IWXwx

A couple of questions concerning the NBM. Which models are included, what data are included from each, and is there any weighting?

The satellite from yesterday pretty much tells the story of winter 2019-'20.

In the immortal words of Harry Caray, "The cleanup hitter, the Euro, is up to bat. Here's the pitch, a swwwiinnggg and a miss. Holy Cow! That ball was so far outside, it was an Apps runner! How about an ice cold Budweiser?"

madwx's post piqued my interest in the deepest seasonal depths here. I began keeping CoCoRaHS measurements in 2006 in Huntington. Note: They are rounded to the nearest one half inch and depth readings are taken at 7 AM, so maybe not exact, but close enough for horseshoes and hand grenades. This winter seems to be mirroring 2015-'16 for suckage. In fact, it has been suckage for snow depth ever since then when you consider that we have had only 2 days when there was 6" or more on the ground. (6" on 2/6/18 and 7" on 1/20/19. Depths dropped under 6" on the following days). Two days in 5 years!! Of course we can't throw 2014-'15 under the same bus because I'm sure you all remember that winter. Here, we had 57 days with at least an inch of snow on the ground.

The ensembles do have a coolish look from about next Thursday right on through the end of their runs. But checking forecast temps a month out?

MIke Ryan at IND is singing a happy tune in his long range discussion this afternoon, beginning with the already infamous Feb. 27th rainer. I'm in the camp of I'll believe it when I see it. THIS SYSTEM WILL USHER IN A RETURN TO A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LAST WEEK OF FEBRUARY AND INTO EARLY MARCH WITH CONTINUED HINTS IN THE 7-14 DAY PERIOD OF ONE OR TWO HIGHER IMPACT SYSTEMS POISED TO AFFECT THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES.

We're sitting at a balmy 10°. Forecast only gets us down to 5°.

March is gonna rock

We actually had sun for a good part of the morning. Clouds filling back in now.

It has been winter-like around here for the past several days, with daily flakeage that isn't amounting to much, but the almost constant flakes falling are really enjoyable. My snowfall totals for the past few days: 0.2, 2.3, 0.7, 0.2, 0.4. However, I am currently sitting at a depth of 1.5" with blades of grass showing. I'm looking forward to a good burst of snow today, most of which will once again most likely melt quickly. However, it could be a top 5 event for us. Top 4: 3.4" 11/11 3.0" 12/15-16 2.3" 2/5 1.6" 1/23

Jack calls that a "reach around"

IND may get there again today.... RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 0138 AM EST MON FEB 03 2020 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT INDIANAPOLIS IN... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 63 WAS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS IN YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 61 SET IN 2016.

RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 620 PM EST SUN FEB 02 2020 ...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT FORT WAYNE... A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 59 DEGREES WAS SET AT FORT WAYNE TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 58 SET IN 2016.

Cue Josh optimistically stating that March is going to rock. EDIT: They also forgot that this is a leap year. February 29th is going to rock. Either that, or it will be an extra day of a miserable winter.

Hard to believe that one year ago today I was on I 69 working a huge pile up ( I 65 style). Standing in the middle of the interstate at -10° with 20-30 MPH winds. About as brutal as you can get around here.

Heat island.

It would be even more if you added up the snow totals of all the GFS clowns all winter (see Cyclone77 above).

When you are as old as us, that's saying something. lol I'm rooting for the robin, but the last half of February may freeze their tail feathers.

I had to laugh at Megan's opening to this afternoon's short term discussion from IWX: WELL IF YOU'RE ANYTHING LIKE ME, YOU ARE GETTING KIND OF CRANKY REGARDING THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND OVERALL DREARY CONDITIONS THIS WEEK. I WISH I COULD OFFER SOME HOPE, BUT IT LOOKS LIKE WE'RE STUCK WITH THIS THROUGH AT LEAST THE SHORT TERM. Tell us what your really think.

That's not going too much out on a limb.

Maybe I need to start a thread to break us out of this slump. According to the Euro, a torch will highlight the first few days of the month and it hints at a cool down by late next week. This cool down will be accompanied by a rainer and a back wash DAB+ for Alek/ORD per the amazing GFS. However, at this point it appears to be only a glancing blow of cold. Some mets, including OHweather, have posted cautious optimism for a return to more normal February weather by mid-month. I am also in his camp of "I'll believe it when I see it."

"But I nailed it at 500"

It's still showing up, eh? I continue to think that somehow, the Midwest will reel this in.

Uhhhh...NO

ZZZZZZZZZZZ........ Sunday Cloudy, with a high near 35. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Sunday Night Cloudy, with a low around 29. Monday Cloudy, with a high near 37. Monday Night Cloudy, with a low around 29. Tuesday Cloudy, with a high near 37. Tuesday Night Cloudy, with a low around 29. Wednesday Cloudy, with a high near 37. Wednesday Night Cloudy, with a low around 29. Thursday Cloudy, with a high near 39.