olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Like a tube of toothpaste. Squeeze down one end with the high pressure (over the southern plains) and it pops out on the other side (amplified coastal low).
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It certainly is concerning, especially for anyone who gets ZR, with near record cold behind it. Thankfully snow shouldn't be wet and sleet is not really a concern from a power outage standpoint. I do anticipate a good deal of confusion from the general public on this point because the thinking goes: sleet is ice an ice causes power outages?
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I used to work for a company that does snow removal and they said the 4" of compacted snow+sleet in 2022 was harder to deal with than the foot of snow we got in 2018. Schools will be closed for a solid week in many places
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Stop the count! Hopefully the North trend stops today. I take comfort in the general bias of models to overdo phasing and make systems more progressive lately. Not sure if that rule of thumb will hold with the pattern change
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6z Euro a touch colder. Massive run for the Northern half of NC
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Just look at the trend on the GFS. I feel confident sleet will cut into our totals, at least somewhat. However, with the trend towards slower/amplification/the breaking down of the HP, QPF has increased as well. I certainly wouldn't complain about 8" of snow and an inch of sleet on top
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The EPS is a bit wetter and warmer, but no big changes. Jackpot zone Northern NC/the southern half of VA
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I think it depends on the algorithm, pivotal seems to count ice as snow on the snow depth, so I would use Kuchera.
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GEFS a bit south, big picture comparison
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Seems to be delayed with the primary impulse which has been the trend lately. I think it's going to be a good run for many
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Yeah a bit north/weaker HP on the GFS so far
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Icon jumps south of 12z
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The glacier will hang around until Easter
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Just textbook
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All but a sliver of VA in double digits is wild. The footprint of this thing is nuts. Very 2010
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Let the south bleed begin only to swing back north and crush us all in the last 48 hours
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Seems like half the social media weather community is people from the Northeast who will defend any model that shows what they want to see
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Seems to be running now
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WPC likes the southerly track
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You're in a great spot for this one!
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That run very reminiscent of the January 2022 storm in terms of the wedge
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GFS
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Euro trends WRT the ridge
