mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Only 3-5"
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That's what I was thinking and that's why I asked. I didn't want to be the one to say it! Lol
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Anybody remember seeing this kind of 24 hour ensemble snowfall mean on the Eps on a 8-9 day threat?
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Love the way the Gfs seemingly finds different ways to snow on this run. Lol
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I didn't bother to post it because it was basically a miss. AI is a little unstable outside of 5 days the more I look at it as 0z it was a hit.
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Geez...you make my post sound like the prayers of a guardian angel.
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They all say 10:1, so I would say yes. But they are low when ratios are higher, so it likely comes close to balancing out.
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Nice knowin' ya'! J/k...you'll be fine.
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Geps 0z snowfall mean closer to Eps.
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6z Gefs snowfall mean. Odd how Eps are better than the Gefs that is usually the weenie of the 3 ensembles.
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Eps 0z snowfall mean. Large distribution this run. Breathing room.
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This post from Saturday compared the change from Friday. Yesterday's were even colder. Instead of posting all the maps, here's a link to the weeklies. You can see the incredible change starting week 2 with now below normal over a large area of the Conus. And there are no longer any weeks AN. Don't freak over week 1, as it has looked that way for days. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202502020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502100000
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2/14
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Never heard of Mike Thomas, so no idea if his "opinion" is worth anything.
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This year has seen big time blocking already, so a return is credible imho unlike previous years.
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Crummy AI run. Nothing much to see in MA or NE. Lot of threats off the coast again. Fugetaboutit.
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Wrong
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Fyi Cfs2 February precip anomaly.
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Lt rn in Hanover :-/
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Thru 2/15, if I can get at least one 6-10" event imby plus a few more lighter events, even if just an inch or 2 before or after a changeover, I'll be happy. But ensembles do suggest we'll do better than that. I think there will be more beyond 2/15 for sure unless modeling does a total aboutface.
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AI has the 12th with a good hit but not a lot more other than light snows at the start before changeover.
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Yep. This is incredible for our area when there isn't a HECS pending.
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It won't last forever, so you've got that going for you. And we all know we can do warm just fine around here, though your area takes a little longer to defrost than down here.
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A lot of people went warm/low snowfall this winter and some can't get themselves to admit in public they were wrong. Most that did, have been hanging on to the hope February will torch to bring up the 3 month average winter anomaly.
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I wish I hadn't asked.
