WxWatcher007

As predictable as the sun rising in the east.

Remember this one?

There are going to be some ugly cutters. We had virtually none last year which is unheard of lol.

It didn’t go that way last winter. Y’all cleaned up relative to normal. If they’re raining we’re raining too. Better hope the mix line stays in Long Island Sound.

We have a lemon. Good signal on guidance for some development. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure over the central Subtropical Atlantic. While the environmental conditions are not currently favorable for development due to strong upper-level winds, the system is expected to move into a more favorable environment for some gradual development by the middle to later portion of this week. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the central part of the Subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Katz/Brown

Pretty good chance this is where our next name comes from imo. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Central Subtropical Atlantic: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure over the central Subtropical Atlantic. While the environmental conditions are not currently favorable for development due to strong upper-level winds, the system is expected to move into a more favorable environment for some gradual development by the middle to later portion of this week. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the central part of the Subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Katz/Brown

It’s a southern CT year.

That is an ugly, ugly year here and up at WXW2 it’s catastrophically bad. SE must’ve hit on a scraper that melted down the forum.

While I'm skeptical of anything off the SE coast in the near future, the GDM has a relatively strong signal for something to pop in the subtropics. It does look like parts of the basin will become slightly more conducive in the coming weeks, as more favorable rising motion moves into the basin and shear potentially falls in a narrow region between the Gulf and subtropics.

And September snow for the NNE weenies

What a joke of a model. GFS with weenies for all.

Are there temp and snowfall maps for 82-83/97-98? Well, I know the temp maps are out there.

Couldn’t agree more. We will have our chances.

Very interesting looking at the images from the respective years. This year’s Atlantic has really warmed up compared to earlier in the season though we’re seeing most of the warmth in the subtropics.