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Typhoon Tip

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Typhoon Tip

  1. Nope ... ... this region of the planet shall remain the only cold hole relative to the CC footprint/ .. global warming for EVER ever ever
  2. I think the story about Texas new case count plummeting to COVID-19 relative era record lows after they've relaxed their mask and distancing/ sheltering aspects is intriguing. It seems there are other claims surfacing ... all of which are beginning to evince that many measures being 'mandated' if not imposed by force of anathema/'shade' if one doesn't, were not well- foundationed if perhaps ever necessary. I remember wondering months ago ... it seems almost paradoxical: how is encouraging family's to hunker down and swap air in median household tech ventilation, in and around typical rural pathogenicity ... consistent with spreading out and social distancing? that seems to be a contradiction in terms.. Meanwhile, we have seen case spikes at holidays and week's aft as though doing that 'helped' the spread, not hindered it as intended - or thought and imposed... etc. I mean I think I get it - ...if it sweeps through household than maybe 5 to 6 people get it, then it stops there...but if those infected were spreading it outside the home... that means 50 to 60,000 in viral propagation/dispersion modeling and all that.. . I guess, but Texas seems to dispel that very convincing logic - suggesting it's not true some how for some way. Then, recently CDC/ .. science states that it is actually hard to catch C-19 off a door knob and so forth. .. People were Lysol spraying their produce ... probably at expense of their own sperm count doing that - lol.. heh. These contact surface transmissions are extremely poor and inefficient, and one individual has like a 1::10,000 chance of getting a dose sufficient enough to make them ill.. It seems there are a lot of aspect about this that 'novel' - as in new and unknown ... - were guess work? I can't say I blame - until we know ...we don't. But I just find it all intriguing. And of course hindsight is 20/20
  3. You know ...a-heh, I came in here to plunk in an entirely different observation, but your write up is too 'softly' disturbing, as much as it is captivating - namely because it hearkens to a recent study I was reading over in the Earth link of Phys.org's encyclopedia of various paraphrased scientific papers. It was regarding a slow moving apocalypse ( maybe ...), one that no agency or individuals of ubiquity really are even aware - not popularized yet by big media's telling us what we should care about ... give it time. But apparently ... males of Industrial extraction, globally .. regardless of racial or ethnic distinction, have shrinking testicles, penises, and sperm counts. Yup ... But their lawns or Ireland dreams - ha ha, call it the Ireland Revenge for the Irish Curse - The study ( and there are more...) focus on ambient/environment pollution from anthropomorphic, western civility activity spanning generations ...and apparently as you are intimating, having a cumulative non-degenerative presents in the background biota is now impacting on male reproductive health - it's probably not just humans, common sense and biological awareness notwithstanding... just find your comments interesting ( bold above ..); although it may not ( or may ..) be involved/linkable to this other arena of science, it all still eerily hearkens to the ills and poor forsights of human ingenuity spanning the past century's hockey-stick leaps of "advancement" - it's like we've advanced our own demise, while we continue to assume and conceit in our "conquering" nature's domain - fascinating. Don't tell the hipsters that "Gaia" isn't onto us - we have a population over -abundance of abusing mouths and Industrial farters ... so, cut their nuts ... population corrects. Piece of cake - But enough with the gaslighting sermon - So the snow that fell for this recent event is all but completely vanquished already from the lawns and fields around town here in Ayer, but all these area expanses .. it seems as the snow receded it exposed a flashing over to this amazing emerald green - really pops! There's something about that snow that was the "real" fertilizer - ironically... - just like a magic potion. It's really amazing that noticeable difference. I've heard of the expression, "Farmer's Gold" growing up in the Midwest ... pertaining to snow events in April but wow -
  4. Exactly ... sort of reminiscent of that October deal last year - tho I am not saying it's a redux or an analog or anything.. . The key is synoptic overturning mid deck to surface behind that lifting wedge - and if there's some evap neggie CAPE, that'll certainly help that set up too - But the timing .. yeah good point. I didn't look too closely precisely on frontal timing so -
  5. Ends Severe ? ... early prelim looks like a wind risk with huge diabetic destabilization and intruding mid level jet toting hgt falls
  6. It’s like there’s a histrionic pandemic more than anything
  7. RE UFOs All the Pentagon is saying is the video isn’t faked It seems there’s a tendency to think that means there are extra terrestrial objects flying around in the sky but all they’re really saying is yes ... it’s legit as a video and it is unidentified what is being filmed after the fact - nothing else.
