Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,754

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    While we wait: This is a silly sounding. A weenie's nightmare
  2. olafminesaw
    The WPC leans more towards the GFS, FWIW
  3. olafminesaw
    The WPC agrees, the players are in place, it's hurry up and wait time
  4. olafminesaw
    I'm definitely slightly conflicted, trying to travel around the holidays. The 6z GFS drops a few inches on us the night before we leave (probably freezes solid under), snows on Christmas in PA, then we get dumped on again when trying to travel back. If that happened we'd probably be staying home for Christmas.
  5. olafminesaw
    If I was a betting man, I'd put my money on the storm behind the storm being better for us. That's usually how it works out anyway.
  6. olafminesaw
    Y'all. Take a deep breath and step away from the models for a bit. We won't really know much about what's going to happen for another few days
  7. olafminesaw
    4 run trend
  8. olafminesaw
    I know I know, this one's free to access, otherwise I would of course have picked higher of kuchera or 10:1
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    Hmm, getting back in the game again as alluded to yesterday?
  12. olafminesaw
    Now hitting the south end of town
  13. olafminesaw
    It's frustrating, because at the surface this looks like it's setting up for something really good. Then it gets suppressed to oblivion
  14. olafminesaw
    Yeah, unfortunately southern stream systems have been getting squashed. Not much from ensembles to suggest optimism for this system right now, but as you say, bears watching. It's right in that optimum window where if the plinko chip jumps to the left, we're in business.
  15. olafminesaw
    The whole us freezes
  16. olafminesaw
    I also feel like the constant stream of systems prevents the blocking from ever progressing far enough East. Every low either gets squashed by the HP to the West or pulled north by the system ahead of it.
  17. olafminesaw
    Any snow before Christmas is bonus snow. Let's wait until then and see how the pattern shakes out, once the Arctic air has been established. If we continue to get pushes of cold air, we're bound to score eventually (even if we have to wait until mid January)
  18. olafminesaw
    Still a long shot on the table for the upcoming weekend
  19. olafminesaw
    Our next system to watch is this coming weekend. Looks suppressed for now, but definitely worth keeping an eye on:
  20. olafminesaw
    Don't know if I've ever seen an ensemble run this anomalous at this range
  21. olafminesaw
    Meh. It was probably never going to be our storm, at least if you wanted any snow. The 18z Euro has a stronger HP though, so we shall see if a bit of an ice storm can still develop
  22. olafminesaw
    Merry Christmas
  23. olafminesaw
    I've noticed the GFS had been unrealistically bombing out coastal storms lately. Seems like a 970mb low deepening that quickly is just a tad unrealistic. A weaker storm would mean rain for the coastal plain
  24. olafminesaw
    Just a little different
  25. olafminesaw
    Perhaps, flooding rains before the cold moves in (pretty decent amounts for a smoothed mean)
×
×
  • Create New...