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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. I personally think the March 4-10 time frame has a chance to produce. As long as the -EPO has formed like the ensembles showing by then the tpv is farther SE. just depends if we get hurt by -PNA or not .
  2. The end of the run is workable though. Not saying it will snow but pattern isn’t horrible if you know what I mean .
  3. Anyone notice the Ai keeps showing a Jan 25 2000 type phase? Except it’s all rain lol .
  4. Is the 28th event a miss or just rain? .
  5. Hm, I’ll take a look at it when it comes on wxbell .
  6. Any total update from around VA beach? Just tracking vicariously .
  7. The wave around the 28th is likely a rain event here unless we see a more meridional flow ahead of it which would also take the TPV farther SE like we saw on last nights GFS. I’m not out on the first 2 weeks of March though. .
  8. What’s going on those higher returns? Mix? .
  9. Man H5 looks good here just maybe too warm, if we had a better tpv push like last nights run it could have worked .
  10. Based on the radar I can’t imagine they get less than 8-9”, 10-14” would be final guess .
  11. Any VA beach totals so far? Hoping someone in that jackpot region can pass a foot but idk .
  12. 12z Nam finally looks like the euro and other models, lesson learned for others, never use this model outside 18 hours. Once the event starts I like to look at it to see last second trends but that’s about it .
  13. One Difference between gfs and euro is that placement of the TPV by day 6 or so. GFS is farther SE. would like to see the euro trend that way over next few runs, although my $ is on the gfs just being wrong but we’ll see. It’ll just speed up the chances of frozen precip .
  14. The 27-28th time frame is suddenly trending better pattern wise, I think it’s legit if this trend continues we’ll see .
  15. Check out this -EPO forming beyond this too, wow .
  16. More incoming lol, I know it’s far out, this wave has me intrigued. .
  17. Might be a big hit this run, watch this wave be the one that gets the job done after everyone has jumped ship lol .
  18. Hmmmm, this actually looks really good .
  19. Not sure what it will do, but the tpv might make a farther SE press this run out ahead of any wave day 9-10… .
  20. Yea I got a few inches just few miles SE of me got 8-10” was nuts .
  21. Was that the inverted trough event? .
  22. The NAM shouldn’t be used outside 18 hours let alone 48, it was supposed to be retired few years back. .
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