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HIPPYVALLEY
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Everything posted by HIPPYVALLEY
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I got 2" of snow from that. I almost blew a gasket when Ginx made a reference to that wrt Sunday's storm. -
You will average close to 60” in Brattleboro,
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Plus from Brattleboro you can drive to some deep snow spots in under an hour! Hit me up if you have any questions about the valley from Brattleboro to Northampton,
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Might be some mid-level surprises too. I know we won’t jackpot in NW MA, just need 4”+ to make it worthwhile.
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Greenfield and Brattleboro have similar outcomes in these events. It’s nice to have someone new and local on the board. Since you’re transplanted from the South, I’ll welcome your snow enthusiasm to balance my jaded commentary, when everyone East of us is doubling our totals in some of these events.
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Everyone W of the River needs to keep expectations in check. I'll wait until Friday to to see what the chances of warning snows here are.
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The 7th will be a little more tenuous for the Greenfield to Brattleboro corridor. We will be a little bit too far northwest. May end up with crappy snow growth on the easterly flow.
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Take it to the January thread you two.
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@RUNNAWAYICEBERGdecided to be out of town for that one so he is due!
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Congrats to all on the mid-January GFS blizzard.
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That's a lot to ask for with that spacing. I don't disagree, just not high odds.
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2-3" of fluff would still be a win.
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Flatter and weaker is the scenario you want to avoid. Watch the 500mb charts.
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The problem is that some of today's model solutions are a trending towards a bit flatter than we ideally want to see for a system that has trended towards less impressive with regards to dynamics. We still have 24 hours to turn it around but a weak, sheared out system is definitely on the table. Let's hope we stabilize towards a model consensus for general 2-4" broadbrush across SNE. Nothing to write home about but a win for everybody with some lolli's.
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Unfortunately that weaker sauce scenario may set the table for the 10th to cut hard into the lakes. Still another day of model runs for this to come around but by tomorrow the sampling should be solid enough for us to have a good idea of what’s going to happen.
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Nice run for SW CT through Boston, a little stingy N of there but maybe some mid-level goodies for some to the NW. Don't really want to see this trending S tho'...
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Goal posts will be pretty well set by Thursday 12z.
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Yeah, maybe. I would rather see the thermals a degree or two cooler though but we get what we get.
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Yeah, long duration -SN is not going to get it done for a lot of folks.
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Don’t want a stronger follow up kicking it out too quickly though. During the day Sunday everybody will need to see some decent rates for a time to get a region wide 3-4”.
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Nor should anyone ever be but weenies gon’ weenie. Let’s see by tomorrow night if it is looking sheared out at all and what interference the trailing wave is creating.
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I’m always a little concerned with SE and weaker. Hopefully start to dial things in by this time tomorrow.
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That's obviosly not a final solution but that's a S of Pike special verbatim.
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This is why I’ve never understood people being superstitious about being in the bull’s-eye five or six days out. Who cares as long as you’re seeing a potential snowstorm modeled?
