Typhoon Tip

It's called labile hypertension ... those that run a bit high, run a bit hot - lol... It is 44 average around the home stations within a mile or two of mi casa... But the wind is about as close to legit nill as is molecularly possible - ... flags motionless... under about the purest clearest blue imaginable. April sun cannot be denied! Out putsing around the yard ,... more so assessing and surveying what it'll need for now. But in a sweatshirt and some halfhearted commitment to picking up debris, some raking, ...bit of clipper detailing here and there, this weather it really defines and underscores the "naperil" appeal - classic faux warm day. Does not feel that chilly at all. The 12z GFS operational run is - quite ironically - putting up close to top 10 days both Wed and Thu now... Thicknesses (500 mb) surpassing 540 dm by a goodle number, with by then the equivalent of September 4th sun ( for perspective), and 850s creeping to +5 ... and light wind, and low ceiling sigma level RH ...etc..etc... should by busting MOS and tickling 70 again with limited flag wobbling spring fever as wildly more contagious pandemic in the region than this recent dystopian cinema ever was.. .LOL

At ~ 58 million full vaccination count as of this morning, ... or ~ 17.5% of the U.S. population, I am curious at what percentage ranges ( be it 30, 50 ...70 ) do we see statistical curves break/respond? The first curve I'd like to see break toward less is the persistent 60 to 70K new cases per day. I check every evening while in my own doomscrolling daily dosing .. That number doesn't seem to modulate up or down by much. We witnessed the intrawinter wave that was modeled, and along with that, thank god for CNN's "ethical" cause, the fear that pumped another few billion into their dystopian rage. But that wave came and went; the new cases per diem crashed. Now in the last 20 days..it appears to not really be declining. At 58 to 72 K per day, it seems to just be bouncing around in that range. I'd like to know at what full vax count do we see it actually slope negative - as in like all the sudden, 50K ... then 40K ...30K ...without returning, across that break point.. That might be an indication that this herd thing is getting close. This is not going as fast as it was touted to go, a month ago. I remember a lot Biden optimism then that we'd have half the population vax'ed by the end of April or mid May, and in projecting the last 2 weeks of percentages, ...I think that falls short of 50% by a significant margin. Plus, among the various texting groups I belong to, there is a way around preferential restriction due to dose logistics. Namely, that toward the end of days ... doses of the vaccine have to be thrown out if unused. Seems there is sloppy management of supply and demand connection there .. but be that as it may, if one shows up at the end of shift rotation and asks if there were any 'no shows,' or left overs..etc., they are quietly administered and shown the door - thanks for helping us not waste vaccine - and they're out. Lol, meanwhile I'm sure there are those rocking in wait to get theirs. I've made it the last year without getting this thing, and so ... seems 'reasonable' that relative to whatever I am doing, so long as I don't deviate much I should make it .. - it is likely I can make it the next two weeks... at which point for Mass it opens up to general population above 16.. That all said, I'm am wondering if that is the same or close across most states - those dates? Because the bell curve of population mass is in fact inside that 16 to 60 age range, so when that time comes, we may see an acceleration of the vax rates.

yup ... low levels cold is offsetting an april sun's ability to diurnal destabilize - that s pretty damn impressive -...although we do now have strata streets here -

Lol... so long as 'ending' means for the World - cuz... you or me or J-zee could be immunized for f'n Rabies ...doesn't matter. Unless the society scope and scale rejoins to f'n in the streets - ... we're still nightmaring this masked distancing .... shut in life style, paranoid as "enabled" germaphobes in a bullshit delusion that we can actually live in a veritable cesspool (Earth's biome ) ...detached from that same cesspool. Idiocracy is what happens when human conceit gets in the way of reality - But it's worth pointing out because... there's already attempts by big media to social engineer this as never ending. We could have 96 % population density immunization against the C-19 and all variants, and plied fear and paranoia will still have us 'sheeple' with imposed upon liberties -

