Iceagewhereartthou

Hey, now theres one where the upstate does well!

Hey if you can sacrifice your body for the collective, I'll head up the relief fund!

If that happens, you'll be required to have shoulder surgery every year!

That's awful! For once I'm not on the torch side - 37 and drizzle here.

True, but to be fair, in " a few weeks" it will really be too late for most outside the mountains to reasonably hope for any wintry weather. While it's true SC has had very good snows in late Feb through mid March, those storms tend to take a miracle and we don't have the climate we used to. I'm still hopeful to get one more chance, but I just have very little confidence of ingredients lining up at the eleventh hour. Maybe we get a repeat of last year with March being colder than Feb, but it still didn't deliver south of I -40. We'll see, but we're almost out of punting room, and the " we've gotten good snows... " line of keeping hope alive is likely just that.

It may be upon us. A few well timed hours of sleet and mix in early december kept this form being a complete blank, and another 2011-2012. At GSP last 3 Febs: Feb 2017: +8.2, only 6 readings below 32, lowest 26. 12 days above 70 with a high of 81! Feb 2018: +7.9, only 6 readings below 32, lowest 22. 8 days above 70 with 2 reaching 80 and 81! Feb 2019: (Through first 7 days) +12.4, only 2 readings below 32, lowest 28. 3 days over 70 with high of 77! Feb just keeps getting worse and worse.

Well it's Feb 5th and I have clouds rolling in overhead. I wonder if I might get some frozen precipitation? Oh wait, never mind, it's 72 degrees!

Good thing accuweather isn't accurate; only gives me one more day with highs in the 40s (48) from now till next fall (November?)!

If not for the early dec system and accompanied cold, this winter would be a definite "F" thus far, and I'm not talking in comparison to what we were hoping for based on projections. That's the only frozen event, in my backyard, and haven't seen anything else even minor. And while we haven't seen a ton of 70s or anything like that, it's been very mild for the most part. I think my low is 18, and only been below 20 3-4 nights. I usually have at least one morning below 10 but nothing close. Were halfway b/w Chicago and Miami. One might think that if Chicago can get to -30, we might at least see single digits, but nope. Terrible winter so far, with a very warm outlook coming. Hoping for something after V-day is likely going to be fruitless. There was another winter a few years ago where most thought the indeces were all aligned and it was a big bust, but so far this one is worse. Oh well, maybe we'll have another chance or two after V-day.

Neither is spending six months of the year counting down to the first cool front, and having to hope against hope for one little dusting of snow to get a little change of pace! So where's the balance? Boone?

In all honesty I would agree. I think we see one or two more shots between now and first week of March. Despite recent record warm February's, where winter was truly over by this time, this pattern has just been too changeable to throw in the towel yet. We'll see, it's sure been a hair puller so far.

What we all were hoping for back in the Fall with the most epic winter predictions of all time: Now that reality has hit:

Wow, that's early! Looks like its April. Made it down to 27 this am, and had just enough cold to keep that from happening here. Boy that tree is in full bloom though, not just budding! BTW, just checked out NOAA; there's at least a WWA out for EVERY southeastern state except two; Florida and SC. Kind of expected in FL but how pathetic is SC?

I really like Chris Justus, but his facebook says "coldest air in several years" coming after the front, then the wyff outlook shows highs in mid 40s, lows in 20s. Not only did he forget about last Jan, but that's not even the coldest of this wimpy winter.

Honestly, with the semi-permenant southeast ridge and totally absent wintertime -NAO over the past decade, it seems to be becoming the norm. Frustrating as heck, but unless and we can get some larger patterns to realign in our favor this will continue. I'm afraid this is the new normal. With the mountains already making it difficult, much of SC may see less snow than Mobile and FL panhandle going forward. If CAE can't sneak something out in Feb, they'll be looking at a six year drought by the time next winter rolls around. Even GSP has seen only two accumulating snows in Feb and March COMBINED since 2015, and they were .4 and .5 inches. Snow in SC is quickly becoming a thing of the past.

Well here's two more: Mondays system we get nothing due to drying from downsloping winds. Wednesday we'll see a couple tenths of QPF but the mountains will delay the cold so it will be all rain. I'm sure the final shot, next Fri/Sat we'll be too far north, or we'll get the perfect track with no cold or...

I LOVE the upstate!

We're living in the WRONG place my friend, we can't even get fantasy snow right now!

How about the "In Your Dreams" model!

All relative and personal perception I guess, I feel like I'm still waiting on the cold - it can arrive anytime now... 70 can (and will) happen anytime b/w April and October, but give me the cold right now! It's been a pretty wimpy winter so far, too many fantasy arctic outbreaks - all talk and no action from the models! For me, I'll take cold even if its dry. Rather have snow of course, but rather have cold and dry than warm ALL DAY ANY DAY!

Starting to get frustrated here in the upstate. There are 3 upcoming systems and I can't find a single snowfall map that projects anything more than a few flurries here (with most being a complete blank). There looks to be a great chance of at least one accum snow west of the Apps (and maybe as far down as the gulf coast), and the I-40 corridor through NC has lots of support for something, and even the coastal carolina areas have a shot next week. But the NEGA and upstate (heck, the whole state of SC) just cannot get any love from the models. I keep thinking we'll have a couple more shots before the end of Feb, and we still may, but each new threat leaves us out. Were going to run out of punting room here pretty soon.

I don't believe that- you know you want some snow too! Having said that, couldn't you have played golf the past six weeks (rain aside)? IMO, fall and winter are the best times to play golf. Summer is beyond too hot and humid.

Fv3 would be awesome for coastal areas and maybe over to I-77, but would be yet another heartbreaker for western upstate! Got a little from Dec but missed on most of it. Missed both big storms last year; Dec 17 to the West and North, and early Jan coastal to the South and East, looks like the exact same could happen again. THIS AREA SUCKS FOR SNOW!!! If the Fv3 were to verify, CHS would have more snow than GSP for the second straight year! Maybe we'll get a shot with the next system, but that may be another NC storm.

Is it just me or are the ensembles not agreeing with their Operationals, as well as operationals of other models? Both the GEFS and EPS show some decent snow for the upstate and piedmont areas, but I have yet to see an operational run that shows anything more than a flurry or dusting for the upstate, with some being a complete whiff. While I'd rather have the ensembles on my side at this point, it would be nice to see at least one operational showing something convincing for the upstate/piedmont areas. Everything has either been MS/AL/TN snow, and more recently MCN/CAE/WLM snow.