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fountainguy97

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Everything posted by fountainguy97

  1. fountainguy97
    NBM helping to bring things into focus. definitely think that the classic CAD with miller B handoff is taking over right now vs the slider scenario. This is going to come down to how strong is that HP. And can it keep the storm suppressed.
  2. fountainguy97
    It did. Good tick south
  3. fountainguy97
    UK is a beauty. Big tick south Update: it is also going to be a blood bath of ice for ETN
  4. fountainguy97
    We are right in the middle of solutions so far at 12z. CMC north, GFS south with euro having been in the middle at 06z. That is precisely where you want to be at this stage.
  5. fountainguy97
    Overnight ensembles are juicy. Lots to be ironed out but you can clearly see the classic CAD boundaries setting up. Hopefully the zr outputs end up being a lot of sleet. the NBM shows the footprint well.
  6. fountainguy97
    Can already see the classic CAD look on the blend of models. someone may end up with a truly historic ice storm
  7. fountainguy97
    I feel the same way. I think climo would leave us in the ice category. And the snow stays into KY, VA. Just my gut talking
  8. fountainguy97
    Phew.
  9. fountainguy97
    NAM is about to be an absolute behemoth.
  10. fountainguy97
    Big tick NW on GEFS. I don't see anything that would really keep this super suppressed. GFS is not backing down yet.
  11. fountainguy97
    I'm not going to lie. This winter has been so frustrating and continues to be. We can't seem to manage a single decent synoptic driven snow. I've been checked out since the little event the first week of November and that hasn't changed and doesn't look to. I guess the plus side is I've had more sleep over the winter than ever before. Just incredible how bad the short term trends have been for this mid-week event. Yet another token NW event on deck.
  12. fountainguy97
    I'm not surprised at all but this event has been a complete and total failure by the models. It's a toasty 38 here and I've racked up .30 of rain. Hrrr and nam and RRFS had only a couple hrs of rain before a changeover around 6am. I don't think even the NW stuff will be snow this afternoon. I hope my friends and family over in Eastern NC don't have the same fate!
  13. fountainguy97
    55 here now! Hrrr and nam both keep the border counties snow. Looks like a nice 1-2" surprise may be in store for my area. I'll believe it when it's falling from the sky though.
  14. fountainguy97
    Hrrr had me at 40 at 12... it's 34 currently.
  15. fountainguy97
    My house here in Erwin!
  16. fountainguy97
    Phew
  17. fountainguy97
    high res video from my weather cam of the snow squall earlier today. White out conditions! Really cranks at the 2:30 mark and onward. Gusts over 20mph. Click here for snow squall video
  18. fountainguy97
    I hope you just looked outside. full on whiteout conditions!!
  19. fountainguy97
    These bands are fun. 27 with quarters falling and it's November 10th.
  20. fountainguy97
    This is a very deep batch of moisture (for NW events) and is more than just your typical NW flow. If the NAM is correct this would bring a few hours of snow across a large portion of the region and not just confined to the NW slopes.
  21. fountainguy97
    Finally getting into range of high res and the NAM is bringing the goods. This ULL could be fun. Perfect timing right after sunset. And we are COLD COLD.
  22. fountainguy97
    Not to derail the thread but why did it get shut down? Drama?
  23. fountainguy97
    Going to be your standard NW event. Doesn't look too meaningful for a lot of folks but hey snow is snow. Warm ground and it'll be falling in the day mostly. I'm just waiting for High-res.
  24. fountainguy97
    Yes. It's so difficult to find any info regarding events in this area. I dig through this forum a lot to find storms. Too bad it wasn't around before the 2010s.
  25. fountainguy97
    Icon and euro both really dig the trough and give some nice NW snow to the region. Euro breaks containment with trailing snow showers across NC too. this is random but does anyone remember the November 1,2014 storm? Was it a monster ULL? Someone here showed me a Facebook memory and it looked like Erwin got smoked especially considering it was so early in the season.
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