Iceagewhereartthou

I would think so too, the NE trend with canes is like the NW trend with winter systems, not quite a guarantee but pretty close. With 3 days still to go and a strengthening system I still would think a scrape to OTS is still in the cards, or even a delmarva hit.

Are you guys thinking the ridge is stronger than modeled? It seems 98% of these go farther North and East in the days leading up to a potential landfall. A few exceptions, but few and far between. Already the forecast track cone has shifted significantly since yesterday morning, from as far south as Jacksonville Fl to about Hilton Head now, with the center over Wilmington. I'm thinking this will probably be another Outer Banks scraper or even near miss OTS (hopefully).

I truly am happy for the NC folks but this has been one of the most painful winters for snow ever in SC! On the edge of two big events squeezed out a couple inches each for the upstate but the only real snow in SC this year hit the coast. Everything else has been just above the state line and NC just keeps getting it, with even NEGA having done way better. Even though I expect the short end here in the upstate, this has been a hard one to take. Everything has overperformed... for everyone else. Watching NC this winter makes me feel like I'm back in high school, watching all the other guys get all the dates...

GSP to CLT to CAE triangle really got the shaft this year. Just about everybody else got their average or way above (CHS, coastal areas, even gulf coast). CAE is really in a drought and I feel for those guys. By the time they get their next shot it will be going on 5 years since their last measurable snowfall. The upstate has really gotten the short end though last few years as well.

Just becoming too hard to get snow in the upstate, let alone in March. Is there even a single model run showing any blue at all into the upstate? On every map I've seen the SC border snow wall is in full force. Heck, it's already happened this week, snow showers all the way to the border on Wed, then nothing.

Total vent here but this weather has put me in a rather foul mood. Cleaning out the garage today and having to put up with sweatiness, bugs, pollen, humidity, and seeing everything thing come out and grow and thinking about all the yard work is just grotesque. If it was May or even April I could accept it but this is beyond ridiculous. Then seeing all my neighbors cutting grass, doing yard work, and walking their dogs in shorts whilst talking about how much they like is just insult to injury. THIS IS MISERABLE! I can't believe this has happened two Februarys in a row. Man, people west of the Mississippi are so freaking lucky.

GSP calling for mid 70s Thursday and Friday with a low of 60 sandwiched in between! That's a page from last February. Then we get back almost to normal for another rainy weekend before going back to upper 60s again. Winter in this area is soooo stinkin pathetic!

Yep. And there are countless examples. Christmas 2010, we have warm surface temps, snows all day but I got like an inch and a half. Ramps up big east of here, Gaffney got like 10 inches. I grew up in Dacusville and they seem to do better for whatever reason, but still..Definitely a strange little hole over here, wish it would go away. I lived in Taylors for a few years and def did better over there, and we aren't talking about great winters either.

As frustrating as the upstate is, CAE really does have a tough time. I calculated that back in the Dec storm, and it has indeed been almost 4 years w/o measurable snow, that's INCREDIBLE. Every now and then, cola gets a really nice one, but gets blanked a heck of a lot. Not sure why it's so difficult there.

What is your exact location? I don't think people around here understand just how difficult it is for the western upstate to get over about 5 inches. They see and hear about the upstate getting snow, which we often do in a GA/NC/SC winter system (but it's usually small time), or they hear about Landrum or Gaffney and think well the "upstate " got a lot, but that's eastern. IMBY, I can think of only 2, 5+ inch snows since the 96 Blizzard; 8 inches from 1/2011, and 5.5 from 1/2016 storm. Just think how many on the board have seen 5+ just this winter. Think how many storms since 96 blizzard have delivered 5+ EAST of GSP in the upstate; MOST systems have yielded that total somewhere in Eastern upstate, but never approached in western. And don't even try to count the number of times areas a few miles north above 2000 ft have seen 5+; dozens? Scores? There is always a monkey wrench; downslopping, warm bubble, dry slot, not in prime lee regeneration area, last to feel frontal cold, gets precip from west just as it dies in situations where a coastal low forms, but too far west to benefit from that coastal low, ULLs push away from mtns, etc, etc. Eastern upstate is just a little bit better in all those situations. This storm was a perfect illustration of many of those. Amazing to see all the 4-6in totals from Sptbg eastward and look at all the sub one inch totals from clemson westward. But sadly, that is the norm. The only way we can really get a big one is in a true cold over running event (1/88, 1/2011), and those are just extremely rare. Despite the beauty of Pickens and Oconne counties, it's almost enough to make snow lovers want to move.

