WxWatcher007

Today was not supposed to be this snowy. Just a glorious afternoon.

Words & phrases I don’t want to hear this winter: -Compression -Too much confluence -Not enough confluence -Dual low -Perfect track rainer -Rains to Maines -Hudson runner -D10 -Congrats New Orleans

Day four of snow here. 32.0°

3-11” is a real range now?

Lovely. Not nearly as snowy here, but I already feel like this might be a winter to remember for me now that I'm at some elevation for the first time.

I was right on that first flakes call and maybe I can go 2/2 by saying I do think that it'll be the first week of December that we get some sort of advisory level snowfall for interior SNE. I continue to like the pattern progression. Even though our last few winters have been absolute disasters we've done alright in the first half of December. It's not necessarily that we start slow, it's that we go into epic voids of activity as soon as we get on the board. 1.7" on 12/5/24 4.1" on 12/11/22 1.7" on 12/8/21 2.0" on 12/5/20 (followed up by the KU on 12/16-17) 8.6" on 12/1-3/19 2.8" on 12/11/19

Just light non-accumulating snow here. Deep winter feel though with ice dams everywhere lol.

Happy birthday! Hope all is well with you and your family.

Very cool to be holding at 32° pretty much the entire event. Never mixed. Once the sun set we picked up a quick half inch. For now the precip remains focused on the region.

Euro and GFS has been weird for sure. Maybe it’s just that once you tweak one thing you “break” another? We don’t care if it’s more accurate in the South China Sea if it can’t handle confluence over us. I’m sure the European weenies feel the same way about us lol. In the tropical space though HAFS has been outstanding on intensity and the AI stuff has shown promise. In the Atlantic at least…

Its forecast for Melissa was one of the worst I’ve ever seen for a “top tier” model.

It has been truly horrific lately

I’m going to go stand there when we hit -41 in December. The village did go subzero 20x last DJFM. Interestingly, the coldest day overall was 12/22/24 with an avg temp of -2.1.

Awesome. I’m guessing you clean up nicely there each winter?

Moving into winter mode so probably my final post in this subforum for a while, but wanted to share this. I concur with a lot of the analysis and 2024 certainly factored into my 2025 forecast.