  8. I realize few like to engage in this subject matter - as it typically goes largely ignored ... but, this actually adds empirical evidence to my spring winter lagged 'continental folding' pattern hypothesis. It basically is that Pac velocity surplus entering western N/A as the continental gradient from 70 N to 35 N begins to seasonally break down, that's triggering a hemispheric scale quasi Kelvin-Hemholtz wave effect that arcs/tends to B.C.... then tucks at super synoptic scales E of mid latitude points and drills SE Canadian thicknesses down ... But it's transient. By later on in May and June - it actually helps explain why these NW NE heat waves have been happening... The folding ridge arc settles S as the Pac gradient lessens ...The conveyor aligns over those regions and draws early SW eml air over that region ...while we see a weird tendency to counter balance that flow with a quasi polarward displaced E trade coming into the MA ... DCA is concomitantly colder that BTV pretty frequently in recent years too just by anecdotal memory but don't hold me to that.. Anyway, our location/SE Canada, in geographic space in relationship to the hemisphere/plantery spatial dimension, favors us cold because we are in the cross hairs... might also help explain why since 2000 ...NOAA's state of the climate monthly publications indicate that ~ 2/3rds of the months in the data represent a relative cool anomaly in or at least near the eastern N/A circumvallate. Perhaps in short ... as the advisers of climate change have noted in modeling all along, CC and warming atmosphere has offsetting cold holes that tend to counter intuitively go against the integral - we may just be one of those regions.
  9. Lol... ho man... I was just reviewing the 500 mb run up to that d10 Euro ... that thing's trying to put a single season snow total down in one event. ...at the end of April no less... The hilarity would know no bounds if that was like a 1::784 year deal ( so basically it's never happen since white man stole the continent ) that dropped 70 inches...bringing the seasonal snow total to the snowiest year ever in history ...specifically to this particular winter's complete shit show ? man...
  10. Not that anyone is in a present frame of mind to take this in at this point but ... the GEF telecon is warm - not the Euro look. ... End winter and escape to summer enthusiast have at least that going for them -
  11. They've been radically more frequent since 2000 ...
  12. you know what ...I think yeah - it was within two days of one month from the solstice ... not sure which direction.
  13. Really should be the last one ... LOL There's been appreciable snow events into May ... and the definition of "appreciable" changes relative to absurdity. Like, ...I recall peering down from my 3rd floor window down upon Chestnut Street ... living in Waltham back in 2002, during wind swept mix of large cat paw rain drops and the occasional mangled bow-tie noodle sheeting down the street. May 20 2nd One month before the Solstice? Yeah ...that certainly qualifies as appreciable by shear insult ... That's the latest relative to calendar while at less than 1,000' elevation, along the 40 to 45 N latitudes that I recall sniffing snow. That event actually was putting down 2-3" in some of the Worcester Hills if memory serves - surprised that isn't talked about as much. Anyway, the notion cannot be completely withstood with that sort of thing, but we ARE definitely also on the curve of lessening returns. Plus, this always seems to happen and it's annoying ...albeit a petty observation of me ( shame...). But we're bathed in misery mist and snow for lucky folks at an obnoxiously late date, and the Euro ALWAYS does this - picks that psycho-babble moment when all these user strings are pulled by the present cold system like so it's 'totally possible,' to put out an unlikely look that way - just so we can play the 'pretend we're not hoping game' delusion. I really am not though. Man...
