IWXwx

I haven't read into it, but anecdotally, Lakes Michigan and Huron water levels may just be fluctuating more wildly than in the past. For example, it was less than seven years ago (around January, 2013) Michigan/Huron hit their lowest level on record.

I pulled this map from the CoCoRaHS site. Although it shows the mean rather than the average, you can see what you described concerning the Gulf's influence. Precip really drops off as you head Northwest.

The weather isn't bothering the birds at all bo. You try to keep the feeders full all winter?

+1

Ended with 0.8" on the ol' snow board. It was my favorite, large flakes and not much wind made for about 3 hours of winter wonderland, although I-69 was telling I-65, "Hold my beer."

Just started snowing lightly here, but GIANT dendrites are quickly making everything white.

Somewhere in East Central IN and Central/NW OH is going to score later this afternoon.

The Let's Talk Winter thread should have something to say about the weekend system.

FWA is sitting at -10.3° for November going into today. Even with the next few days being predicted to be near normal, we could still end the month with a respectable negative departure.

Not many in the subforum can dispute that this was not only anomalous, but it was a spread the wealth storm. I would like to see several of these this winter.

I'm an observer for CoCoRaHS, but they depend on them?! Really? I'm glad that our government at least tries to support a weather service.

It looks like Indystorm's old stomping grounds was ground zero for the Indiana portion of the storm/LES. That area was still stacking after those reports. ...ELKHART COUNTY... 1 SW GOSHEN 13.0 IN 0800 AM 11/12 41.57N/85.85W ELKHART 12.0 IN 0800 AM 11/12 41.69N/85.97W 3 WSW GOSHEN 10.6 IN 0700 AM 11/12 41.56N/85.89W

Yeah, in mid-winter, a 2" snow would not warrant an Advisory. However, our NWS office has made it clear that they will always issue a WWA with the first snow that sticks to roads every due to the amnesia that drivers seem to experience every year.

I wouldn't be too concerned temp-wise. FWA went from 40° to 30° like it saw a state trooper this morning.

My daughter is supposed to drive from FWA to SBN tomorrow for business. After seeing the HRRR I told her proclaim trip cancel.

That clipper keeps showing up. Nothing scientific, but I'm smelling over-performer just for the fluff factor if nothing else.

Bone chilling, record-breaking cold in early November with bare ground. It's gonna be a long winter....

I did something similar, but used Nov. 15th as the cutoff. After I did that, I thought to myself that the end of November would have been a better cutoff.

You keep repeating yourself. Keep it up for about 4 more months.

Forecasters are biting on the serious cold early next week. The point-n-clicks around here are already bumping up against some long-standing min. maxes and low records. They could also being fudging toward climo at this range, so going even lower is possible. We're talking temps that are colder than the lowest averages in January. We better get some snow out of this or I'll personally be lighting up the complaint thread.

First hard freeze here last night, bottoming out 24°. Growing season is done.

Even though it is going to be a swing and a miss out this way, I feel your pain brother. The first snow of the year is always brutal on the roads and especially with what the models are spitting out.

I wouldn't mind saving a little daylight for ohhh....let's see...early-mid December when it gets dark at 5:00 EST in Eastern Indiana?! But that's an argument for another thread.

Nice catch. Probably the real difference is ground temps.

Your comment prodded me to search for that answer. I used ORD from 1958-2018 since it is the hub of the subforum. I used the criteria of more than 1" of snow at ORD through Nov. 15th and the resulting winter totals. It looks to me like there is little correlation, but judge for yourself from these numbers. 1967 - 6.7" - 28.4" 1989 - 6.6" - 33.8" 1959 - 6.3" - 50.9" 2018 - 2.1" - 49.5" 1995 - 1.9" - 23.9" 1976 - 1.8" - 24.7" 2014 - 1.5" - 50.7" 1971 - 1.1" - 36.9" However, if the cutoff is Nov. 5th, then there are only three years with more than an inch of snow: 1967, 1989, and 1976. A small sample size, but those years were less than stellar.