WxWatcher007

Low of 48 up here. Currently 64. It feels like fall and I’m not ready.

Downside up here—short summers. It’s 58.8° here at WXW2. It feels like October.

We have landfall

I need to start whining about the weather more.

After heading a little more north than projected, recon finds a slight SW jog.

Yeah. A big day.

Fortunately moving along…slowly…

Ugly stuff in SW CT

Banner year for southern Connecticut

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF309-0702A-BERTHA.png

Yeah I'm not sure how this one isn't warned while we have a polygon extending all the way up to Ridgefield for a storm in White Plains.

That storm near Carmel, NY absolutely needs a warning.

Definitely at least 50kt based on recon so far. It's interesting how despite getting blasted by shear we're still seeing gradual organization and intensification. This would have probably been making a run toward "minimal" hurricane status if there were even slightly lower shear. Still going to be hard to get there with shear expected to increase further. Hard to intensify substantially with the vortex so misaligned though I guess Barry (which I chased years ago lol) did. You can see despite the organizational trend that it cannot wrap convection around the center. That's a pretty critical piece for significant intensification.

Pretty close to TS status if not already there.

Good to see recon out there for an extended period. The center is kind of meandering out there. You have to wonder if we see additional center reformations near the deeper convection with that northeasterly shear proving to be so strong.