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Everything posted by fountainguy97
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Latest nam is beautiful for tmrw morning. Some nice NW powder pads totals for mountains tomorrow night. I'm all in on it haha. Hrrr much less aggressive. NAM has been better this year so far. of course need to cut this down by half at least for ground temps etc.
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Yeah now that a global has jumped on board I'm extremely interested in that timeframe. I have found it best to pay attention when the Euro is the first global to sound the alarm. nice signal for the East Coast. Tomorrow has turned more novelty than anything at this point. Daytime killing us on temps. Especially the valley.
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12z gfs nice bump up in QPF on the snowy side. Continues a trend of more consolidated sourthern lobe. this is now not far from shades of the Christmas 2020 event. Pretty sure that one really strengthened on models in the short term like this is.
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Hmmm. RGEM supports. Would be daytime and warm/wet ground so not exactly a money maker. But maybe something fun to watch.
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I can't believe it but I woke up to double what the NAM had for me. Although I was skeptical of the low totals considering the NAM had 8hrs of snow in the mid-20s. Pleasantly surprised this morning! This 4.5" (adding what is still falling) of snow is more snow than the last two winter totals.
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2.5" total here. Most fell in that first wave of precip. my totals the last 2 winters are 4.3 (23-24) and 4.0 (22-23).
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z NAM and HRRR have what I best describe as a clipper style batch of precip moving through Thursday night. This should be enough for snow across the valley. Temps are close but should be good. then the NW flow boosts totals for the usual suspects.- 689 replies
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06z Hrrr has a nice slug of moisture swinging down. This is more than just NW flow. And could give some areas outside the typical regions some snow.
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
GFS with an insane run for WV. 6+ days of heavy NW flow would have those ski resorts grinning ear to ear!!- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Straight from summer to winter. Chasing flurries on the peaks tomorrow evening. PS: me and my friend got a commercial license of weatherbell to use on our weather page. So I'll have plenty of them coming your way this winter- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Erwin update. Our church is the main distribution hub sending supplies into NC. We are rolling non-stop. It's going out as fast as it comes in.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is a mass casualty event here in Erwin. 39 people missing. Not a single found. No telling how many others unaccounted for. We have people calling/asking if we have seen people. Reports of bodies being found in trees... The police department estimate water rose over 30ft. There are caskets laying around the river.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Jackson Love was still up as night fell. Of course that doesn't tell the whole story but theoretically there is a route down I-26 and detour down Jackson Love through town and back to I-26. thankfully the I-26 bridge is not on the south side of exit 40. I have some jaw dropping footage over that bridge from lunchtime.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We are all good here. Well away from any water thankfully. I-26 has just confirmed to be collapsed at exit 40... and I think it'll be much more washed out than it is now. kind of shocked... can't believe this is happening here. We are a small community. This type of event is something that alters the course of our entire economy and way of life..- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One of my favorite things about tropical systems is the nice cool/dry air that often chases behind them.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My best winters here so far have been weak/mid Nina's. So honestly I'm not super negative on this winter. The last two have been mostly nothing burgers for the mountains. I haven't taken a peak at winter yet. I feel like the last few winters we haven't gotten the pacific to work with us at all. The last two winters have been mostly -PNA with shots of +pna. And a dominate -PDO for years now.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's amazing how fast we can go from wet to dry. We had such a wet start to summer here but after a few weeks of no rain and this heat my grass is crispy. My family in East NC are saying crops are not doing well and the corn crop is close to collapse. Don't really see much relief in the next week or two besides isolated storms. Maybe one of these fronts on the GFS will bring some widespread rain.- 689 replies
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March/ Spring mid-long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Currently 72/54 and one of the best feeling afternoons of the year today. Beautiful. -
March/ Spring mid-long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah I've been tuned out since shortly after the January snow week. Some winters it just wants to snow and every system just works out. Others are like this and we have 3+ systems scoot south and whiff everyone. Tough draw of the cards this winter. Early season bushes/trees have buds here. It was very warm but has been colder recently especially the mornings. Just need a few good days in the low 60s and spring has sprung!- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
fountainguy97 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
A cool 27 this morning but the song birds are out in full force today around here. Sounds like spring. These days in the 50s are perfection this time of year. I'm not complaining.
