Typhoon Tip

I used to think the surge in appreciation was that affluence expansion ring phenomenon, slowly propagating west of Boston ... In the 1980s, it was out to about Acton, Sudbury ...then it made it's way to Littleton, Shrewsbury through the '90s and now deep into the 2000's, Ayer and down to Sutton and the towns surrounding Worcester and some of Worcester itself. But now I'm not so sure - it seems to be an American economic modality? Guessin' ... it may be more attractive to sink wealth into real-estate, because people "sense" a sort of ... not just volatility but really like vulnerability about financial industry handling... ?? Not an economist but as an observation, perhaps a combination of factors... Like 1, there's an after-taste after 2008 ( which ironically was credit swap debacle that started with over-valuation of real-estate ..). 2, Climate Change and green industry arrival not just threatening to crowd into the Fossil Fuel-based commodities frame-work, it kind of has to? Like an 'or else' pall hanging over everything. It seems that people more than ever just don't trust at a social level - which is a problem at a cultural scale anyway...- but that also extends tentacles around economics, which is in fact inherently a social construct so .... I don't know why, but it seems there's more than just the ring of affluence phenomenon ... Interesting. Anyway, I bought small house here in Ayer. 2 bedroom, 1 bath, kitchen and living area. In fact the laundry is part of the kitchen. I mean any smaller it'd be a "tiny house"... Big lawn though... I guess if I scored a windfall I could raise the place and there's enough space to put in a new foundation and bigger footprint, and still have a couple of box gardens... blah blah. But I get texts and phone calls occasionally probing to buy my house cash. They don't talk dollars ...just that they want the house. Probably to do just what I said, I'm guessing. Get me out of here, raise the place, ...put in a new one for 500K ...and they'd clear 100 after the dust settles... I was told that the appreciation here in town is 38% in the median, but nearly doubled in some the gem neighborhoods.

This might be related to why there is that 'dip'/+PNAP look across the continent .. Personally, I have to go back several years really in mind's eye to remember anything close to that magnitude, not just in wave strength, but it's longevity as kind of sub-metric is really quite ominous. A phase migration that is extraordinarily powerful on the left side of the RMM. Hard to know for certain if/how much that is related to the non-sustaining warm look and these blue thickness dyes cast on charts ... seemingly out to the end of time unrelenting, but it fits. It definitely should correlate more so in DJFM ...April and May? yeeeah, should less but there are super factors that are related to CC ( I suspect...) skewing matters and I think it's sort of "non-linear constructive interference" which I'm sure no one has a clue what that means so I should shut up Either way, for warm enthusiasts, that's an ugly magnitude/space in this graph below. It's even hinting at rotating right back out into another pass out there, too so it's like the hemisphere is trying to arrange a shit summer ...lol. oh man - Arizona is starting to look ever more attractive

Do you guys belong to any Econ -based social media platforms ? heh

It’s fun listening to Will and Phin’s presumptive cynicism - refreshing lol awesome I wrote about it earlier but of course I ended up getting carried away and loud I still think anybody investing in cryptocurrency is taking a Darwinian chance. but if people can’t see the future in this I don’t know it just looks like an easy vision to me ; eventually it will try to abase the real system of commodity-based substantiated economics and that’s going to end it pretty fast. ...regulation nightmare ... investors fleeing and it’s values just going to plummet to where it should be which is zero. Actually there is one other possibility - it gets too big and causes a crippling global row to untangle because the feds are falling asleep everywhere and it’s just gonna end up causing a complete socioeconomic catastrophe ...

