The antecedent airmass is pretty decent, so if this could track somewhere not through New York State, it would probably start as a plowable event for many
I wouldn’t be spiking any footballs if I were folks up north. If this moves any further west, they’ll be pumping water out of their basements just like the rest of us.
Definitely. Some folks chastising others and calling people weenies for discussing model output; while simultaneously expecting this to suddenly correct hundreds of miles east. Seems legit
It’s definitely a flag to me that a lot of these op runs are on the very western envelope of ensemble solutions. A flag in the sense that the ensembles may be incorrect