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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    Even down this way?
  2. Buddy1987
    Oof yea GFS is DOA for 12z. I would love to use the excuse of convective feedback but that is probably pulling at straws at this point.
  3. Buddy1987
    I’ll honestly believe it when I see it even down in ROA for my backyard.
  4. Buddy1987
    Do it!! I’m not sure I ended the season above 2” total so let’s bring some good juju early on.
  5. Buddy1987
    12/9/2018 last time I had something decent early around here
  6. Buddy1987
    How much would it take for everyone to have a meh rest of the year if Monday came to fruition and over performed? Be honest
  7. Buddy1987
    Man that’s a nasty looking band over FLL and Boca up into West Palm
  8. Buddy1987
    This has my attention this go around, as my parents literally just relocated from Charleston SC to Naples within the past 3 weeks. Curious to get everyone’s thoughts as to what, if any disruption Cuba does to this thing before it re-emerges back into the Atlantic/Gulf. Me thinks we’re in for a surprise (just gut feeling) nothing scientific or meteorologically speaking.
  9. Buddy1987
    10+ years of living in Roanoke can’t say I ever recall seeing Tropical Storm warnings and local hurricane statement products issued. Pretty wild. Gusts to 47 tomorrow for my area.
  10. Buddy1987
    @CAPE @nj2va @yoda if you guys could choose would you prefer a front loaded or back loaded winter if given the opportunity to pick?
  11. Buddy1987
    I like the positivity!
  12. Buddy1987
    Hey guys! Two questions. 1. Anyone care to guess what some of those cumulonimbi tops are in this ring wrapping around the center? 2. Anyone with aviation knowledge know what the p3 and other weather aircraft are programmed with or what is installed in the cone of the planes to avoid direct lightning strikes or how it is “safe” and I use that word laughing flying into something like this?
  13. Buddy1987
    My sister is in Summerville and is saying there are sirens everywhere. Luckily they are ok
  14. Buddy1987
    Debris field on the super res velocity on radar scope is unreal. Can’t get a hold of my sister either as it’s 15 miles from them now ugh..
  15. Buddy1987
    Man starting to get worried for my sister who lives in Summerville. No more than 30 miles from Walterboro to her house and that’s not on a direct line. This thing is incredible on the super res velocity.
  16. Buddy1987
    Would someone be kind enough to post the NAM and GFS or any type of model output that shows for VA DC etc as to what squall line will look like when it blows through tomorrow morning? Or is there a site I can access that would show this in a better manner than instant weather maps. *I have Pivotal weather as well. That seems to be a bit better wrt svr parameters they offer.
  17. Buddy1987
    The verbiage on the Day 2 synopsis is concerning considering they go with possible strong tornadoes and an outbreak and mention southern va and areas around. Not sure I’ve ever seen that in the 10 years I’ve lived here myself except maybe one time but the ingredients never came together.
  18. Buddy1987
    More I look now more the parameters are the highest I’ve seen in some time for 0-1 helicity being 450-500 on the NAM and winds ripping right above the surface over 60 knots based on the GFS. Temps get close to 70. Question for the pros would be are we looking more at high shear low instability environment or do we have a chance to build up anything before everything comes together.
  19. Buddy1987
    Kind of just starting to acclimate myself to this threat, as Blacksburg has somewhat kept it tepid. Do the ingredients get as far north as VA or is it more NC,SC and the Deep South on this one?
  20. Buddy1987
    Gut shot would say anyone north and west of I40 would have the best odds we've had in a very long time. GGEM has been furthest south and more of a swing and a miss. GFS is and has been the most amped and Euro and ICON have been best case scenarios for a couple runs for the northern folks of the forum.
  21. Buddy1987
    Makes sense then. Be honest man with the way the winter has been it's great to see for the time being and I'd rather be in the euro camp with this years trends etc bc the GFS has been the euro's biatch. Knocking on wood as we speak so I dont jinx the 0z Euro run. Hopefully GEFS improved because there were some decent hits at 18z.
  22. Buddy1987
    Not even saying this because I'm wish casting but GFS has been atrocious with next weekend's storm. It has a different solution it seems almost every Zulu run. Now has cutter up into southern Ohio. Wont buy it until Euro and other models show something similar. Euro Canadian and Icon all in a similar camp compared to GFS.
  23. Buddy1987
    Lmao just beat me to it. Was typing as you were posting.
  24. Buddy1987
    FWIW ICON has been an absolute crush job for the 81 corridor back into the NW NC mountains. Granted it is the ICON but it has been known to have scored a coup or two in the past and has the backing of the Euro and to a lesser extent the GFS (but only because of temp issues). Pretty big signal between models that next weekend someone will be skiing or swimming.
  25. Buddy1987
    Going to be super nitpicky and say the western shield would probably be much more expansive. Big time snow track for western portions of the area with a low track over RIC.
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