Torchageddon

I guess today had something, Reed's giddiness and a white cone.

From a little while ago, from Connor McCrorey in Lockett TX. Most photogenic of 2021 thus far:

I was going to say I'm going to miss this April stretch of incredible warmth but maybe not so soon, today was suppose to be a washout with all day light showers but as imagined I discounted the amount and longevity of the precip. My high was bumped an extra 3-4C to 17C and as of 2pm the sun is even breaking out . Weak storms are forming to my south and moving generally NNW which is highly unusual here, also nearly calm winds. Amazing skies out there currently. Edit: reached 18C which is remarkably higher than my set high, also after the weak convection moved through.

A small amount of rain fell overnight and its mainly dried up, the all day light rain has been canned and now its partly sunny to mainly cloudy. The weak showers moving north are weakening and didn't do anything. Tomorrow set to 25ºC again, rain on Sun, then the rain shown for Mon has been tossed as well. The UW Station did reach 20.5ºC at 12:30 pm but I question the non-gradual rise as it was 19.6 at 12:00 pm so meet halfway and you got 20 at 12:15 which is the same first 20 reading of the year 20 years ago right to the minute!!

I'm at 17C 63F so far, Waterloo is 15C and most definitely will reach their first 20C reading so like 2001 it will land on April 8. The time it reached 20 was 12:15 which is early; I'm thinking 1:30 pm for today. Edit: I'm at 24C at 12 and Waterloo at 20C (unknown if its 19.5+ rounded higher or above 20). UW Station updated at 11am but nothing yet on if it reached it.

Just like the heat event in March, this is shaping up to be an incredible stretch IMBY and places just inland from lakes: my high temps continue to be increased where days ago today was set to 18ºC - I'm at 24ºC!! I should've saved my forecast to see the trend because tomorrow is set at 25ºC with a humidex of 27 (80F). I'm guessing the very dry conditions caused this miss and pulled a 2012. Best April warmth event since that early April 2010 but this might edge it out for longevity. The storms last night barely missed me to the SW. I actually got hot outside for the first time and not even during peak sun angle. I'm now able to pretend its mid-summer without a stupid cool breeze popping the bubble of disbelief. As stated above the sky appears to be summer-like with haze and small towers . I checked Detroit's warmest April on record which was 1955 and don't recall 2017 being the 2nd, but then results below have articles from 2018 talking of the coldest April in 143 years .

For the 3rd time so far in 2021 I reached 20ºC (68F) which is 3C over my forecast high! With the next few days' temps continuously being bumped higher can I get a 26C for Thursday? Let's get greedy here.

From a climatic data perspective, what's bothered me is with all the data supposedly available why on earth can't I find out something easy like "What is the warmest April in Ontario's history" or even a specific city!? If you type that question right in Google you only get averages and most results are unrelated . The beginning of the decent warmth is today and I'm even suppose to hit 20ºC+ for two days . Rain chances reduced again for today but storms possible overnight.

I had an interesting afternoon with it being partly sunny at the start, then dark and overcast looking like the chance of showers was going to deliver. However nothing fell and now its cleared with full sun! Got to 50F. When was the last time (anywhere in this sub) that both March and April were not just slightly above normal, but solidly? Unrelated, the latest euro 240h frame can gtfo!

47 years ago this afternoon one of the craziest weather events was underway and I was thinking about the capping that was in the place for Super Outbreak, what would it look like? We know there was early morning storms like 4/27/11 in the south but noon-hour capping is what I'm mainly curious about. This from the AMS journal article revisiting , "An EML prohibited the development of surface-based thunderstorms over most of the warm sector early in the day, steep lapse rates within the EML and the presence of increasingly rich moisture just beneath it were favorable for the production of cold convective downdrafts from existing storms..." I wasn't able to discern the EML (elevated mixed layer) well with the figures provided, its above me. I'm still not solid on EML vs capping despite reading up on that. Some other stats for 4/03/74 include 30 tornado families (supercells?) that comprised 74% of the outbreak’s twisters, and up to 15 destructive tornadoes occurred simultaneously during the event.

The national mosaic is too small on that one, but great for regional. Agreed, I've seen this routinely for overhauls and can't believe someone was paid to ruin something. I tried weather.com interactive radar and it has that idiotic timeout crap and is RAM hungry. The looping is a pain too. Ideally the national mosaic would be unsized and a static image that can be saved via right-click (with a good colour table). You know its bad when folks are phoning in to NWS offices about it

I got to 19C Mon with filtered sun most of the day, which is too bad. It was one last parting shot for one of the best Marches in memory.