you know it's cold when it can't even self-destruct

Ah yes... classic April. There's still a monster signal for the 10th through the 15th of the month ...but the race is on. Does celestial mechanics ( ...the Earth going around the sun and shit...) save us by insolation ( sun's radiation ) destroying the atmospheric signal by thermal washing?? I say it will... Here's why - because everyone asked of course... One thing I am noticing in looking up 1987 and 1977 and 1996 ..and 1997 ... 1982, 1984 ...etc...is that these were "timing" created, almost all of them. Feature had to time right, synoptic in scale, to get them to happen. That by nature of critical window ...cannot really be resolved by even present day state-of-the-art in numerical guidance technology. Such that D12 signal that requires lower tolerance timing of major players, cannot be accurately modeled - not without a lot of luck! The cold plume has to sever from mid riff Canadian latitudes and get ingested into the 850-700 mb layer framework in most cases, in a critical 12 hour lead into those bigger spring events of lore, and if it is outside that 12 hours they lose that cold edge... Anyway, I think we have a big signal for what everyone wants, 'a massive 12" blue bomb snow,' ... which is a certainly a good canvas, but that secondary need to better timing is a blind dicier roll as to whether it will be occur or not. It's interesting... You need both - But the problem is that out of all probabilities, the one with the certitude is that the sun is getting stronger and the thermal scrubbing of the atmosphere IS happening...and it gets more so in time. SO, until such time as any perfectly timed severed cold plume can get entangled into a system comes into short range as a real offset potential... gotta go ahead and assume this is apropos for how this season has gone anyway: great signal, that is equally greatly lost.

I wonder if any one or source has put together a 'SBCAPE and CAPE climate' ... like, graphically showing it bulge and recede through the calendar year. I can visualize it as growing from late Feb... S. TX and FL at first, expanding edging into the Gulf states early March... etc. By April 1st ...the northern edge of say the 500J/KG has crept N to about the Missouri Boot-heel ...over to Tennessee say... with the regions south gradated to deeper purple tones for every 200J/KG increasing... such that by May 1...it's down right passionate around the coastal Bend of TX ... the Florida peninsula ... over to Baton Rouge and NORA.. where a sunny fair day just normally ambiently 2500. The 500 by then is up to central MN to Lowe MI and PA... ( spit ballin') Mind you, that is not a product telling us what warm sector intrusion J/KG values are ...just the daily average. Such that getting a 500 to MI - NY - MA ... is actually an indication that there are 1000 J/KG days sprinkled in...etc...etc... Then, in August the perennial continental drying and vegetation sedation begins ...and the colorization starts to recede S... such that by October ...it is almost gone...except there is a weird kind of secondary autumn tornado/severe weather curve that does elevate before the season truly does flat line in November - perhaps in that two to three week period ..the CAPE may flash slight polarward by some minor percentage. Mind you...I am imagining that - LOL. I mean it seems pretty easy - I'm sure something like that exists already. Pure mean CAPE and SBCAPE as a longer termed statistical average relative to date. But then again...CAPE is single parametric couched in with other collateral dependencies, in order to really mean much... that's why over eastern OK ...I've seen CAPE nearing 7000 J/KG ..yet, CIN so extreme the day is open blue sky there. It may not bare as much importance as a stand-alone metric like that so .. perhaps of more importance to the interest of excruciating nerds with borderline Asperger social dimming ...hahaha

The surface evolution in some of these recent runs is starting to do that spring normalization thing ...where it looks way less ominous compared to the mid levels

Gosh ... I thought for sure we’d get at least a flurry here in Ayer. Huh. Nadda Maybe that day of squalls really was the last sentence

I think there's a trend here to improve away from a bottom barrel pattern though - Probably we've been over-selling the 'glumness' of it - I know I have... heh. I don't trust April and hate and despise it, too - so somewhere in there might slip objectivity from time to time. But, I was looking that 300, 500 and 700 mb RH fields in the GFS and frankly, it's debatable whether that vortex - in that guidance 12z - even impacts much. This Euro is weird ...it's trying to plume a heat anomaly into the Lakes while we contend with rotting polar wound air with that thing ..but it's also attempting/hinting narrow escapes. We'll see.. It won't warm... it's a matter of how shitty and hopefully less.

Yeah ...and most just sit on that transfer of wealth while the vitality of the whole system teeters ...and the countless untold stories of suffering at per capita level because the vaster majority have no personal advocates - But everyone knows, including those cha-chinging, that they are out there ... and, the suffering and systemic econcomic collapse is out there ...while they reap and keep it quiet. It's my point, .... capitalism without consciousness ...

