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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    3k nam coming in colder. More of a sleet than ZR sounding down this way and more snow than mix north of 64. Bodes better for people like @clskinsfan if taken at face value.
  2. Buddy1987
    Appreciate your insight on everything.
  3. Buddy1987
    @griteater what’s your take on HRRR? Does it usually run too cold? Latest run looks much colder with several hours of some moderate snow up this way based on this run vs last using cod website.
  4. Buddy1987
    Decent little spread there on temp vs dew. I’m down to 32.7 and dew of 27.7 with clear skies so trying to take advantage of that while it lasts.
  5. Buddy1987
    Temp down to 32.7 dew 27.7
  6. Buddy1987
    So looking at things you guys are actually further to the east of Martinsville than I thought. The corridor from Martinsville up 220 into Roanoke looks like Nam is targeting. A little farther to the east for you guys the amounts lessen but I would still say .1-.2. I would say BornAgain has a better chance to see a little more potential than further south into your area If you were to take Nam verbatim. Key to watch today is how high temps get and how long clouds can hold off tonight for radiational cooling and get the low as far down as possible before WAA takes over and starts slowly bumping the temp up.
  7. Buddy1987
    At least down this way back to back runs of some pretty nasty ice accretion. .60” or higher. Even half of that would not be good down this way.
  8. Buddy1987
    @BornAgain13 NASTY ice forecasts back to back NAM runs for us. .60” and higher. Even half of that would not be good for the area.
  9. Buddy1987
    Grit what are you thinking up this way? Ice storm warnings rather than a genuine Winter Storm Warning?
  10. Buddy1987
    3k at 38 has much better moisture transport or at least looks more juicy as well. I really need front end to overproduce down this way because I don’t get ccb like a lot of folks farther to my north and east
  11. Buddy1987
    I bet you 3k looks better than 12k here shortly
  12. Buddy1987
    18z nam coming in colder at least for northern areas. Trying to start off as all snow up this way and icy mix further south
  13. Buddy1987
    Damn it’s way colder up this way.. I would not want to be Blacksburg for this one. Lose lose IMO
  14. Buddy1987
    What did 12z euro show? I have limited access because of work.
  15. Buddy1987
    Welp.. after seeing 12z gfs this is now the theme. Maybe we can get lucky and eek out 1-2” quick but looks to be a predominantly icy event here.
  16. Buddy1987
    Regardless 12z nam does not look fun wrt ZR potential. Right around .60 so even half of that would be pretty bad. Would say it’s kind of weird to see the nam so much warmer than gfs but reality is nam is super amped and gfs is more progressive in nature. Tough forecast at least for my area. If I were a betting man I’d probably go 2-4” then .15-.30 glaze
  17. Buddy1987
    Alright ladies and gents. About T minus 0. The most important run of our weenie lives. I’ve heard all the big boys and girls talk about 0z Monday being thee run to be ready for, as sampling etc would be available to our main player. Here’s to getting destroyed on the upcoming model runs!
  18. Buddy1987
    Usually starts running at about 1020pm or so
  19. Buddy1987
    Anyone have a simulated radar from start to finish?
  20. Buddy1987
    Yea man that’s the problem with it being mid December. I-40 south it’s just not time yet in my opinion. Usually takes a lot even up my way (1038mb) high pressure. I will post some pics for you guys with whatever happens. The long range looks pretty damn good. There will be another medium range threat that pops up. I will bet on it.
  21. Buddy1987
    @clskinsfan P17 you and I can go ahead and shake on. I’ll take my foot plus so you can have your two foot plus. Man that’s a BECS
  22. Buddy1987
    Man that is just crazy from the GEFS with banding expectancy.
  23. Buddy1987
    @BornAgain13 you never flip to plain rain on 18z gfs and it is trying damn hard to predominantly snow up this way. Maybe some sleet mixing in at end of the storm basing it off cod website.
  24. Buddy1987
    Wow hell of a run! That deform band is just dumb from 78 on. GFS has been very consistent now for multiple runs overall.
  25. Buddy1987
    72 looks ever so slightly more progressive as low placement is already NE of Wilmington while 12z was just off MYR
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