Heisy

Darn, early on it looked better than 00z with energy dropping in farther W. .

Man, that was a few ticks away from being a monster .

Back that shortwave west just a little bit off that GFS run and it redevelops and rides the coast. Close one .

Yeah, you also need this thing to bomb out at our latitude though because the airmass is pretty meh. Any kicker coming in behind it would disrupt that from happening. .

Man this was so close, stupid kicker ruined it all .

Keep an eye on 12z cmc, this looks like it might try to do something .

Yeah it’s rare to see shortwaves dig into the gulf, so def something to keep an eye on if it’s legit. Also hopefully that kicker coming along holds off .

End of icon, yeah it’s the icon, but some support for the gfs at least .

You well need a better push S from that ULL in AE Canada or it just acts as a low in the lakes type deal. If you want some morale boost here is end of euro Ai, I’d take this .

This is a +TNH pattern matches the ensembles really well, just gotta see how much/if the ridge flexes. Still far out, so hopefully the -EPO is real. Wed probably cash in if this pattern happens .

This will be gone in 6 hours, but look at that epo ridge cutoff, wth! That PNA ridge day 7-9 starting to look legit, maybe we get a N/S wave to dive far enough S to redevelop in response to it. .

Here is 18z gfs vs 12z euro. A lot of differences as to be expected at this range. Euro has a more positively tilted trough, gfs more agressive .

If you follow the progression of everything the Euro and Ai, to a degree, had that LR event because it held energy behind the day 6-7 front. GFS and CMC just bring the front across as one big wave/cutter. We’ll see how it evolves, just wanted to point those differences out. .

Let’s get Anafrontal This is really close to a redeveloped anafront You see the northern side of the front pushing farther E, while the energy at the base of the trough is trying to redevelop. Whats a winter without an Anafront? .

I expect if the -epo is real we’ll see a few cutters that will slowly bring the lower heights E, eventually if we end up with a pattern like that one advertised, we’d be in business PS, I woke up today to almost inch of snow on the ground and I didn’t realize it was supposed to happen. Helluva squall line up here. .