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Iceagewhereartthou

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Everything posted by Iceagewhereartthou

  1. That's what I've been thinking for a couple weeks then they keep popping back up.
  2. So much for my last post. The no 90s showing up at that time has become 90s for each of the next ten days, with mid 90s on a couple days at GSP. I am so over this heat, another summer without end!
  3. The early outlooks for September look to be way nicer than last year. Looks like nothing above mid 80s (except upper 80s Friday) over the next 10-14 days for my area. After that, it gets much harder to find temps in the 90s. Is can happen of course, but the likelihood drops of very fast. Now we need those lows in the 50s (and may actually see some 50s the next couple nights).
  4. Saw that too. Always liked John, professional but fun at the same time. Did a good overall job of forecasting in a challenging area. You could always tell he was a true weather nerd who loved his job. Well done John!
  5. Always liked that song. Maybe we should change the lyrics just a bit: Follow September Escaping summer Hell Looking for the wind Of chaaannnge... As August summer nights Slowly pass us by Yearning for the wind Of chaaannnge
  6. Well this weekend the upstate should see highs in the low 80s or even high 70s with clouds and some rain, but even after that the highs are all 80s; so no 90s. That's right on cue for our first fall "cool down" coming in late August. This past 10 days or so have gotten old quick!
  7. Is that Bastardi' s site? Let me guess, cold and snowy east! No really, what does he think?
  8. Ouch. Here's Accuweather's Fall outlook map Here's the NOAA outlook for Sept/Oct/Nov Here's Nov/Dec/Jan And Here's Jan/Feb/March
  9. Well I know you've thought about it. I'm over the whole heat/summer thing and most of us can't wait for cooler weather. It's that time of year to look for signs and global patterns. Robert (wxsouth) has made some comments on his facebook site about the possibility of a weak Nina, or a "La Nada" ENSO pattern and that it may actually favor cooler temps for us generally, as recent Ninos have not acted like historic Ninos, and we've experienced more (and deeper plunging) cold fronts during recent Ninas. He admits he does not have a good guess this year and pretty much anything is on the table, and acknowledges he completely missed last year's forecast. I also checked out youtube prognosticators and you see the same predictions of bone chilling cold and snow you see every year for the East, but we know how that goes. Right now it seems the usual pattern of pushing back the cooldown (from low 90s to upper 80s) has already started. There has been a lot of record warmth in Europe, Alaska, and the Arctic region this summer, and arctic sea ice melt appears to be tettering back and forth on the 2012 line. There are not a lot of good signs for a good brisk fall nor a decent winter. I my opinion, it is very hard to bet against the trends. Outside of the upper mid west and central part of the US, there's been very little below average for a long time. We know it will cool down and eventually we'll see fall and then winter like conditions, but will it continue to be above to well-above normal? I think predicting or even hoping for something different would be setting ourselves up for disappointment. I predict Fall and Winter will be noticeably warmer than normal (which of course is the new normal). Unfortunately, we'll see at least one winter month be drastically above normal (like the past couple Februaries for example), snow will be almost impossible to come by south of I-40 and below 2000 feet, and we'll be left scratching our heads on how a very different set of factors could lead to such a similar result as last winter. Oh, and no three-peat of the early December snow (sorry NC peeps). What say you?
  10. Well many of us saw lows in the 50s in late July this year. Hope that doesn't mean no more 50s till November this year...
  11. Well despite all the talk last weekend about upcoming troughiness, the next 8 days look to be brutal. Here's to hoping that's the last of the really big heat. Average will feel good after this ( upper 80s over low to mid 90s).
  12. My forecast calling for all lower 90s over the next 7 days, would be the first of the month for me. Going above average- the wrong direction.
  13. Per NOAA the daily averages are as follows: (Threw in GSP as a middle ground - actually surprised GSP isn't closer to Gboro norms.) July 31st August 31st September 30th October 31st Greensboro 88/70 86/66 75/55 66/44 GSP 90/70 87/67 78/56 69/46 CAE 92/72 89/69 81/59 72/47 New Bern 89/72 86/69 79/60 71/48 CHS 91/73 88/71 81/63 74/52 Actually I realized you meant sandhills of NC so I added New Bern. Still, not as much variablity as I thought it would be . Edit #2 - ok added CHS too.
  14. Well forecast for my area over the next two weeks don't show any signs of cooler, in fact they show warmer, to around 90 every day. Usually see this first notch of a cooldown second half or last week of August. This is the time of year I get really restless for fall, even though theres still a few weeks to go.
  15. NWS now showing 97 in the forecast for GSP next week, triple digits for CAE - ouch!
  16. Laugh out loud. In my experience, they'd be brown by the time you got them home anyway.
  17. Yeah we'll see about the rain. I'm in the 7-10 inch band on one run I saw; hope I dont get that much. With snow, I'm kinda in that western upstate snow hole, oconee and pickens counties that get skipped a lot due to down slope drying and coastal transfers; BUT, I'm just far enough east to usually get something. Last year I got three inches (of mostly sleet) from the December storm, and that was it for the whole season. Got two snows the year before but only 2-3 inches each.
  18. It is indeed amazing how different the weather can be in different parts of the state. I guess you guys have been in a rain drought AND a snow drought! Well we suck at snow too, but have at least seen a little.
  19. Lol, I love neither and I hate the heat! But the fact is I had around 100 inches of rain over the past 18 months so having three weeks of dry weather has been a very welcome break for me. Now I hated the hot weather, but it was almost worth it to have some time without constant rain. It's funny, I feel like some people want several inches of rain every day or their not happy... BTW, what is your location? I understand the lower part of the state has been much drier this year than my area.
  20. I've really enjoyed the dry weather the past three weeks or so; a MUCH needed break for my area. Now I guess it's back to endless rain? We need a happy medium!
  21. Hard to believe the heat we are looking at for May this weekend! GSP has not hit 90 yet but will do so easily on Friday if not before. GSP has not been higher than 96 since July 25th 2016, but could well surpass that ere the month is out! Not looking forward to this AT ALL! I remember one year back in the mid 90s when a May heat wave reached the mid 90s and ended up being the hottest weather all summer. Would be nice if that happened again here, but something tells me this is gonna be another 2016, 2012, 1993 type of summer.
  22. Accuweather gets you out to August 12th , gives me an 87 that day.
  23. Boy, REALLY hope TWC is overdoing this heat for late next week, mid 90s gonna be torture!
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