bristolri_wx

Agreed. HRRR, FV3, we’re both to cold and snowy. NAM got it mostly right at the end…

That’s a lot of do-do to do…

BOX: “10 AM Update... It would appear that yet again it was the NAM that best caught on to the evolution of the warm nose with this winter system. Correlation coefficient, mping reports, and a plethora of public reports all together tell us that the snow/sleet line has moved as far north as southern Worcester county in central MA and northern Norfolk county in eastern MA. 12Z NAM guidance is right on track with this so the forecast continues to follow that most closely, lifting the mixed precip line as far north as Route 2 or just south by 11am to noon before colder air enters and switches things back to snow by early to mid afternoon. Forecast is largely on track.” More than once it has been mentioned here than NAM is very good it picking up on the mid level warmth in these events…

Plain rain here now. 33. Slop-tastic! If you are posting that you are disappointed with your 6”, just think you could be down here trying to scrape compacted slush off your driveway!

Sleet city here… about 1” of snow and 2” of sleet which means 2.5” of mess. 30 degrees.

https://www.kxly.com/colorado-hooker-pineapple-express-and-other-winter-storm-names/

Right now seems exposed areas have the most wind. Just went to take the dog for a walk and it was quite breezy and you could see the fog/mist blowing through. Considering our normal walk ends right next to a cemetary before we turn around it was quite spooky lol...

About 6” fluff outside. Between this storm, the blizzard, the other 6” in December, and a few very light events we had, I should end up at average or above average for the season here when it’s done…

Is 49/53/57 a furnace? Above normal def. I’m more referring to the 70 degree weather previously mentioned…

Not gonna believe a warm up until we actually see it. The majority of day 10 torches have vanished just as many times as the day 10 blizzards this season since the pattern switch in early January. Sure eventually it will happen but there’s too much flip flopping to believe anything verbatim at the moment.

It’s not scientific, but Mother Nature usually has interesting ways of balancing things out.

2.25” here. Snow picking up again but it’s icy snow borderline sleet. Not sticking to the roads.

About an 1.5” here, very light snow falling at the moment.

Looks like the snow hole is coming up overhead in Eastern RI. Oh wait..

I would prefer to be in Maine, than endure cold February rain, here on the coastal plain. Rain, heavy at times here, 39F.

Aren't these the type of setups where meso's usually do better vs globals? Not mattering to me much here either way, but I feel like the fine line between frozen precipitation and rain would show up more on the meso/hi-res models...

I agree. There’s probably too many breweries out there right now because it’s trendy - same situation here in RI. Not all of them are good and some will close because of it as the market relaxes.

Hmm might get an hour or two of snow out of this. Radar looks robust…

This weather is f-ing terrible. Mix of sleet and freezing rain here, 30 degrees. With a 1/4” of slop on the ground.

Still all rain down here in Newport.

Looks like the temps have dropped 5-10 degrees here in the last hour. Winds shifting to N.

GFS has been gradually catching up. I'm not sure it's been dramatically out-to-lunch at this one. Not really defending it, but it's been correcting northward gradually each run. JMO... All the hi-res guidance looks great for NNE...

HRW FV3 looks good for you as well...