It's the broom stick and the 11 year old vs the paranoid yellow jacket nests among ... LOL In a pure arithmetic sense of it, as in "math" removes any human conception, conceit and/or designed variance therein ... those orgs that defaulted as robber barons for dumb luck being in the right place at the right time .... the ZOOM social media platforms, the Mask makers. Hygiene this... and BIG MEDIA ( holy shit on the latter!), including those on your list there, all of them, they should have their records pulled. Yeah capitalism is all good, but extraordinary circumstances should really count - not when it means the vitality of the same system that operates that capitalism. You can reap the system and give nothing back - that is called what a class? 'a PARAsite' In an ideal fantasy of ethical framework, some sort of "eminent economic domain" wealth reclamation Act type of one time huge % tax levied. Those funds are in turn distributed to fund the "stimulus" effort - everything stays even. Not rolling up the deficit to incomprehensibly large numbers, so vast as to ultimately become insolvent. The only way out of which is one of two means- Write off - in which case the value of the U.S. dollar pretty much isn't worth the poop it can be used to wipe WAR .... the ultimate paranoia is that this was all a 10 year plan to get the machinery of the Industrial Military Complex greased-up and primed. I mean, CNN has made billions in media- fear mongering ....those c-cks*ers should finance the entire research. Obviously, none of that can happen in reality.

Lol, uh.. not to diminish the significance of that stunning achievement on your part ... but, any feline brain-pan probably suspected the same at this point - considering that regardless of ENSO this, or PDO/AMO that, or ZYZYGY and Taro cards being played, ... this region of the world appears geophysically designated bum-run palace from late March until early July for 10 years running. Gets a bit hard not to expect Stockholm's the new home

K, everyone - Moneypitmike is officially on suicide watch ... considering we are all of 3 hours into the 3 week long shits pattern and he's already sounding off - can you imagine the red-eyed, straight-jacket chair rocketing apoplexy when it's April 15, 35 F with rain and cat-paws and a forecast of 0 sun out to the edge of media frames??

Any human being that has room and boarded on, or immediately adjacent to, the collegiate life ... has had a variant of Influenza A or 'B, in their system. Some droll humor intended here, those exposures are "Institutionalized disgusting cocoons" for pathogens ... only bested for proficiency of infection by perhaps preschool at a Catholic god-will-save-us-all-commune. You probably just got lucky and "self-resolved," - the new euphemism for getting over a bug and perhaps not knowing you had it. But for those that claim to have never had it, you are vastly mistaken if you've ever lived and breathed and ate and shat among other putrescent carbon units ...not just colleges, but anywhere there is a draw that succeeds in clustering diverse backgrounds into non-regulated, yet merely presumed to be, hygienic safety. WRONG It is overwhelmingly more likely, in reality, you've been exposed and just cycled through the infection with minimal physical impact. But you did have an immune response - If you have ever had a so-dubbed, "stomach bug" ...you likely had a run-in with the Norovirus Flu ... which is a form of the flu. It only attacks the gut... you may not even have had a fever - in fact, most who spend the 24 hours of vomiting, when not otherwise levitating over a toilet the other direction like a failed NASA test ... in fact have very mild or no fever response to that particular variant. .. Point being, there's ways to express illness non traditional too -

Now you're going to tell us that's pulled from history ? uh ... what are the dates? Having said that, not trying to be a dick ...but folks need to supply some context to these sort of gaslight posts - LOL... 2ndly... yeah... if this were January .. February into mid March, I'd straight up say that the present American (GEF -based) telecon layout screams an giant cold systemic monster storm. I don't know about April though ..when the sun's modulating influence ... normalizes lower tropospheric ambient baroclinic gradients ( big words for starts canceling instability so cyclones tend to be weaker and less substantial overall ...). But man... the PNA has decided to go actually positive.. Previous night's computaions for that index had it rising from -2 or so ... to approximately 0 ( neutral ) - which means, there was previously only a so-so signal over N/A for western heights to rise ... (concomitantly, lowering in the east..etc... ) But last night it sht up and to +2 ... -2 to +2, doing so through a mass-domain that is truly enormous.. It spans much of the eastern Pacific, E of the dateline, ..over western N/A... so, that is not a trivial change in the particular index's mode - to put it softly. Meanwhile, we have this ongoing pig -NAO block regime that's more persistent in all guidance than the Rock of Gibraltor - there's virtually 0 remaining in the doubt-tank as to whether that index will actually be negative, from tomorrow until further notice. If this were say January 28th...I'd be putting together thread for a monster signal between D7 and 12. I don't know about April. We've had blizzards in April and May - I don't know if it is worth it... but for those with wherewithal to do so may get a kick out of itemizing a list of those events, and then studying the two week telecon modes and modalities immediately leading. Perhaps there is some common behavior that can be identified and compared. I know that big May 1977 snow that dumped a foot in the interior was preceded by a west -based NAO; I studied that one myself. But the flow around that was relaxed, leaving two factors: unusual cold plume pinched south, directed over the region by downstream block - simplified, so the fragility of the anomaly was allowed to fester into the region ... - it's like chaos completely checked out and let just the cold hole's instability drive the event.

