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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. and of course, it's hard to treat them when it's pouring rain
  2. right. treated roads should be fine, but untreated ones, watch out.
  3. Even the coldest meso (ARW) gives you 1" of rain before flipping to below 32 at the surface. I also haven't seen folks calling for "all rain" but maybe I missed it.
  4. That definitely looks north of the first time I recall you posting it though.
  5. Interesting that the herpes definitely sees more cold than its big brothers
  6. Sure, I'm just pointing out a model that happens to show the scenario
  7. 15z RAP shows you how it's done. Cold air from the north, meet warm air from the south. Hello ice. Tolland-approved.
  8. needs to be put in the context of how much a complete torch it was at 0z/6z, or it's not particularly useful information. The most extreme model on either side should be expected to adjust towards the center.
  9. the ARWs would be interesting everywhere. Everything else is pretty meh south of the pike...maybe FV3 is interesting north of the CT border. Would be pretty sweet if the ARWs scored a coup here
  10. I publicly apologized to him for that. But keep talking about others taking pot shots, old man.
  11. HRRR is pretty similar to FV3 - in the middle of the ARW and NAM
  12. It is...wondering if it is a little overdone though
  13. kevin's first call was right, should have stuck with it
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