wxman

35 and snow.

0.7" total. 50.00" on the season.

Nice burst of snow, much lighter now. around .5" temp 22.6

I think that should be Thursday...............

I guess it depends on the AI training. In your case the AI models would need to ingest ground truth, which they may or may not. In PSU's example the AI model should certainly know how the atmospheric features were modeled versus how they evolved in real time. I don't really know, though.

You would think that this is the exact type of thing the the AI models would address? At least where I am the euro AI never really loved the blizzard and while I'm happy with my 16.3" it was not the 2 feet shown on many non-AI models. In some respects outside the immediate coast up through NYC-BOS the euro AI was closer to reality.

I'm feeling left out with my measly 16.3" LOL. Great storm, top 20 even here.

16" here.

16" OTG. Tempo 27.3. Light snow falling.

At least a foot here. The ruler has caved! Now on to the yardstick!! 27.9 degrees with heavy snow.

That's great is there a link? I found the web[age but could not figure out how to generate that plot.

5" new snow OTG. Temp. 28.6.

It would have to be old snow, right...or a drift

Not saying that's wrong but double anything else I've heard reported all the way down the coast.

2" down. 28.9.

Just the first of many on this glorious night! Maine lunch always good. This is why we do what we do

Just cracked a worldwide stout and enjoying pure rippage. 1.5" snow OTG. temp. 29.3 wind NNE at 11, max gust 31.8 mph

Moderate to heavy snow now. 32.5

First flakes now in my backyard. Temp 34.4 Let's go! We are in nowcast mode.

Agreed, very unusual was my point, not that I think mixing is an issue this time!

9 times out of 10 that's a rainer for the coast, especially with no cold antecedent airmass, like now.

with this type of depiction one would expect P-type issues....pretty surprised that is absent from the current equation!

At this point mostly looking at model noise. The exact distribution of the snowfall is going to be a nowcast situation (as almost always) with areas to the east favored...but there will be outliers like the 12Z GFS showing 21" for PHL while the Canadian shows 10". No great reason to pick one depiction over the other, both are plausible in this setup. Storm bears resemblance to Boxing Day 2010 but with a less extreme gradient (as currently depicted in the modeling)...but even in that storm it wasn't purely east-west in the snow totals...and with all the blowing and drifting will be hard to say who gets what, exactly. Right now I'd forecast 10" to 20" across NJ and call it a day unless something really surprises us as the day progresses.

And what's to say it's done trending. Each runs been adding like six inches area wide!

Pretty consistent bumps west. If this continues we are looking at an all time great.