rjvanals
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Everything posted by rjvanals
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GFS can’t even get tomorrows storm right and we’re freaking out about a storm 8 days out?
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Don’t look at the GFS
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It's super frustrating that we're going to be well below freezing at 850mb in the dead of night during our coldest time of year and still manage to rain. Tomorrow will register as a well below normal day with precip and we still can't really score.
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They’ve actually juiced up but were a degree or two to warm and we waste a lot to rain
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NAMs are warm
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.25" here this morning with streets briefly caving
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Euro gives DC nearly an inch tonight let's see if its right (although it might be sleet looking at soundings)
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GFS wants to bring us some snow tv tomorrow midday
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the heavy rates will cool the column
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The GFS not being excited about it makes me more optimistic
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not quite a shutout as we got a trace or .1 early morning on New Years Day but this month has been an epic disaster considering the hype and the phantom GFS blizzards torturing us each time
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An impressive showing from the GFS this week, going 0–2 within 100 hours of the phantom storm’s onset. Forecasting confidence remains high; accuracy optional.
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The GFS has been on a heater with digital snow recently
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I'm at the grocery store stocking up for tomorrow's GFS blizzard
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RGEM gives us some white rain on Saturday
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We've been extremely unlucky and several near misses have been caused by having to strong of a cold push. We've also missed the timing for phasing to get a big storm by a few hours like last February. As long as areas to our south are having historic snowstorms its clear we're not doomed due to a lack of cold (Last winter New Orleans and North Florida had nearly 10 inches of snow)
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The model performance on this was laughably bad. Take a look at todays 12z Euro vs yesterday at 12z. Totally different world
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12z Euro AI gave us snow next weekend curious what this will bring
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Those always work well around here
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It’s good to remember we do complicated setups for snow extremely well around here
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We all know the GFS “storm” is wrong and this place will be hopping later this week
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Monday morning has a non zero chance of a stat padder for the northern crew
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I'm catching up on my sleep now since next week looks amazing in this "dream pattern"
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GEFS is close enough to something to stay interested especially SE of DC
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Still a bit interesting especially since we have nothing else on the immediate horizon
