Divergence aloft is just crazy right now. The atmospheric uplift over high heat content is going to continue allowing Delta to fight even the very strong mid level directional shear vector. That being said, as soon as the shear begins to abate, it could rapidly recore and expand. I think it's way too quick to give up on the potential here. Not that anyone is doing that. This may still go bananas NW of the Yucatán by the time it reaches the west-central GOM. If shear backs down a little faster tomorrow, it could even start reintensifying just prior to landfall near the NE Yucatán. But there is no doubt intensification tonight is off the table and also any chance of a Cat 5. If nothing else, a rare micro-cane Cat 4 without a clear eye but reliant on a very small extreme convective eyeband. Without recon or obs, we'd have never known it based on satellite alone.