Typhoon Tip

Well...for a rather obvious reason, the COVID issue is not over. Not even calculably imaginatively can one begin to think so if their 'take' on current affairs ( and probably any ability for prognostic sensibility ) has enough merit to be heard. The ramifications on society ... many of which haven't been realized, are coming. Now, maybe those will be negligible. But we don't know until we know. Hate to say stupid common function of speech like that, but obviousness and the court of meme-opinion in the Internet era, too oft part company when the mojo narrative at hand doesn't fit reality. Fact of the matter is, we may be 'bored' with the COVID topic, but it still very much a massive and major issue in civilization right now. That's proooobably the impetus behind why it keeps coming up -

It's not very statistically significant, no - And sensibly ... it depends on the observer. 89.6/72 just takes a bit longer to get tolerances stressed. But, who knows how/why 90 was chosen as a "heat wave" demarcating rule and not 91 ... 93 ..etc. Probably? Just because humans like order in nature and try to assert boundaries and rules on everything. Base 10 numerology system, 90 it is LOL. Not sure if there really is any physicality behind the 90, sarcasm aside. Personally, 82/65 starts the patience-clock. It just has a longer count down than 90/70, which is longer than 100 over 74 ...etc.. It's silly when we think of 90 "meaning" anything when we consider the reality of the "tolerance spectrum" - unless there is some particular physical need to label that number, it seems an arbitrary setting. I just also like the deviant inconvenience of fact being plunked into the general internet-mojo memes of the day sometimes too. Lol. Bubble bursting. Usually, those get ignored.

this is kind of an unusual total baroclinic passage. There's a cold frontal ...albeit weak up there in NY just behind a quasi warm sector wedge - which is really over-zealously analyzed by WPC.. whatever - it looks more like an occlusion pinching... Be that as it may, the whole thing either moves through and off the coast, or dissipates into the same aspect ...leaving the region hotter and more DP rich behind the CF. This is like in winter, when all the cold air is ahead of the cyclone, and when the storm is over and the sun comes out sores to 45 and snow all melts. Ha!

These kind of days are annoying. We've had so many of them this warm season, too, I've lost track. It's when the satellite always looks like the cloud swath is about to whisk right away, but you look back at it and it hasn't moved despite moving at 40 kts. wtf - can't even see the back building edge if there is one. It's just that nightmare where your running but the hall stretches. I mean, the clearing has been moving ESE out of upstate NY all morning without actually gaining any ESE -

Low probability for low impact heat wave, tomorrow Tue and Wed 89.6 F variety. Low probability because cloud and/or smoke contamination mean everything when it's a 'rounding' deal like that.

Tomorrow has an interesting elevate instability look

Nice ... high temperatures were dead balls normal.

One of my closer college buddies … so years gone by. Know his family pretty well. Dad died 10 days ago after a short battle with as yet unknown. Wasn’t the C word. First parent of my immediate generation and spheres of friends is sobering.

It could be that the hitters just figured him out. heh doesn’t have to be he's tired although I can’t imagine he’s exactly spry either

Anyway when you’re throwing 97 to 100 mile an hour heaters even Nick the ball is going to end up on the moon

Yeah me too wtf

You must be watching the standard definition because I’m on a little bit of a lag there ha ha

Man this is just like last night that like exact sequence happened last night same umpire too

Yeah saw that. Anything to stop a run

It sounds paranoid but, "I do think transmission from another species, without a lab escape, is the most likely scenario by a long shot," okay - Was he visited ? ' Rescind or "be shown the door" - so to speak. It's too easy. And frankly, the stigma against those that harbor suspicion as being merely paranoid, that has become the best accomplice. We gotta go with it though... What's the alternative, just make shit up and believe? So it is what is. I still cannot help but come back to the ex CDC's statements a year ago, when he described how this particular pathogen did not evolve through the iterative process - it sprang on...instantly perfectly infectious to the target organism. That's like trillion to 1 odds... Then this Delta goes the wrong way, too - like subsequent genomic ancestors are weaker than the onset.. Not in this case.

