    Just give me a good storm chase and that town can have all my money. Rooting for deluge here. I need a rainy day where I don’t have to be in the yard or going to some event.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Not my cup of tea either, but people also spend thousands for high end sporting events. I guess it just depends on how people value a given experience.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Low of 31.1°. Below freezing for about an hour.
  22. WxWatcher007
    Past peak in June and stick season in July?
  23. WxWatcher007
    Increasing odds of the cat 5 up the bay scenario becoming a reality?
  24. WxWatcher007
    It’s about that time, folks. Will be a while before any MDR activity, but watch for homebrew as we head toward the official start of the season. First hints of potential showing up on operational guidance.
  25. WxWatcher007
    It wasn’t designed until it was well east of NE https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL212021_Wanda.pdf
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