They're never excited either

Despite better trends for some, not helping mby. Maybe went from a trace to a dusting or half inch in Pickens county. Seriously? Doesn't matter which way it trends or what kind of a set up we have, Pickens, Oconee cannot buy a good snow. Now I may miss b/c I'm north of 85, and that happens much more than people around here remember.

I really try to stay positive, especially with the cold we've had, and I would have almost put money on it that I would have seen at least an inch since Christmas, but nothing. And I swear, it doesn't feel like there is any scenario or set up that could possibly bring more than a dusting to the upstate ever again! What the heck is going on, how has the upstate ever gotten snow before? We've missed every way possible since Christmas. Burrel, or Wow, or someone, help me off the ledge for the upstate, I'm about to declare we'll never see snow again as long as the world lasts!

Surprising but a pipe dream at this point. 1. It will look NOTHING like this next week. 2. Don't believe EURO clown maps, haven't you been burned before? 3. Even verbatim, it's basically a western upstate skip...AGAIN!

Not this again Bric ... er.. I mean Mack! #1; your statement is only true if you don't like cold and dry, which I do (and others). I'll take it any day over 70 in summer! So you need to add "IMO" after that! #2; It will never snow if it's 70 degrees. ( So by your wish, it will never snow again!) #3; IT WILL NEVER SNOW IF IT'S 70 DEGREES!!!!!!!

Cause this time of year it never gets warm enough to rain...

Yeah, it's so frustrating to watch all the big systems track elsewhere, and the next 2 big ones tracking too far west again. As I've said before, the past 15 years or so, TX/LA/MS/AL/TN area has performed waaaay better than Carolinas/GA. I honestly don't know what it would take to get another I85 special. Last one was Jan 11, before that it was years before that. We just can't buy that kind of storm anymore.

Now it's supposed to rain through Friday night and we won't even sniff freezing the whole time Mother Nature must really hate us!!!

Gotta be honest, this Monday ice potential for the piedmont feels like Mother Nature is just rubbing it in and is more frustrating than exciting. I suppose seeing a glaze of ice is better than nothing if you like winter weather (which I do) but it's just ridiculous to have all this cold and can't get a drop (while everyone to our south and east gets plastered) then the cold high tails it out AS the first freakin drops start to fall. "Oh, here's a token ice glaze that will amount to nothing and melt in ten minutes, but see, you got you winter storm (while Charleston is still digging out of historic snow)" Gee, thanks Mother Nature, nobody wants your messy ice when it would have been snow any day this week! Except I do because I like winter weather, but I don't because it's nickel and dime and I want SNOW! I'm sick, I need some help; anybody?

Ok, that really is sad and I hate it for you guys. Gee, why does that look so familiar... oh that's right, that's what I see every time it's supposed to snow here in the upstate. Ours is caused by mtn downslopping, what causes it for you guys?

THIS looks like someone is either getting truly NAM`ed or they are going to get buried! Heck, the other image shows six plus for CHS!

I assume you mean Greenville, SC ( yeah, THAT Greenville)? Na, no more snow for us. Next system will be just rain, Mtns will get buried again. There's no conceivable set up that will ever yield snow here again. Everybody else , even in Florida, but not us.

How about winning one for the Gipper!

Wow, I forgot it was modeled to be that big. Both have getting about 20 inches! I got 3.

SC. Almost as much fun to see Clemmy lose as to see SC win!