I remember now you resided there IIRC, dang. The last 13 hours have been insane.

This is crazy, the UW weather station reached 19.8C and stayed there for 45 minutes before falling back!!! That is the closest to 20C I've ever heard of it getting to during the contest with the previous highest 19.7C . I almost wonder if the station even was functioning properly because it seems like a stretch for it to stay exactly at 19.8 for that long. The page wasn't updating for over a hour so who knows, I wouldn't be surprised to see a revision tomorrow where it hit 20C and the highest 24h tally didn't catch it or something. I was thinking based on yesterday's high and the increment from Tues that it would get to 19.6C so not bad . 2021 will not be the 5th year for 20C in March since the contest started in '98 and its been since 2012. I'm rooting for June this time!

TUSCALOOSA AL-BIBB AL- 1227 PM CDT THU MAR 25 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN TUSCALOOSA AND CENTRAL BIBB COUNTIES... AT 1227 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LOW GAP, OR 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TUSCALOOSA, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! Holy crap that was fast, I was off by 23 minutes too late

Any guesses on when the first "large and extremely dangerous tornado" warning comes out during today's severe? I'm going with 1:50 pm EDT or 12:50 CDT. Also I'm really missing that NWS national radar mosaic .

I'm getting my first sort-of thunderstorm of 2021 which tbh I didn't expect despite TWN putting one for this evening out FMBY. After the first string of cells moved north, hours later more cells are firing near the lakeshore and moving quickly NE with lightning. I saw a few flashes and can hear moderate thunder, pretty amazing March this is!

The air smelt great for the first (or second) time this year with another 19C+ in the bag. The evening was beautiful as if it was mid-summer, with towers in the distance and the sky glowing. There was a string of cells that formed nearly on top of me at 6 that produced a few sprinkles like earlier but just missed. Likely legit t-storms to my north. Around here getting a storm in March is a twice in a decade occurrence at most. UW station hit 19.2C later in the day, I'm really wondering if it makes it tomorrow, which out of this stretch is the most likely day to get to 20C.

The rain that was suppose to start at 11:20 fizzled out! Predictable. The 4-5 mm expected is reduced to <1 mm for my point. I haven't seen a drop of rain so far this year.

My temp is skyrocketing the last 90 minutes from 12C-18C (65F) . I'm now expected to reach the almighty 20C mark this afternoon first of the year and if confirmed first since 2012 for March. Filtered sunlight but getting brighter the last few mins. Every day my high is bumped another 1-2C as originally today was 15C.

Best weekend weather-wise so far with 100% sun and 54F yesterday; already at that point late this morning. High of 61F which will be the second highest temp this year. The next 4 days with highs around 64F and mainly sunny (something we hold precious here near the lakes in early Spring) will probably be the best period since 9 years ago . Waterloo is nearly at 19C on Weds and Thurs so the first March 20C reading since 2012? I drew some weak comparison to March 2007 and reaching 20C around the same date would be an additional similarity.

I just checked it out after a long hiatus and wow jeez its terrible now, I've been dreading this. I may have missed the topic where this is discussed but I'll state that they destroyed it like most things are eventually. It's just another lame interactive radar now with cutoff graphic panels and a mess of an overlay. I don't have active GRLevel and national view so I really don't have a main US radar anymore; a part of the fun of following active severe is now gone. I was going to joke about the message on their redirect page referring to the degraded web application and not to look into the color table, but I don't think the NWS would like that

Weds felt surprisingly cold despite reaching 60F since it was gloomy, but the big day yesterday was fantastic and was a nice homage to the kick-off to the greatest 10 days of weather I've ever experienced 9 years ago on the 11th. I didn't reach 68F but got to 64F with far more sun than I expected which made for the first true Spring day. The high winds didn't ruin it either. The clouds had "character" again. My snow pack was slightly above avg before the melt and with yesterday's high winds with 64F temps it was the fastest melt I've seen maybe ever but certainly since 14 years ago same time. I'm down to 10 inches depth from 40 inches just days ago. I wish I took photos each day to compare. Today's high was 6C, I've surpassed it already at 7C! Wet snow flakes for later were removed .

Adding to the discussion on the lack of rain, its the same here where scant rain that is forecast has never materialized this last week, I thought mid-week was going to be a wash-out and it turned out virtually nothing fell! It enhanced the warmth we had. Yesterday's storms that my point was flip-flopping on 6 times obviously didn't produce like it did south of me. I welcome the very sunny conditions, its about time we had a good March.

I got the lion.