Yeah, I know I've mentioned this in the past ...But it's just another social construct, an illusion of value that is purely invented and so everyone involved merely wants to agree it exist. We say oil and gold, lumber and paper and ...well, commodities have intrinsic value and they do; but even in saying so, those only do to those that think they need them.. Ask an Eskimo, with lamp lights burning seal blubber oil, and their cultural/provisional model based upon mastery of survival via other means than western cultural perception of need, ask them what has value. They'd blow their knows with t-notes while they explain to you how CC is destroying their means to survive. ( Sometimes a "proverbial" comet impact and dose of humility needs to happen to drive humility and most importantly, reality .. back into the awareness arena... But, commodity -based economics is way, way far more substantiating the value a dollar than anything that crypto crap represents. ) Know what it represents? Crypton. That's what! = 'crypton to any commodity based economic systems' The reason I'm mentioning this is because I agree with your bold - it's spot on. I mean the "volatility" you mentioned in the previous sentence is merely predictive via crowd physics' - that's all it is. If one has some sort of special gift or talent or insight into how waves ripple through the dunces they may come out looking like the head of the class - but at what? What I find peculiar, how in the f* is a vapidly unsubstantiated and not really footed in commodities arbitrary system, getting people laid? - that's transferring one economic system that at least tries to make the illusion more physical ..into a "fake" system of value - it starts taking value out of the substantiated value side, because of abandonment ... right? That reeks of break down in social order frankly, and that's a problem when economy's abstract purpose for existing, stitching/organizimg culture together around a common them, is no longer agreed upon. Doesn't that begin to come unraveled? I think it's probably demo-able in the math of it .. Economy is not my bag, but... I wonder: is it just a matter of time before the gov or some oversight necessity/org/agency steps in and regulates the shit out of it to stop it from sucking value from the substantiated side... sending the investors fleeing like the sky-filled-with-bird scene in Day After Tomorrow. And all these people that have 'real' money invested will get left hold a bag of dog shit when any real currency abandons and the emptiness gets exposed ...

Now enters that Twilight Zone phase where the satellite vis imagery illustrates marked improvements in ceilings that never are actually in the sky when one looks at it from the ground -

Timing of this warm frontal wave and spooge rains could not have been more perfectly timed wrong - SE NY probably cashes in on sun shine here over the next hour ...and high sun angle and longer days of May, they may even salvage... The rest of us probably get some sort of semblance of partly cloud and sky lights after 4 or 5 pm when it's seemingly perfect to rub it in - So long as the main ballast/mass of the mid tropospheric westerlies remains S of our latitude, we just cannot depend upon sustained warmth ..

nope

I must have a stomach like a billygoat I just had about quart of marinara sauce bathing a sauté of kalamata olives, onions, jalapeños ... garlic and mushrooms and green onions and shrimp. Obscene Italian spice in tablespoons ...Talk about acid ... polish the chrome right off a trailer hitch nothing.

That’s why I said lol nice

holy christ with that link ... i had to recharge my phone to get the bottom of that

Like ... not everyone can be rich. Tell you what! Let's create or own version of money and abandon that one - yeah...let's do that.

That was funny ... Yeah... depends on where the vagaries of wind aligned the clouds I guess... Pike to Rt poop down this way is in the wedge of partly sunny, in a slow moving overall synoptic evolution ... so we're probably are going to just get richer for the afternoon. It's 71 to 74 here in town at all home stations and frankly a walk down the street and back confirms that sensibly. Sky is pall blue with alto strata fractals dappled. Very light wind with hints of neighborhood lilacs and enough sun to add nape bake to the air - it's really hard to concentrate type stuff. It's warmer than yesterday, too -...not only surprised me that it got this way but it's adding LOL Guess interquartile statistical density ftw, huh Agreed Kevin... I don't think we are getting out of this week without some spring schmoots though. Frankly I'm okay with rain after three dry days.

Sneaking in an unpolished gem day going here... Must admit, a bit personally surprised. I figured today might be dry but zippo sun. We have actual sunshine in between day -glow skies and the temps over 70 ... I was talking to Kevin - I think it was - the other day that it would be interesting to test the NBM MOS ...which was putting out 65 to 70 F across KFIT/KBED/KASH/KBDL .. Even it seems to have busted slightly cool. All the while, the NAM actually looked like a better fit. I mean ...considering our sore-butt climate in early to mid spring, we are N of the warm boundary with an ESE drift on May 3 ... that's usually 53 F shit sky and tolerable chilly.

