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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. They come out much later, pivotal running now .
  2. I’d be shocked if it wasn’t, looks like bench mark from that position at 120 .
  3. It looks really good on the free maps .
  4. We have a met on our discord. One of the best. He pointed out how the AI runs at 28km resolution. It can’t handle convection. “It’ll cave eventually” It’s getting there .
  5. Right but it was a big move towards like the icon at H5 with a stretched out shortwave. Like my Philly discord posters mention that could cause issues down the road for sure. Something to keep in mind. .
  6. Yep, most of the data looks like that outside the cmc (00z run) so im doubtful we see that reverse. I think that was just a correction run personally .
  7. Yea, gotta watch that trend though, H5 reminded me of the 00z Ukie there. I thought last nights Ukie was sort of a nice blend of all the models and boom 6z euro looks very similar at H5. We’ll see what 12z brings .
  8. Yes, it’s more progressive H5. I thought 00z was too wrapped up anyway .
  9. 6z euro did trend less tucked vs 00z. It’s more in line with like the Ukie and other models at H5 now. .
  10. I’m pretty sure I’d let one of you guys cut one of my fingers off for that euro run to verify. Staying up for EPS then ready to do it all over again tomorrow .
  11. This is a really odd H5 progression. It has a mix of December 2009 and March 01 idk I have no analogs that fit honestly .
  12. I’d probably let someone cut my pinky off for that euro run to verify .
  13. Forecasting would probably improve without the gfs existing .
  14. One quick tidbit, the cmc handles the kicker energy like the euro does, idk if that is effecting anything but just pointing it out .
  15. I feel like the southern vort slower this run, this might allow it more room to turn the corner, we’ll see .
  16. Man it better. It gets pretty lock steady inside 120 hours. The 18z euro was a blizzard here in Philly but I did think the SLP was faster which could potentially allow it to miss the phase in time if that trend continued .
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