jaysoner

Do you think those bands over eastern LI are likely to make it to NNJ intact?

I hope you're right..

I'm in it. Southern Bergen Co. Been straddling both sides of moderate for the past 40 minutes or so.. It's picked up a little over the past few minutes though.

What's going on with the subsidence over N NJ? Is it expected to continue/keep growing or dissipate?

Even under a travel ban due to weather, travel is generally considered legal if it's essential or urgent. Yes legally you can be cited for traveling, but bans are generally intended to discourage travel so that emergency and snow clearing operations are less impeded. They're very rarely enforced. It's not just the city, several nearby counties in southern NY and Long Island are also under travel bans.

Gonna need more reasoning to dispel the consistency with the majority of all the other models, meso and global. Not saying it's impossible, it just seems unlikely at this point, and an outlier solution.

All of NJ is now under blizzard warnings, which extend well into PA. So is all of the Upton forecast area. The total area covered must be about 25,000 sq mi.. from Delmarva tip, to border of Maine. Anyone remember the last time there were such extensive blizzard warnings?

NYC: 17.8 LGA: 19.9 ISP:23.5 JFK:20.6 EWR: 20.5

NYC: 17 LGA: 17 ISP:23 JFK:20 EWR: 16

Is the NAM running yet?

New York City: 2.5" Boston: 14.5" Philadelphia: 2.5 Washington DC: 1.5" Hartford: 13" Albany: 19.5" Your city: Hackensack, NJ: 3"

Can someone post UKIE Kuchera?

6, about to go into 7

it's 32 now, down from 33-34, here in southern Bergen county. Started off as drizzle, then sleet/rain, sleet/snow, now it's all snow, quite heavy with flakes of all sizes. I haven't seen it snow this hard since the feb 1-2 2021 nor'easter. I'm hoping it can break 2 inches here before turning to slush. 10 years ago I'd be happy with no less than 8 inches, now i'm pleading for a quarter-that. Strange times.

Winding down here in southern Bergen County. Slightly less than 1.5 inches. Half of the storm was rain/graupel, and after that, any 15+ dbz banding that made it up here seemed to break up rather quickly. Not surprised.

Here in southern Bergen county we have almost a coating of graupel here on grass and rooftops, some rain has mixed in from time to time, and is currently mixed in right now, it looks to be possibly be ending here within a minute or two, or at least a break for a few hours. I think even the lower-end forecasts of 1-3" are overdone for near here imo. Not being a weenie. I don't mind either way, and I have work tomorrow.

What is this implying? That the Bahamas will see a several inches of snow too, and even Aruba should see at least a coating? He's the worst weather clickbait channel on youtube. He keeps doing it because it's profitable. People want snow, and someone will step in to fill the demand for lies. Even if, right now, there's a better chance of something happening within the next 10 days, the clown's been doing this -at least- ever since he started popping up in my feed in mid-august.

What service or app is that?

You know what they say about broken clocks

Oh God he's the wurst. He's literally 2000 in a human costume. Really tho has got his own agenda never listen to him

I'm a lurker here and not as well versed in meteorology as most of you, but it's still striking, the mental acrobatics I see from some people in order to convince themselves of a far rosier nor'easter scenario than what's likely. General weather pattern, Teleconnections, statistics and history, previous and recent model performance especially in the context of other models' output, are ignored and some people end up with their hopes dashed. For instance, last night I saw someone here post a detailed wishcast Which called for 24-36" for NYC/NENJ AND 24-48" LI. I understand the urge to fantasize but it's good temper your expectations.

What do you guys think this will score on the NESIS scale? 6.5 - 7?

Really glad the metro area is getting a long overdue crushing, really hoping for some banding to set up over Bergen county at some point though. It's been since boxing day blizzard that I've seen sustained banding in the southern tip of the county. Idk if its topography or luck. Eyeballing about 6" so far by the way. Gonna measure in a few, ill update, hopefully It's more tho

Nice banding setting up in north-central New Jersey. I really hope it makes its way up another 10-20 miles to at least southern Bergen county

Southern Bergen county- seems like after 1am it went back to all snow, every time I awoke during the night and popped my head up to look outside the streetlamp was illuminating a heavy wind-driven snow. Hard to tell how much more has fallen just by looking outside, but it doesn't seem like too much. Went to bed with 5" and however much sleet, Hoping for about 10" total but not holding my breath.