DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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Aldie, isn’t that where creighton farms is? That place looks amazing.
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I’m with you on that window Bob, just told my buddy I think after Feb 6th is when our next “prime” window comes into play. It’ll be one of the coldest stretches between now and then that we’ve had in a LONG time. In general; interested to see how this winter ends wrt anomalies on temps. Going to be a shame up in there parts if we end up at 60% to climo snowfall given these temps.
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The north/northeast winds are kicking up pretty quickly here. Some snow still mixed with heavy sleet which is picking up in rate now.
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If we had good returns over us right now; we’d definitely still be getting good snow. It’s light snow mixed with pingers.
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Good news is with these rates even when pingers mix in, we’ll have such a solid precip rate we should continue some good accumulations. @wxmeddler or @MillvilleWx what’s the ruling on measurement when p-type changes to sleet? Do you clear your measurement location? I know sleet is counted as SN in records, so need a refresher course.
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Hardest rates of the storm right now in those yellows near the M/D line. Hoping we can get 2 more hours of this to hit the 10” mark.
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Over 5” here and rates are about 1.5”/hr. Dumping, 13 degrees.
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@MillvilleWx some aren’t getting great ratios, but I’d estimate in excess of 15:1 up our way so far. It accumulated extremely efficiently when it wasn’t heavy, now in SN+ it’s basically a fog.
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You care to elaborate? 16 here with moderate snow, small flakes. 1/2” or so
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I should remind myself the radar there also doesn’t pick up much of the action coming over the mountains.
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Truthfully, I’m not too bullish on the radar at the moment. Seems spotty and scattered.
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Soft reminder to everyone of the 3k Nam and 12k vs actual in Arkansas today, 0 forecasted by the models vs >5” that fell.
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I guess I woulda been better 5 miles west of here on the other side of blue ridge summit? Haha
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Great spot indeed, similar zone to my yard. I had us basically at the border of 7-11 & 9-13, so our calls line up well. Definitely has some boom potential if we get the QPF outputs of the 18z suite.
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Don't you dare talk that dirty talk to me friend Where did you decide on setting up?
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Huge DGZ for us.
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Having map issues at the moment, so I'll give point forecast and ranges, I feel there will be a tight gradient on this one and the mix line will push north up through DC relatively quick but not all the way to PA with that much vigor. DC: 4-6" (closer to 6 in NW DC) Annapolis: 4-6" Baltimore: 6-8" Frederick: 7-10" Westminster: 7-10" Bel Air: 7-10" Winchester: 7-10" Hagerstown: 9-13" (right on the border of 7-10/9-13) York: 9-13" Gettysburg: 9-13"
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It got warmer the last 2 runs vs earlier, like it always does once it gets under 12 hours. It ALWAYS looks good at hr 18
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Did I miss your forecast map/call?
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Looks dry Thanks PSU
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I wish I knew why that saved as the smallest map of all time.
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Making a final call map, does anyone have a blank map for me to use over MD, PA, VA? I don't have the same archived map DB i used to
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14 degrees here at the moment. Don’t hate these temperatures.
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Models all on board minus the Nam, let’s cave for shits and giggles at 0z for poetic justice.
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
DDweatherman replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Even the icon improved. AIFS has been strong for us during this too. Some of the mesos beefed up this afternoon. Nams need a 0z cave.