Planned ... ... just like the investigation into the JFK assassination halted at the doorstop of the KGB - 'you can't handle the truth' You don't wanna annihilate the planet over Bio toxic warfare research program that never was intended to get outta of the lab but probably accidentally did. That'd be a helluva epitaph -lol

I love these kind of scatter plots. They don't evince 'as much' of what they are intended to, for me. The 'elephant' that constellation of points draws is really that rural people tend to be dumb f'n rubes, period. Rubes believe b.s.... they do. Stereotype? Tough shit - eat reality and like it. Less educated types are easily beguiled. It's funny how that scatter plot turns this into political distinction, though. Yeah, I guess Trumpism sort of requires the gullibility - but it's still a goodly amount misleading. There are plenty of folk out there that just don't trust vaccines, regardless of whether they are GOP this ...Dem liberal that - in fact, the majority of anti-vaccine types: that came from the liberals originally...about 15 or 20 years ago - hello. There are those that are also religiously rooted, too - but it is also a vaguely supported stereotype at best, that religion should be automatically cast/assumed to be GOP as their political leanings anyway. It's a percentage game when it comes to politics vs religion. We have to be gaslighted over not wearing masks and not getting vaccines, because 10 % of the population mass is at risk of x-y-z, yet ... we cast all humans that don't want vaccines as tongue fu'ing Trumpism? Got it - hypocrisy much. It's bullshit. The whole f'n thing is based on perception. We live in a world blessed with hiding in falsity when we don't like the disillusionment of reality - and it is gotten so bad, distinction is know longer knowable. What we need is humility at a species level. You know ... make the right decision or your kids don't eat and they DIE. We'll see how quickly that sobers people up to facts ...the rest? That's Darwinism.

Heh... right - Seriously though, I went to bed at 3-1 in the top of the 9th ...and woke up 5-4 red sox. wow -

Since people asked me heh ... I was never an 'anti vaccine' dude. I just never thought about getting one. Most dudes in my various social bubbles are the same. Their up in it with life and don't think about it. And guess what? They're healthy- ...worrying on about mortgage and career and their kids special needs or talents, global warming and the Red Sox. I was always just in good enough health and fitness that it didn't matter, as I was wending my way through life as a [ I guess ] self-centered typical American asshole. In fact, being raised and socialized entirely within the gestalt of Assoledium, I didn't even know I was an asshole. But what this whole saga has evinced is that people are assholes for not getting vaccinated - whether they know it or not. It's built in gaslighting... Because the guilt precedes the accusation, when people don't even know they are assholes for breathing. the majority of people out there are still not going to die or even suffer permanent jack shit from this f'n thing. But because someone else "might" that's enough to make people feel ashamed for living. So, now the dudes in the social bubbles 'ill have to add that to the list, I guess. In the year 1642, people understood what it meant, "tough shit then you die" Now? entitlement drives all this vitriol. Awesome...

I mean we could bring the heat back. It's just that this modeling persistence to block/shun it S, consummately correcting late mid/ext into backing NW continental flow after July's, that has a recent multi-year precedence/repetition. That circumstantially tends to coax one into believing we're just destined to the same muted later summer. So we'll see. It almost seems like a sped up atmosphere rushes seasonal change - the visionary in me sees this as a 50 year predicament until the warm engulfing of the planet has finally penetrated and warm the poles so much that who knows what that future looks like.. I mean... we snow in October/November's like Pez ...and send 70 to 80 F in Feb's and March's? These are happening regardless of ENSO this, or solar cycle that, SSW whatever. And no, this muting of later summers autumn doesn't always show up in the scalar temperatures. It's really more of a pattern tendency that sometimes results in early chill. ..That's the take away.

What are you ... a sociopath ? LOL j/k

It's funny how relative to whatever the model illustrations there are...there's always this interpretation effort for how it can be dramatic and entertaining. Reliance on weather -cinema ... it never goes away. That pattern out there looks like summer's ending frankly. Not sure we are going to stop the hemisphere from continuing to pack the heat backward toward the SW-W. Every time we do see the models send a ridge to 90 W, the next three runs are academically finding least excuse imagined to repack, and we end up right back in NW flow again This has happened every august the last 7 years running. This is what ends up then being a winter prolapse in October and November, as imagine - if you will - pushing this look ahead seasonally with hemispheric height reduction and there you are. But it doesn't mean or dictate or predict the DJF mean very well... as that mid part of winter than modulates/guided by increasing compression from HC expansion. This/thus speeding up the ambient geostrophic wind velocity, so much so that in turn... de-climatizes the R-wave distribution and concomitantly f'up all the longer term geo- telecon suggesters.

Yeah but your golf ball isn't that one there on the green ...I think I did see a splash out there in the distance though - past performance argues you should start looking there.

Tampa Bay ain’t goin nowhere

Uh much better baseball