Iceagewhereartthou

Yeah, it's so frustrating to watch all the big systems track elsewhere, and the next 2 big ones tracking too far west again. As I've said before, the past 15 years or so, TX/LA/MS/AL/TN area has performed waaaay better than Carolinas/GA. I honestly don't know what it would take to get another I85 special. Last one was Jan 11, before that it was years before that. We just can't buy that kind of storm anymore.

Now it's supposed to rain through Friday night and we won't even sniff freezing the whole time Mother Nature must really hate us!!!

Gotta be honest, this Monday ice potential for the piedmont feels like Mother Nature is just rubbing it in and is more frustrating than exciting. I suppose seeing a glaze of ice is better than nothing if you like winter weather (which I do) but it's just ridiculous to have all this cold and can't get a drop (while everyone to our south and east gets plastered) then the cold high tails it out AS the first freakin drops start to fall. "Oh, here's a token ice glaze that will amount to nothing and melt in ten minutes, but see, you got you winter storm (while Charleston is still digging out of historic snow)" Gee, thanks Mother Nature, nobody wants your messy ice when it would have been snow any day this week! Except I do because I like winter weather, but I don't because it's nickel and dime and I want SNOW! I'm sick, I need some help; anybody?

Ok, that really is sad and I hate it for you guys. Gee, why does that look so familiar... oh that's right, that's what I see every time it's supposed to snow here in the upstate. Ours is caused by mtn downslopping, what causes it for you guys?

THIS looks like someone is either getting truly NAM`ed or they are going to get buried! Heck, the other image shows six plus for CHS!

I assume you mean Greenville, SC ( yeah, THAT Greenville)? Na, no more snow for us. Next system will be just rain, Mtns will get buried again. There's no conceivable set up that will ever yield snow here again. Everybody else , even in Florida, but not us.

How about winning one for the Gipper!

Wow, I forgot it was modeled to be that big. Both have getting about 20 inches! I got 3.

SC. Almost as much fun to see Clemmy lose as to see SC win!

I might just throw a party to celebrate this one! Been a great game so far, need to finish em off!

Yet Raleigh still gets more than the upstate

If another Carolina Crusher happens I'll certainly be crushed!

Times 999,999,999,999,999...!!!!

"Now I, now I know I wish would snow down, down on me Oooooh... yes I wish would snow, snow down on me now..."

"Don't your feet get cold in the Wintertime The sky won't snow and the sun won't shine It's hard to tell the nighttime from the day Losin` all your highs and lows Ain't it funny how the feelin` goes away..."

Well best of luck to all the coastal peeps, to be sure, they don't get a lot of chances, especially below Wilmington. Gotta say though, it will be tough to swallow, for us piedmont peeps, to get skipped on two storms so far. Many to my West and SW got the big one last time and many to my East and SE May get this one. I know there is a lot of winter left but we won't be cold forever and the piedmont would like some snow too please... ...ok, Mother Nature?

This is about where I am honestly, except I got min from that snow. The models have been so wrong with all those systems its is indeed frustrating. I am slowly coming to terms that there will be no snow with the current pattern. The one good thing is the cold. If it's not going to snow, at least give me some cold so it can feel like winter! I get sick of all the 60s and 70s we've been having the last couple winters, at least now I can actually wear a jacket. I don't get all the people wanting to wear shorts the whole winter then complaining because it won't snow. Only problem with the cold is GSP is either not impressed, their being conservative, or its looking pretty "meh". They've raised my temps several degrees for next week since yesterday. Looking at highs in upper 30s to low 40s, lows upper teens to low 20s. Not bad, below normal, but nothing to write home about.

This is exactly why I hated getting the short end of the December snow. We only get a few legitimate shots regardless if it's solar winter or not. While I think we'll get a couple more shots after the upcoming pattern change, that could ironically have been our best shot this winter.

CJ from WYFF just jumped ship for Friday system, it takes a lot for him to jump. I'm still not ready to call that one till tomorrow evening though, already we're seeing some correction NW on some models. However, we are quickly losing out on this colder pattern of opportunity. At one time there were pretty good signals for a Christmas system; kaput! Weak signal for 27th; no dice. Big consensus for 29th; sun is setting. Big dog for New year's; fat lady on stage. We could very soon be a quick 0-4 and running out of cold!

I was just looking at that, 2.1 inches on the 12th, will soon be 4 years. That's hard to believe even for CAE. It either has to be a perfect or a freaky setup for you guys. You also got 2.1 that January so 4.2 that year, but that is it going back to Dec 2012 ; 5 years. So an average of .84 per year For comparison, GSP has only had 20.6 during that time frame, or just 4.12 per year, so we're not knocking it out of the park either. Been a rough go in the state for sure.

I haven't seen snow in awhile, think it's just the proverbial 33 and rain, May not even be sleet anymore. Oh well maybe a half inch of mess here at my place, better than nothing!

Pretty map but so far we have some major problems in the upstate. Temps are basically steady in mid 40s and we have a flaming 925 level. Add to that the bulk coming through in the middle of the daytime and we don't have a good recipe. And don't forget, western upstate NEGA are always the last ones to benefit from CAA coming over the mtns, there's a reason all the models are showing that minimum there.

This is my main concern as well. This scenario seems like our version of Groundhog Day. We start tracking, guidance shows cold is there, looks like we're on the northern fringe with no QPF, NW track commences, enter WWA, plenty of QPF, temps are a problem. Boundary level problems almost never resolve unless we have crazy low wetbulbs. This time we're already moist and cloudy with temps in mid 40s. I would almost bet 85 through the upstate doesn't get below about 37 or 36. And I've seen many times where rates don't overcome BL and ground temps.

Good post burrell, always like seeing your input. Your last part is a great description of the 2009 December storm, Mtns got a big one, including SC mtns, but is was just a cruel hair too warm below 2000 ft.Got a few sleet pellets mixed in in Taylors, but nothing else. That was tough one to swallow.Even though this is a different setup, it could have very similar results.

Well i was one of the lucky ones and got a good 3-3.5 here in Easley. My parents in Dacusville got 5.5! But yeah, just East of here missed on that one, but it all evens out, you guys got the Halloween snow a couple years ago and I didnt get a flake.