I feel ashamed every time I turn the starter and settle the wah-wah to hear the purr of the internal combustion engine's toxic fart factory's slow poisoning dose-contribution of the hour. It's just something we don't consider - like ... "flying" to a destination and then "riding" in a cab, to an auditorium that took a giga ton of carbon foot-print to power all aspects of overhead for ... just to rail as an environmental activist about a fossil fuel driven society. We are walking talking and "breathing" ( puns always intended just because I find pleasure in being annoying...) balls of toxic hypocrisy. Hypocrisy more than anything else is the lubrication of society. Like ...pounding away on a key board connected to the WWW ... to rave about the pitfalls of an impersonal social medias tearing at the fabric of culture. Most vegetarians ... they don't seem to be aware that they can be that way because they are couched in a societal machinery geared along by the majority - the enemy blood thirsty cheeseburger mongers. That's a particularly "delicious" hypocrisy right there - that whole holier than thou bag of shame and shade about eating meat. I guess if the majority cogs in the gear box decided to go vegan... maybe, but that wouldn't suffice the caloric needs of 7.5 billion mouths to feed - a purely agrarian species from orbit ... heh, probably in some super advancing counter-supplemental technology whence we are not there yet, that might be possible. It is an advancing environmental science problem but intuitively .. trying to turn the daily page of Earth's humanity on farming likely does not provide enough ... When it takes a 2 acres to raise a cow... that balloons to a requirement of arability land for growth that exceeds availability.. Animals concentrate nutrients into packets for redistribution - as coldly metallic as that sounds, it is a true. And then when aspects of climate and climate change get in the way... and crop vitality is not as dependable as the nutrients packed in Tenderloin, it just doesn't map out as very realized. Out here in reality, the point is, vegetarian cannot do this alone. Meat eaters can. It's called a gun or arrow, and camouflage. But most can't - hence the creation of Industrial abattoir scaling. That form and structure provides the provisional access convenience that delivers unto the moral high road's plate, the calories they will need to ablate our value as human beings for not being as morally priceless as they are.. Isn't that special - And on and so on.. You know ... despite all religions of the world and vicissitudes of history ... there is only one commandment that has prevailed for a million years: hypocrisy.

People want snow and that's their bag ... it's all good - I just want precipitation to fall in copious surpluses ... We need the water - that's just intellectually responsible pragmatism. I hope a Nor'easter drops the liq equiv or 4" pan dimensional in scope and scale, sending the usual problem streams and mid size rivers across Little League ball parks. just so the minoring flood event is in situ while the U.S. drought monitoring has moderately severe drought... ha. Anyway, we'll need the water JJA ... unless we get into one of these unusual summers of cool pool/trough convection like 2008 you know ... I don't necessarily trust the U.S. D.M. approach to regional climatology when/in their assessment of drought severity. This is not west Texas or California here. We definitely have a faster correction frequency than those environs of western North America's PNAP shadowing... It is almost impossible to sustain desiccating anything here... I'm sure there have been those eras in the past .. maybe even the like of which could rival, but .. we probably need - I dunno - something like 700 years before we return some scenario where the Quabin Res drops to church steeple exposure and the coffins bobbing ...

