HIPPYVALLEY

I’m gettin’ smoked I think. Could be biggest since 2013 here.

Been years it seems.

Rare setup where we rock the waa thump then get into the secondary area of good lift in the W zone. Not measuring inches yet because best banding could set up a little further W of here.

Wow, been out all day, but Franklin Co. looking well situated for this one!

You’re right, might be indicating the western banding placement from coastal.

Every model does that. If I only got .3” qpf I would set the snow blower on fire.

The entire CRV went on Boxing Day.

I told you to buy a house in Petersham!

I’m not too concerned, it’s not like there’s models showing this screaming due E off Cape May. Confidence high in low end warning snows N of Pike.

Trend not your friend? Again don’t lock anything until at least 0z tonight.

Or significantly NW.

Sleet getting to MA border for a bit wouldn’t be surprising, we know how that warm tongue often over performs.

I think so. A lot of models indicating some good banding out this way for a time when the coastal gets going.

I'll commit after tonight's model runs. Mid-levels looking pretty cold though, at least up this way and QPF looking solid just about all of SNE. Watching for any jogs N today.

He may still end up lamenting not being at his old location

I think pt 2 is what we wait until tomorrow’s runs to figure out.

Up my way we’ll be counting more on the first round waa thump to get us warning event, I don’t want to rely on where the best dynamics are from a developing Miller B that closes off too soon.

You’ll be cursing the N trend this time tomorrow.

This could be a CT special but nothing to fret about unless we trend through tomorrow night.

Not that Canadian and GFS are overly useful but they seem to show the N and S goal posts.

We just went from a few drops to +RA in about 30 seconds. Wasn't expecting that.

The Canadian was pushing that theme yesterday.

ICON is trying to put a pretty friendly H over Ontario/Quebec so we'll see how that plays out the next day or two.

As you know, WNE love us some SWFE's. They are the only really lock for decent snows W of the River.

You are leagues ahead of me with sensible wx knowledge, I was just going on climo experience and staring at a bunch of multiple hour model runs today. What I saw was coastal hugger or a slightly suppressed push E and weak dynamics with the perfect BM solution being a more tenuous resolve. I have not bought my winter model subscription so I don’t see high res hour by hour so I am detail ignorant. I am just trying to learn and have fun at the end of the day. edit: to clarify I looked at a bunch of 500 and 700mb maps trying to look for trends.