bristolri_wx

Nothing brings on snow more than no snow in the long range ensemble runs! Seriously, as long as it’s cold, there’s a chance something materializes. I would be more worried if they were showing relaxation like earlier in January, which they not look to be, just moderation of a very anomalous cold pattern. Euro weeklies still look decent in terms of pattern, and they have been pretty good this winter in terms of general 500mb conditions/outcomes…

And some freezing of Narragansett Bay… it’s been a while.

Deep winter in Colt State Park in Bristol.

150 miles north west and this board would still be interested... shit happens... pivotal-weather-ecmwf_full-700hv-nwatl.mp4

Nope, no interesting weather to discuss in this topic 6 days out... shit happens... sometimes the margin of error ends up being a big deal. On to the next threat... G19_sector_eus_GEOCOLOR_240fr_20260201-0914.mp4

Expected snowfall: 0.0"

I haven’t seen anything in the last 12 hours that leads me to believe that the forecast is locked in yet. It’s a large complex storm made of moving parts that in some cases haven’t formed yet. The low formation southeast of us is still oscillating to various degrees, which is leading to a wide variety of outcomes, even in the different scenarios that don’t lead to a large snowstorm for us. Impacts in western New England will be low, unless something dramatically changes. However central and eastern NE could be impacted heavily depending on today’s model output. Next 3-4 forecast cycles will probably become more consistent, especially as data sampling of the different parts improve. Most can make their decisions before bedtime this evening.

Considering the atmospheric scenario and the number of moving parts, there's a higher risk for this than usual on a 4 day forecast. I truly wouldn't dismiss any scenario for another 48 hours.

That's a tight gradient... the ultimate melt storm as visualized...

40dbz echoes in that band when it was in your area. Crazy!

Had some whiteout conditions for about 10 minutes…

Holy cow it’s coming down… pounding.

Looks like those other bands are running out of gas as they swing southeast…

Coming down nicely here. Moderate snow, 20 degrees. Maybe I can add on another inch or two to today’s final measurement.

Here comes the grand finale!

Apple Weather App: Is anyone’s current temp way off? Mine has been +5-8 for over 24 hours. Seems like it’s reporting the forecasted temp (which has been off here) or for a location nowhere near me. Multiple devices, and manually picked the locations, and still running way to warm. Anyone else seeing similar?

I don’t believe we got “true” sleet here either. What fell after 9PM was just very icy snow with normal flakes mixed in. I’ve seen sleet here before, and what was coming down was not sleet. Maybe closer to the coast it was more of the normal pinger variety…

Dropped 10 degrees in about 25 minutes. Checked a few PWS and they all show the same when winds switched NW.

Was more interested in a final report from Newport. Around 12?