The latest 'cutting edge' research into Alzheimer's and 'Dementia'- related ailments is that the biology of the digestive system of the individual appears close to being proven the silver bullet cause. If a particular bacteria population exists in the host's system ...it may be producing - as bi-product - certain harmful amino acid. These then bind to proteins in the brain and begins the deterioration process over time. " ....Distinctively characterized by the accumulation of β-amyloid plaques and neurofibrillary tangles in the brain ..." Meanwhile, certain vaccines are actually statistically correlated with lower risk ( as much as 30% according to the National Center for Biological Information's encyclopedia of refereed, hard science repository of papers) - not greater risk. However, these vaccines are not COVID-19; these studies link Flu, Pneumonia vaccines ... However - further - these are also distantly related to the genome family that Coronavirus belongs too - fyi and fwiw. These things I know, ..because I am a turbo nerd and pretty much have no life... but, if anyone wants they can enter here, https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24878604/ ... and wend their way around searching the various direct and indirectly related subject matters ...so vast and dense with content they'd have to live 10 lives before they researched and fully understood the content and the interrelated entangled correlated science of biology and medicine. The best we can do is focus in a specific era...etc..etc.. Having said that, it seems to me that: vaccines lowering risk of Dementia vs ... the most recent research suggesting that abdominal bacterial health, are not coincidence. Both being evidentiary ...leads logically to an easy hypothesis: Vaccines boosting immune systems ... in general, may have an unintended benefit; they may in fact cut into the health of the particular toxic bacteria lurking in some individual's guts, and thus being vaccinated for say ... the Flu, carries that benefit. I was not able to find any science that has made it to the repository system that links vaccines to Dementia in the sense of being causal - in that direction. However, as common awareness has it, there is plenty of urban-line legendary stuff that can "sound" reasonable and plausible, but are just as often unsubstantiated. I don't know if this qualifies ? But vaccine-causing-Alzheimer's "sounds" a good deal like a "plausibility" born out of the mind of an anit- vax bias ... leveled at dim intellects that are, because of that dimmed native circumstance, too vulnerable to paranoia and fear. Spreading such around to others just like them, they en masse create a faux belief system. Just sayn'

Mass media manipulation of population IS a form of social breakdown. - It represents mechanized, institutional Machiavelli at a truly pan dimensional scale like never before in human history ... - if one needs the circuitry spelled out to them: it manifests social distrust at a sociological scale… which is destructive to social order... ‘K ? See that logic ?? 0 irony that those concerned are WOKE and see them as couched in the same emerging crisis

That 18z is perfectly bad ... and holding at that theoretic shit stuffing apoplexy interminably seems to challenge whether the earth can actually do that - only in the imagination of a model? But any fashion in elegance ... cannot be consistently held from that time range ... whether in beauty of cyclonic mastery, or absolute misery in dark art. For that premise alone I almost feel better that it’s on the charts at this range, rather then something that’s not there but hints that it could be

Yeah the relaxing aspect’s been the most consistent ... In fact i argue that the relaxation and -NAO are codependent

Seriously ... I'm like, wtf with these idiots - You know, I was asked to join a Sci Fi contest recently - enter some material by the sponsors ... I'm half considering blowing that up with 30,000 words as a Novella and scoring alpha points for relevancy - lol... ugh

you, those 85 -year old over producing slaves - I could see that ...haha.

Can you imagine if all these vaccine shots were delivering a potion with nano tech, a chemical concoction count-down to doomsday, such that everybody with the "d-serum" coursing through their veins, cured of all ailments, will maximize proficiency when they are suddenly mutated into obedient slaves in 6 months when the cadre pulls the trigger -

Exactly ... reiterating, the source of the lie is: " - the source's marketing - the news media's headline subsequent expose'/manipulation miss-representing the intent of that statement "

Uh ...I don't think it's a C-19 vaccine you want for that particular malfunction -