JC-CT
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Everything posted by JC-CT
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it's ugly for you too
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uncongrats GFS but I think we all knew that already
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congrats nobody south of the pike
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sleet is just prepackaged slush
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gl up there
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These runs are all 18z?
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Yeah maybe a little bit. They are all kind of within an hour or two of each other with the changeover. The bigger difference is what happens before that. Both the NAM and HRRR are a lot uglier with high dews and temps than the GFS.
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The GFS is definitely less torchy with the dews than the NAM.
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Compared to what
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Mostly ping, but maybe some pong in there too
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ping city
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it will probably still be there in some form, but it will take a hit for sure
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It was still 18+ hours straight of dews above 40
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wear a hat if you go outside
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thanks for sharing the particulars of your backyard
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a lot of people
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I mean, it's not nothing. Curious why BOX hasn't updated their AFD today, I'd really like to know if they still think very minimal accretion outside of western zones.
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Makes sense - it's both the height of the warm and cold layers, plus how warm and cold they are.
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That's qpf right? Not accretion?
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It's going to start as rain to Canada. It's literally already raining all along Canadian border in NY state.
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I'm not an expert at all at figuring out sleet vs freezing rain...but this is a pretty deep cold layer, no? ptype algo is showing FZRA but I'm guessing it's an IP/FZ mix.
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Yeah, I'm definitely thinking there will be some amount of wintry precip all the way down to the shore. It's just that it's definitely gonna rain first, when it does change over it will probably go from fz to pellets fairly quickly, and snow is probably going to be minimal due to completely torched mids (850).
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Well you threw out all the other models
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okay, it's hard not to laugh at that sliver of 50 tickling kev's fanny.