  14. Wee ... the U.S. is lit up like a "death"mas tree ! ... not sure how anyone can be proud to be an American - or be dubbed sane if/when hiding from that truth behind politically obscuring dogma - evasive. End life, is not a state of mind. "Merry deathmas ... too youuuuuuuu"
  15. yeah... as Scott mentioned a while ago, the 'inundation' phase may be past by the storm's life cycle,... now separating into a banded affair more so on rad and when it's mid April ...those attenuation regions may not do well - we aren't here. ..heh. When we maxed this beyotch ...circa 10 am, we were borderline S+ for a stint, and the temp made its way down to 32.X ... but since, we keep lulling on rad and ground truth has been light snow tending to fall more and more like white rain, and the temp has bulged to 35 ... So, if you're lucky enough to be in a band, cheers, but this isn't being fairly distributed as spring cruelty seldom ever is anyway - LOL
  16. Heh ...just noticing ... Red Sox have a home game scheduled for 7:10 dunnite ... or perhaps "had" maybe apropos?
  17. Yeah... all good questions. I don't know ...where does San Francisco situate theirs... Chicago on the Lake front... Miami.. ? New York City has Laguardia and Kennedy, but I think but they also have a downtown NWS ob site if I'm not mistaken and I could be - I'll take a look... But point being, a wish list item is that the subject be more seriously studied - I think it's just a low priority aspect to everyone accept nerds maybe. Say a day of + 20 C 850 mb dragon tongue is coming around a TV summer ridge node... Logan can often be the hottest temperature east of the Mississippi ...but even then a west wind may be unrealistic ( because although it is a islet, the western side of it in practical terms doesn't significantly offer any marine modulation, so it's hyperbole in that sense to call it an island). From late June through early August in that synoptic scenario, Logan's site being crisscrossed by tarmac, otherwise flat expanses under bake sun, serrated by observation and/or tin-pusher towers and metal hanger spaces ... It gooses the temp and so even screws up the west wind scenario. But you are right ...any vector that is more E than 185 ( or 10 the other way) degrees on the canonical direction dial pollutes the site down to the oceanic boundary layer - incontrovertibly so ... - and then the evening new guys/gals have go out of their way constantly remind, " ...but keep in mind that temperature doesn't represent what it's like on the western side of the city" - where there are actual physical bodies not coursing through heavily air conditioned man-made tubes and atrial settings.
  18. Lol, and while they are at it - 'be nice if they could relocate/re-officiate Boston's official reporting site as not being located out in the in cold Labrador termination waters of Cape Cod Bay while they are at it... Oy - we dream. Not sure if you are aware, but Logan Airport is the official "Boston" ob site, which in a practical civilian sense and sensibility ? Absurd and always has been. Only when the wind is west ... perhaps 50% of the time granted, does that justly represent Boston - has always been just utterly a statistical fallacy otherwise - It's a marine -hybrid climate out there where that site sets upon an island on west shore side of the Bay...
  19. It's interesting to see R p-type popping on and off frames of Intellicast's rad loop up along Rt 3 and 93 in NH, while here in Ayer along Rt 2 we are actually now decimals edged below 33 F with steady mid size uniform aggies... About 2" inches ... but suspect 4's fallen... Not gonna bother with snow board for this ..it just is what it is. April farmers gold, pedestrian muse and probably yet another CC -related seasonal lag event like the October-May phenomenon that's creeped into the climate books with increasing frequency since 2000 blah blah.. But when the snow falls from the wires and branches here it's not exactly glopping to the ground .. It's fracturing and flaking apart.
  20. I see a distinct impression looking over how this is unfolding this morning ... as though this thing "shrunk" a bit ...It's much more nucleated and contained to a smaller area... I thought that we'd have this as a bigger gyre, with a perhaps a deform back to ALB district wrapping to western CT...and arcing underneath - but not sun shine in Bridgeport. Amazing.. Otherwise valley attenuation and other enhances moving W along rt 2 and S NH ... the latter seems to be happening but this is tight - tighter than expected for me. It's like the Whites are getting exaggerate numbers by 700 mb E anomaly bumping the saturable air flow up into growth regions and cheating that way, but if they were plainer landscape without that topographical assist I bet they'd be a shred fest of light rain and slush, and we'd have more of locally owned nucleus of blue rad ptype here in the core ...
