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Iceagewhereartthou

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Everything posted by Iceagewhereartthou

  1. Just caught a few minutes of John and Chris on facebook, pretty much going with what the NAM is showing; 1-4 around 85 (basically mix) all rain a few miles south. A few miles north 4-8, and few more miles north 8-12. Basically if you are NE of a line from Lake Jocassee to Pumpkintown, to Tigerville, to Northern Sptbg you will have a big snow. If you go about 25 miles south you may get nothing but cold rain. Their in house radar also shows Mtn snow starting in the mid morning tomorrow but not until after midnight tomorow for upstate, and then only lasting a few hours. They have all upstate temps rising above freezing by about noon tomorrow, then maybe falling back below for alittle while for northern areas tomorrow night. So quick snow to mix north of 85 going to all rain (take a pic while you can) then maybe some zr sunday night i guess? Huge cutoff with this system, going to be a no show for many, and small even for some and a big even for a few (in the upstate). Must be nice to live in NC!
  2. Despite a thick cloud cover keeping temps in check all day in the upstate (and afternoon temps being similar to NC) temps are running about 8-10 degrees warmer right now in the upstate. I'm seeing low to mid 30s much of NC, low to mid 40s much of upstate; heck the midlands are colder than we are, upper 30s there. Dew points are also above freezing.
  3. Pretty sure that's not something I want to participate in.
  4. Just caught up from afternoon runs, looks like we have a lot of cold rain on the way. It's about time, the mud in my yard was just drying up from the last one. Too bad I won't have power to charge my camera or I'd take a pic for you.
  5. Ah, didn't know you could do that - pretty cool!
  6. Maybe I should say 2M temps instead of "ground temps" (soil temps). Im a big believer that 2M temps are important no matter what others say. March 09, thunder snow for several hours, crazy rates - never got more than 4 or 4.5 inches b/c 2M temp wouldn't drop below 34. Areas north and east of me where temp was below freezing got a foot or more.
  7. Burrel, what location did you use?
  8. Yes I remember that now. I think NAM was only model showing it and it nailed it!
  9. Looks like dewpoints right now across the NW upstate are running in the 20s, all the way SW to Clemson/Walhalla area where they hit the 30s. Looks like 23/24 all the way to GMU, 26 here in Easley, 27 Pickens Airport. That is lower than i was expecting for today. Could figure in later for ground temps once that colder push starts.
  10. Very interesting. This is our first expererience with it for WW here so we are all interested to see how it does.
  11. Looks a lot like Feb 2014 Euro Clown map for upstate. This one puts me in the 12-16 range - will never happen. If this were my only piece of info Id go with 1-3 of slush.
  12. I simply can't believe the consitancy of the FV3 over the past week, it hasn't waivered one bit. What a coup if the overall depictions (not clown map) verified. Still wish that western upstate minimum would go away and fill in with the heavier stuff but i guess it is what it is.
  13. Yeah, we'll see a token snowflake or sleet pellet just to torture us a little more, then get heavy rain at 33 the rest of the time. If anyone in NC has power, maybe they can post some snow pics so we can see what it looks like! Or have to take a trip up Caeser's Head. Stinks livin south of the border when you want snow!
  14. Saw a few sleet pellets this morning, looks like I'm just north of the precip right now. Being where I am, it's awesome to see the colder trends this morning but I'm not buying it yet. Western upstate continues to be in a snow minimum so we really need that colder push to continue. Problem is we've seen this last minute push for colder in the past and been burned by it. I'm going with mostly ice to rain for Pickens/Oconee south of Hwy 11, maybe down to 183. All the snow projection maps the mets are putting out shows me at about 2 inches, but my parents, less than 10 miles north with about 8+! Come on cold - surprise me for once... I dae you!
  15. Makes sense to me, all models showing mostly a mix to ice in western upstate; makes for lower totals. Thick enough cold air not making it far enough SW, especially with slightly lower high.
  16. Ceasers Head will get some, buses can't make it up 276.
  17. I think you're spot on. I've noticed the trend today is for models showing a weaker high, 1032-1035 (vs yesterday 1036-1040) and it being too far west, over WI, instead of Pen. Either the low is too fast or the high is too slow but it's getting left behind.
  18. Maybe start a group therapy thread for Upstate and RDU peeps, get out all our pain about how bad our areas are for winter weather. Someone from Columbia can moderate. "Hi I'm Iceage, I'm addicted to snow and live in the upstate!"
  19. Here's the low end. Wow, went all in for CLT! 3 for AVL? Huh?
  20. Are we sure that's not their "high end" map? They used to put out 3 different ones; one for low end totals, one for high end, and one for the middle road (and most likely).
  21. The amount of whinning from the RDU crowd on the board is CRAZY. I know we all think our own backyard gets left out but they take it to another level. RDU averages more snow than the upstate, despite being a lower elevation and further from the mtns. Wasn't it just last year many of them got a big snow?
  22. Yep. I'm afraid the upstate is in for a bunch of cold rain and with a period of mix. CAD s take too long to get here and WAA is too strong. IF THE COLD AIR ISN'T ALREADY IN PLACE UPSTATE GETS SCREWED (unless you're north and east of TR). I really think most of us (upstate) are going to be disappointed by the lack of cold, NAM already backing off too.
  23. Don't worry, our ten inches will compact to two with all the IP/ZR. Going to be tough watching Hendersonville get two feet while we get two inches. Not fair dang it! Yet another with the Pickens Oconee screw job
  24. While the numbers are different, you can clearly see the western upstate warm bubble phenomenon, going from 20 in Sptbg to 3 in Oconee; an area that is slightly higher elevation and closer to the mtns. Euro has been showing this as well.
  25. Western upstate warm bubble. It's always there, but mote noticeable this time with the amount of QPF. HATE IT!!
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