Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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Lol p27 would pretty much make the entire board happy here.
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I mean for me confluence continues to be progged a little stronger as we get closer to game time. I may end up being wrong but for me that will more or less force the low to feel it’s effects and go more south than north.
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Does Canadian look like it may have that tucked in look like 18z gfs did? That high pressure is an ideal spot.
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I swear Harrisburg and SE PA is the weather capital. Supercell and tornadic thunderstorms in the summer year in and year out and then potent winter storms with maximum potential more often that not.
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That’s what I was referencing was the placement and not overall strength.
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Jesus worlds difference. Really puts in perspective how amped 18z was
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Agreed with all sentiments shared. Definitely a colder run even down this way. Incoming meatballs! That high is primo.
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@Yeoman there’s your primary in northern TN @78
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Anyone is welcome to correct me but anything that would be cosmetic differences thus far. 1st wave maybe a tad more flat vs 18z and then at 60 high pressure appears to be potentially positioning itself just a little bit better wrt location.
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I was literally just getting ready to post myself LOL! It got cold feet and flaked out
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Def wouldn’t take much but I think even where it is at now we can still bank on all frozen for cad areas because that high is in a really good spot. Just depends what type of frozen is your cup of tea. I really want snow but after last year I will take anything I can get at least for myself.
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Here’s 84hr panel.. big time cad all the way down into NW SC
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Out to 63 stout wedge building in. High looks to be a little stronger as well. All the panels haven’t updated yet so only have surface and not upper levels as they’re stuck at 45.
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0z nam looks to be trying to set the stage for a better 50/50 with wave 1 exiting toward Nova Scotia at 51. Yes I’m ready for the 0z suite and no I’m not ashamed to extrapolate the nam.
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Isn’t this the time frame where Euro or some of the models have their blips and then come back to reality? Usually between 72-96 hours or so from start time? Do some wonky things and then recorrect?
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This is something that I enjoy because as long as it trends in the right direction we have plenty of time to fix evolution and precipitation type. This goes wrong way we’re all in trouble. Good to see 850s trying to wedge down into SW NC mountains. Good sign normally for I-77/81 and northbound from there.
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I’m not sure it’s too late to share the same sentiment with you
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I’m still sticking to my 3” bar so I don’t get disappointed out this way with expectation we switch to sleet or freezing rain as waa comes up over top
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Nam has the primary pretty far north and east but then again it’s the 84 hour nam and that’s the equivalency of trusting a wet fart when you have the stomach bug so there’s that..
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Tends to over amp. I wouldn’t be overly concerned and is not known to sniff out cad. For the GFS and GEFS to be honking is a big tell tale sign.
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I agree I don’t have that warm fuzzy feeling anymore. I think 3” is a win down here then sleet and freezing rain to crust it on top.
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That would be a change of events considering most of the 12z guidance locks it in a good way for most here. Will be enhanced IMO as we move closer to game time.
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Surprised with the evolution and lock step from previous runs my totals got cut in half down here. I don’t get it..
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From your experience do you think nw banding will increase as we get closer farther to the south/southwest for NC foothills/VA and up into you all?
