Jump to content

Buddy1987

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,178

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    18z FV3 is worlds difference compared to some of the other models. More north yet still plenty cold for a bunch. Takes low from CHS to Hatteras.
  2. Buddy1987
    The confluence isn’t as pronounced this run up north and should’ve allowed the storm to come a little further north this go around, albeit it is the 18z gfs we are talking about.
  3. Buddy1987
    GFS is doing something wonky with the low at 168. It’s like it has convective feedback issues and has it haul ass from 162-168, like it is trying to have the low over that area of convection well off the coast.
  4. Buddy1987
    Looks like s/w trended a little stronger and north. Maybe the reasoning behind mixing even up my way at the onset due to warmer mid levels infiltrating resulting from less confluence. I really believe until the Euro has the support it’s the outlier as of right now.
  5. Buddy1987
    18z gfs has snow developing at 144 over NW SC/SW NC. Let’s see where she goes from here. 18z is slightly northeast of its 12z position at this time frame.
  6. Buddy1987
    Until the GFS caves to the Euro solution, imo it’s GFS, Ukie, FV3, Canadian vs Euro.
  7. Buddy1987
    I’m guessing a little more bc of ratios with the temps that cold. I believe last I looked they were running in the low to mid 20s. Face value it’d be a solid storm and I would take it in a heartbeat if it’s gonna be squish city.
  8. Buddy1987
    Guys what model has performed better as of late GFS or Euro? Looks like it’s a battle between the two with the Canadian looking more like the gfs at this juncture.
  9. Buddy1987
    What about the stj and subsequent tapping of gulf moisture? The gulf looks to be wide open on this one. I would think the northern shield would end up looking much better come verification time, even if it were suppressed city.
  10. Buddy1987
    I’m on my phone when I view these things thus why I can’t.
  11. Buddy1987
    @168 Low is east of CHS
  12. Buddy1987
    Euro def has some serious cold building in at 144 from the NE, with a 1039 HP over Iowa. This storm has been intriguing to track at the minimum.
  13. Buddy1987
    FV3 and Euro are not that far off from one another with LP placement at 144. Euro just a tick faster.
  14. Buddy1987
    I think you’re gonna be just fine as well man, especially with that HP anchored right to our north. Gonna have good antecedent conditions for this one.
  15. Buddy1987
    @Jonathan I gotta agree with @WidreMann on that one it really isn’t that hostil meteorologically speaking. You have a low that traverses across the country in the southern stream with confluence up top basically dictating how far north and south this thing goes. The models have moved away from the miller b scenario and are honing in on a miller a scenario in its place. The trend over the next few days is to see if the confluence is modeled too weak or too strong. I am beginning to get that sense as others have alluded to that regardless a good majority are going to get a healthy front end thump, which I’m more than ok with, as that is when we have our best storms. Comes in like a darn wall.
  16. Buddy1987
    Canadian if no one posted is a classic WNC/VA snowstorm track, pending 850s. Seems to me we are trending more toward a miller a with the models.
  17. Buddy1987
    Careful man don’t be unrealistic and get your hopes up or speak truth on what the models are showing around here. Might be taken out of context. Anywho, 12z gfs is a beast of a storm for most the forum. Will leave my analysis short and sweet.
  18. Buddy1987
    Looks like another band of light snow trying to build once again over the hills. Depending on what it does, you could potentially add to the total.
  19. Buddy1987
    Days and days of snow for Downeast Maine. What a radar shot.
  20. Buddy1987
    I am amazed by that band over Windham county. Unreal there the last couple hours. Looking forward to reports out of the county later.
  21. Buddy1987
    Post it to youtube and then copy the link and it'll work. Had the same problem yesterday myself. @RUNNAWAYICEBERG bro it has got to be dumping over you right now. Nexrad is bright yellow in and around you guys.
  22. Buddy1987
    That band stretching from Lindenhurst Long Island to southeastern Litchfield County, CT looks legitimate. The band stretching from eastern Long Island into southeastern CT has also gained traction and is moving westward at a quicker pace. Gonna be interesting to see where they set up shop for awhile. Meanwhile, to the east of all this looks like complete domination. Unreal snowbands pivoting off the Atlantic.
  23. Buddy1987
    The central CT subsidence looks to be slowly fading away, viewing the wunderground Nexrad radar. The band also looks to be building ever so slightly to the east as well. Should be good times for the CT peeps here shortly.
  24. Buddy1987
    I didn't realize last storm you missed the good band. We ended up with 18'' in Thomaston on that one. Hopefully she pivots or back builds for you in a little.
  25. Buddy1987
    Good thing is I am closer to that way. Im off exit 137 on 81 if you are familiar.
×
×
  • Create New...