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About Torchageddon

Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
CYKF
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Midwestern Ontario
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Interests
All Weather (Tornadoes, Tropical Cyclones, Severe, Heat Waves, Lake Effect Snow, etc.), All Climatology (Statistics, Anomalies, etc.), Computers, History, Geography, Musicology, Video Games, Brain Science
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Sat nights are the new storm times. Last week I got my 22nd storm late into the wee hours of Sun but tonight it may be a dud. The line was broken and I hit the gap. At 8 it was eerie darkness like a sickly pale colour in the sky - my unit showed 0 lux but seemed brighter than that. Despite the clouds the air was great like cottage wood mix with grass trimmings. 27C for a high.
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2018 was the year when my first t-storm or thunder was in late Aug, nada before that! After all these years I still can't believe it. Total opposite this year, I'm at 20 and its not even a 3rd of Aug done with. Storms have been weak this summer. Got to 30C/86F first time in a min I saw good sunlight again. A long lived heat event is starting!
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I had my 20th storm of 2025 this aft but it sort of went to my east, just got sprinkles and long, soft rolling thunder for 30 mins. 140 strikes. It was the very rare due south dir cells. Crickets started yesterday. Mostly cloudy today and with all the smoke its becoming less sunny now, oof!! That 10 day last week showing mostly sunny for the next period here really busted not just for smoke blot but typical cloudiness.
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Overperformed to 27C/80F with low dews and fresh air on Fri. For a few days now WUN has 30C/86F continuously maybe starting Mon if we exceed by 2, all the way til the last slot on Mon the 11th! What a magnificent stretch it'd be.
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Summer 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Torchageddon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I deem that I'm on the ring of fire as my rain is coming from storms; the few times I got steady it was less than 4mm and lasted a few hours this summer. The ground got wet Sat and now no rain forecast for 12 days, I extolled my 10-day in the other thread showing mainly sunny every single day, 2 days later its still showing this with the Euro to support. -
Its been a bit of a cloudy weekend but it cleared early this aft, humidity in control. A very rare 10-day from WUN showing mostly sunny the whole way through!! Blessed. I checked a 10-day I saved from Jul 16 and found that it correctly predicted the storm I had Thurs 8 days out. Even the exact amount of rain (9mm)!! I was a bit higher for temps at 33C with DP at 27C. Low was .7C off from recorded.
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Got a solid squall line quickly move through, 19th storm of 2025. 9mm in 35 mins, 230 strikes all CC. Finally saw a shelf cloud and fantastic hues of blue. What might be the most impressive part was how dark it got at 5:30, 100 lux!! 34C/93F for a high, windy again. I didn't find it all that humid but there was a humidex of 43. I enjoyed it and made an effort to be outside to take it all in.
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The impossible happened: on what was suppose to be a mostly clear sunny hot day, I woke up at 7 to see dark overcast!! For 9th in a row that comes to 0.00052% - this is incomprehensible. Now the caveat is what range in the morning to use as this morning isn't quite so long for darkness. At 815 there were bluer skies coming in a bit to the west but the sun was mostly covered and new clouds generated over me as of 850am. I've used up to this point 6am-10am but the majority of these Thurs mornings have been overcast til noon at least. I could increase my % to 35-40% to reflect less time in the dark but that muddles this. I checked my own records for mornings even before May 22, which fortuitously I keep track of. May 15th was partly cloudy, but the previous 3 Thur mornings were all dark overcast!! The last clear Thurs morning I had was all the way back on April 17!!! Only 1 out of the last 13 had partly cloudy with sun, WTF!? As you go back into mid-spring the chances of an overcast morning skyrocket but nearly 13 in a row, come on....
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While the south sweats, it was nice here with the heat event just starting. It was 30C/86F but my station was higher by a suspicious margin. Lots of clear skies this week, perfect air and breeze for days. Shaping up to be the best wx week of 2025?
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I got down to 9C/48F for a low, by far the coolest of the summer. Nice air with some moisture from Thurs' light rain. High of 27C.
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This is now the 8th overcast/rainy Thurs morning in a row (during the clearest months, during a hot/slightly drier regime). I'd love to know what the statistical odds of this are but my local historical data sucks plus I wouldn't ken how to go bout figuring it. I assumed around 20% of such a morning - when stacked for 7 in a row it was at 0.013%!! Now at 0.0026%...
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I knew there was a high aqi, saw the milk sky too but wanted to cycle. As soon as I stepped foot out there, my sniffer catching the stench of rank plastic and ash, I nope'd and turned right back inside. First this year and 3rd time in my life I surrendered to air.
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This is a torrid day, I was out at 8am walking for a few mins and I was yet hot. Among the most humid mornings of 2025. By 11 it was already 31 hum of 39. Point of 32C - I add 3C to whatever value so I may have a 35C/95F day coming up. Strong storms fore by eve. Body temperature rising
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1-2" was forecast yesterday, all the storms and rain formed to my N and NE but very close. We didn't get anything! Another huge bust I was under a 80% chance.
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I have a good one, WUN hourlies for today has 32mm/1.26" in 1 hour at 1pm! A repeat of Jun 27 where I got the most rain in a storm tallied - 38mm in under 2 hr? For the day 1-2" rain with small hail possible.