yeah ...I dunno.. maybe it did - but .. I don't think anything the NAM did last week is as significant as the NAM did, ever in its existence. Which frankly is brilliant once out of 10 pieces of shit type of legacy. In other words, it could be right, wrong, up down, left right ... or totally lucky last week - so whatever it did then, means nothing to determinism now. LOL. It sucks in any dimension of consideration. Having said that, it still presently just looks more fitting for least excuse imagine to be cold in SNE climo that has been a persistent situation since the year ( ~) 2000... Hence the nerdly interesting test - Brief digression: I was thinking about this.. If we look at the climate inferences from 1750 to 2000 ... that is a very different picture than what we have been experiencing since 2000. I expect it to snow this month because it has 57% of May since 2000. If not snowed...deep layer tropospheric air masses supporting snow - either way. 20 years is not a very large sample set - in fact it's rather small ( duh ) when looking at say .. 500 years of this or that metrics. But, the difference is insidiously concealing the Climate Change shit... If this were not a CC air apparent era, it would be more easy to assume the 20 year tendency to f Mays right in the butt is just god being a douche. But, since the CC instructs ( via modeling and whatever ...) that odd extremes should be happening ... that seems to argue there may be some substance to the 20 year data that is easily overlooked by the standard concept of sample size/weighting.. But back on point... The NAM looking cooler while a warm front is hem-hawing in the guidance ( EURO...GGEM ...all of them for that matter..), never has ended well at this time of year as of late and I don't see going with the warmest blended method as necessarily right - regardless of whether the blend density is centered on 72-75 F or whatever that is in the IQ range. Just because they are using the blend and intuitively those numerical methods should squeeze out accuracy ...doesn't mean any of the feed-in data sources understand the drag coefficient that fights warm fronts - unique to this region ... Nor the non-linear wave tendency to fold/tuck at synoptic scales over SE Canada as an implied ( think invisible) vector that is always pointed SW ... All these weird "gestalts" ... to keep it cooler.. yeah, they take a back seat to the NBM ? They may... we'll see. I'm not averring anything - just saying it'll be interesting to see if 66 at Fitchburg takes place tomorrow, under a clouded ceiling N of a warm front in early May with east wind blowing off a 42 F Labrador heat sink.

I'm interested in the national blend stuff vs say ...the NAM, for later tomorrow into Tuesday. The former of the two seems more optimistic - granted - but, the NAM fits with the general violation in the butt climate of new england for any time between April 1 and October 15 when it comes to warm air.

What in the hell are you talking about ... good god. Are you actually looking at that chart when you make this statement, " ... this run would support severe blizzard conditions .." That's light QPF that far west, steady in nature... It doesn't connote severe anything ... anywhere else for that matter, even if it were snow.

It's called a mattress ...

Yup... that's my intent, too. 'Bout 3 pm 10K run

Heh huh ... I'd replace "some" in that bold turn of phrase with "most" ... but yup. And add, without being solicited ... I know: Anyone born since circa 1950 are entitled assholes and aren't even aware of it. Even the ' good ones,' ranging to 'conditional sociopaths,' and everyone character in between, whichever delusion of self worth they covet that avoids them knowing this about themselves aside, they are definitely unclear on the concept of 'natural inconvenience' vs the assumption of utopia the modern convenience has given them. I'm a cynical snark at times ...particularly when I realize in moments of clarity that my soul mate hates and despises me and I'm forever alone without her and hate all of humanity because of it...LOL ... But somewhere in all that cumulonimbus cloud of continuous lightning it sparks, there are positive charges of truth: people of modernity are desperately in need of a reality check. They need massive doses of repeating humility and constant inconvenience ... until they get it through their f'n heads that they suck and will die. Once the yget that...you know what else happens? ... All this recreation outrage... woke this, cancel-culture that, the 'how dare my shoulder ache from a 2" needle' all of it ...it all goes away -

Saying "not exactly" isn't unnecessary - I know this latter stuff but from person to person it's impossible to separate the effect/affect ratio of response, first of all. Secondly, there is an immuno response to any invasive object - you stick a nail in your arm, all that shit you labeled is going to happen, too. Those responses are 'common reactionary denominators' ..that was my point. And we know that already/... of should... I guess my tongue-in-cheek rant is pointed at the bitching and whining of an aspect that is assume-able ...but whatever

2nd shot, right ? Trying to get a bead on this is impossible. Scatter plot of different reactions ranging from nothing across both doses, to admissions to an ER. I'm now working on 18 hours since first dose with no symptoms ...other than feeling of mild bruise in the shoulder. You know, when I ask a person if they are experiencing any symptoms from vaccination, and the immediate first sentence goes like, " ...I have a sore shoulder, and - " I'm getting tired of f'ing hearing that. No shit! You stick a foreign metallic object deep into your soft tissue, ..that's likely to leave a mark regardless of intent. Can we keep that out of it please? No - that is not a symptom of vaccination. That is a circumstance of having a veritable nail jab into one's flesh. Different. ..sorry, rant done. I guess less reactions from first dose ...but it's not zero. Just less. I don't know when/if at all this would kick in if I do. It'll be 24 hours late this afternoon and I figure it to be unlikely from that point forward.