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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    Damn it’s really trying hard to snow SW VA and mountains of WV Monday. Can only hope we get something. My fear is Wednesday system blossoms too late and we primarily miss out this way right now.
  2. Buddy1987
    What’s everyone’s take on gfs vs euro and cmc? Which usually wins out in these types of scenarios. Gfs is more or less nuisance event with low taking off too late and/or has a big dry slot come through southern portions of forum.
  3. Buddy1987
    I agree but it’s all we got right now lollll. I do think H5 wise though it’s similar to GFS and to Euro but I know your feelings about GFS end of the day haha.
  4. Buddy1987
    It is so freaking close here to it being a bigger deal. 2M in the mid 30s along the 81 corridor. I’m hoping rates can possibly turn it over to a wet a** snow. Looks great for the DC crew and that’s with it having a known warm bias.
  5. Buddy1987
    I know the general rule of thumb with cold dense air HP helping out naturally in a lot of situations, especially one anchored around St Lawrence Valley. Will 1036 be strong enough to combat the primary low pressure?
  6. Buddy1987
    I actually feel relatively positive about Monday around ROA. I don’t really consider myself the mountains however like some do. Going to be close.
  7. Buddy1987
    Yea I would agree I think the primary will end up more west northwest of this particular setup but I also don’t think it drives as far north into the HP. We’ve all been around the block wrt that.
  8. Buddy1987
    Which one would you personally put your money on for down this way based on model guidance. I was more or less transferring all my eggs to Wednesday but Euro and GFS keeps me interested for Monday.
  9. Buddy1987
    For me I’d be more inclined to put my eggs in one basket for the Wed system, at least for my direct area. Any time HP sitting up top the LP does not make it as far north and east and ends up transferring. Even if WAA overcomes shallow cold, still problematic for sleet/ZR. Any type of wintry precipitation this year would be a huge boost, as last year was just a complete debacle in every facet.
  10. Buddy1987
    Icon in CMC camp and honking for next Wed.
  11. Buddy1987
    What happened to Bob anyway?
  12. Buddy1987
    Crazy right?! You got 2m’s in Wytheville at 32 and in central and eastern va you’re up around 50
  13. Buddy1987
    Agreed. Track can’t get much better than that. This whole pattern is very volatile. Medium range is gonna get might busy me thinks.
  14. Buddy1987
    Beat me to the punch. Icon trying to peeps closer to eastern apps.
  15. Buddy1987
    I would never complain again if the CMC verified. Good lord what an absolute mammoth of a storm for the entire forum.
  16. Buddy1987
    Didn’t suck down here for Monday’s system. Was Euro against the world and it came out victorious. Yes I pushed my chips all in. What else do I have to lose..
  17. Buddy1987
    Boy that would be a kick right in the nuts if a track like that verified on the Icon and we get a cold a** rain at 38.
  18. Buddy1987
    Nice little dusting here no complaints.
  19. Buddy1987
    Love it!! Thanks a bunch brother. Just with any type of system these days down this part you don’t take for granted any opportunity with the hand Mother Nature has dealt last couple winters.
  20. Buddy1987
    @Disc @wxdude64 here’s the area of precip I’m watching, as it has recently began to blossom. The NWS national radar has a pretty good loop to see where it has just recently taken off as well. I’m hoping the vort(s) end up giving us a nice little surprise wrt overachieving later on this evening. Disc is there any concern for downsloping or overall anything with the precip struggling once it encounters the apps that you see?
  21. Buddy1987
    Awesome. You got a little elevation on me up that way. 35.2 27.4 dew would equate to right at 32 for evaporational cooling purposes if we can’t drop much more.
  22. Buddy1987
    We need the northern most area of precip to continue to develop over northwestern most Alabama and into extreme southern TN. That will be what to watch tonight for those tracking. Also the disturbance rippling through to enhance anything that develops and crosses the mountains. Latest HRRR beefs up precip with 23z as well.
  23. Buddy1987
    Looks like the latest HRRR gets some very light echoes into the DC area but it’s more or less kind of grasping at straws. Hey anything is better than nothing.
  24. Buddy1987
    I thought and I could be wrong the HRRR is more widely used now over the RAP. At any rate I think marginal temps for you down your way may prove problematic. The more radiation this evening the better all of us may fare. Right now there’s zero clouds up here and the temp has corresponded by dropping 5 degrees.
  25. Buddy1987
    Wholeheartedly agree. Pretty much every model today has flipped toward the juicier side of things. Will love to see the radar a little later on here.
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