  21. Knee jerk morning coffee hot take: depends on how much time... Small Pox was "declared" eradicated by WHO/ world ... circa 1979 I believe, but it was something on the order of a 30-year campaign. Obviously the immediate rebuttals are: tech and ubiquity therein and the science of medicine are vastly superior at this end of modernity ... Of course they will team up to - maybe - make goals more satisfyingly faster. 'Don't know, but that seems to be comparing two eras that are too unlike, which risks false equivalency traps and so forth ... The other obvious aspect that leaps to mind is that Small Pox is not in the Corona virus family ... I'm 'pretty sure its pathogenicity is different - like you had to be right in the person's safe zone, almost sharing bio-spooge droplets closer to source; contrasting, SAR CoV2 is more robust and can hang in the air longer and remain viable, making it harder to contain..etc. They may both be trans via aerosol but the proficiency makes them tough direct comparison. Anyway ...to your point, I doubt these "vax everyone" thinkers come from a realistic logistical worldly awareness... And, spending the next 20 .. 30 years in masks, social distancing,... and ( gag ) persona of feigning virtuosity shit? I don't think society is signing up for that and the signs of 'silent revolt' are pretty much not so silent anymore as it is... It probably isn't what they really have in mind. My god. They're imagination is seeded in the fertility of convenience, which produces unrealistic visions of success. It reminds me of the Simpson episode from back in the day, where the kids of the on-going regular cast end up in a "Lord Of The Flies" rip on some island - the show did that regularly, mocking popular lit and cinema through their comedic lens. But there is this amusing sequence in there where Bart convinces Nelson Muntz and the 'bully faction' that there is no reason to oppress because "...With the monkey butlers serving us all, we'll live in paradise" ... Of course their doing cut aways to visualizations of Ewok-ian tree house utopic communities with the kids in hammocks being served umbrella drinks and burgers by monkey staff ... Awesome stuff ... 'Everyone vaccinated' ideology is very 'monkey butler-ish' naive. More seriously to point, they are likely naive to the point of disconnect ... Multi- generational cyclic conveniences become the way it is, a presumption ...and there's just no awareness otherwise.
  22. Apparently ...they were discontinued as of March 31 citing site stability due to erosion as the primary factor/safety for personnel access to the station. I don't "think" it's intended to be permanent based upon the content provided here, https://www.weather.gov/media/box/Chatham_Closure.pdf
  23. this event probably does 20% give or take better snow stack and intensity performance, with better lower atmospheric gradients. The whole system probably bombs and UVM is deeper in the atmosphere ..intersecting grown regions and all that jazz, a bit more proficiency. 33 F S- in Ayer. ~ 1/2" as of 9:15. At dawn there was no snow otg and none falling - although I didn't scrutinize for 'cat paw' content. Reports seem to suggest it was over to snow and snowing prodigiously just west of here prior to the dawn, but that was pretty well handled.. 226' elevation here at town hall, which is pretty damn low this far inland so we are definitely in a valley. The snow ( presently ) is uniform small to mid size wet snow aggregates, ...when this first commenced here roughly 8:15 ...we had a 1/2 hr of half fist size cotton swabs - It's interesting that last evening between 8 and 10 we did have cat paw and sleet pinging mixed with the rain beginning around 40 F. By 11 ..back to plain rain, but down to 38. It's almost like this system did a typical winter storm sequence, but aloft .... and rained down into a relatively warm boundary layer. If this were a winter lower thickness, we might have had snow to mix to rain at the front side of WAA ... the precipitation sequence last night seem to suggest that was doing that typology, but above the melt level. Then, secondary takes over and dynamics mixing in traced CAA, and all to snow now. I don't 'think' anyone gets 10" lower than 1,200 elevation .. but the 06z NAM seemed to boost QPF and has this rotting in the area through late afternoon... so we'll see who/where max pixel. The other aspect is that given daylight in August 24th equiv insolation, we may not stack everything that falls.. There's a distinction between how much is snowing has fallen, and how much is on the ground at any moment -
  24. Hey where did our conversation go ? oh is that related to that row over vax the other day .. ah shit I made a cool written post about ‘zombie carriers’ (asymptonatic transmitters ) and wanted to rescue the line for me writin’ but it’s gone d’oh I guess didn’t think I was contributing to any fights but okay
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