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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Are there temp plots for Neutral since we're likely closer to that than textbook Niña?
  2. Definitely better up north, but models have been coming around to a decent round 2 down along the southern tier.
  3. Your spot with elevation on the western slope was made for this one.
  4. I didn't know anything qualifies as bad posting there! Lol
  5. That map doesn't do it justice for the southern weenies. Composite radar 84 hr Nam does!
  6. You forget about a couple of brief warmups thrown in between now and next weekend, but we can certainly pray. Western PA should do pretty well with snow from that cut-off low, so we can hope he spends his time in his thread ducking arrows for a few days. A little part of me wants to troll him every hour it snows with updates from Dubois, but payback is a biatch. Lol
  7. Best run of my life. OK, so I've lived a sheltered life. Gimme a break.
  8. If you live in the east and like snow, 18z Gfs gives you many opportunities to abuse substances if you're so inclined.
  9. I was wondering something similar today after having eggs this morning and chicken for dinner. :p
  10. There's no -Enso option, only +Enso or the one I posted. But it's my understanding the option other than +Enso is neutral or Niña. Happy to be corrected if someone has a map specific for Ninas. https://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html
  11. Gefs puts us in Phase 6 by the first of December. Assuming an amplitude >1, we get this below. It's not that far off what the models are advertising. Unless I pulled up the wrong map, which is always possible.
  12. That's a 48 hr forecast. I believe it. I thought you were talking further into the mr/lr.
  13. Eps cooler for Thanksgiving than the 0z run fwiw.
  14. Look at this link Larry. Red ink print under EP/NP. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/climateindices/list/#EPO
  15. 6z Eps likes the chances of most to at least see flakes in the air, if not accumulations, over the next 6 days.
  16. Here's a list of all "alphabet" data indices from CPC if that's not what you were looking for. https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/
  17. https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wd52dg/data/indices/epnp_index.tim
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