WxWatcher007

Interesting. I didn’t know about this one.

Ugly, ugly stuff, @powderfreak. We did better than most but my God. Not the stake, but 23-24 was modestly better. Well, not really. Also, not sure what they were doing with the ranges on this graphic.

November can be explosive too, but we need to get a big push of cold to produce. Expectations are in check for sure. Unlike SNE, the daily stuff seems to be the bread and butter rather than siggy events so we can't afford weeks of nothing. If our cold source is under a Chinook this winter we're cooked. Literally lol. I'm just not convinced yet that we fully blowtorch.

If there's anything we should've learned in recent years, it's that we can't fight the PAC. If it's a disaster, our winter here in the lowlands is a disaster. My head is rarely ever into the preseason winter forecasting stuff, but if I were to hazard a guess I'd say December is a blowtorch, early January many will have canceled winter, and then we see a decent stretch mid to late January into at least half of Feb. We'll have plenty of storm chances with the juiced STJ, so we just need to time things right to produce something.

An all-timer. Easily the most impactful winter wx event, but I think 2013 was my favorite. As I repeatedly say, the Mount Rushmore of CT winter wx events are 1888, 1978, 2011, and 2013.

Tis the season

We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast.

It’s been a long week

I still see obs https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kslk

We got real lucky last winter. There were some insane torches just to our west, especially around Christmas.

First big AI fail it seems with Champi hitting Taiwan.

Don’t you dare jinx us up here in God’s Country lol

Arctic Circle might work too

Josephine comes a day after my peak season period forecast ended, so it won’t count in my Aug 20 - Oct 20 tally.