Euro tries for a little Sandbar Scott on the 7th. Could easily end up more wedged, but warm verbatim.
Monday also looks sneaky downslope dandy-ish. Probably see a few 50F in the warm spots.
It's close, but that's a pretty solid thump SNH down to maybe down to your area. I think there will be a decent fronto band and pretty meh outside where the sets up
The AIFS was by far the best model for temps today in the day 3/4 timeframe. I still don't entirely trust it for precip/storms, but at times it seems very good for temps/500 heights.
MHT and CON are -1 to -2 too. Last couple of days evened out the departures after BOS was running a couple degrees colder relative to normal. Maybe call it seasonably cold locally.
To put the last couple Jans in perspective...MHT is running 10F colder than Jan 2023 and 6F colder than Jan 2024. Avg high temp mtd this Jan is 32.3F and the Avg T in Jan 2023 was 34.7F! So the highs this month are running colder than the avg T in 2023. Funny thing is that month as torched as Jan 2023 and Jan 2024 were both had considerably more snow mtd.
I thought about doing that too. My davis is mid slope on my property. Dumps another 20-30ft immediately below it to street level. I'm sure there would've been a decent difference this morning.
Yeah, fake or not, the temps still go in the books. Rad spots have it baked into climo. Those windy airmasses feel worse but dont produce decent lows in places like CON. The snowpack, while thin, also makes a big difference radiating.
My guess is models are a little warm across the rad areas that just got fresh snow, but itll depend on how much it can calm off. Neither night looks real windy, but Wednesday has the best shot.