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madwx

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Everything posted by madwx

  1. most optimistic I've been for 6"+ this year. Which isn't saying much. Moisture and temp gradient will be a plus. Will be interesting to see how much we can get the northern stream involved
  2. Today's 12z GFS shows a realistic transition from NW flow to split flow to W trough over the next couple weeks. Wouldn't be surprised to see an evolution like that play out, with a cold shot this weekend, a warm up with a cutter next week, a final cold shot around the 20th and mild air flooding in afterwards
  3. The sun angle today is the same as November 1st.
  4. yeah the tweet mentioned the GFS ensembles which don't show major cold at the end of the mean. Would say we will get a couple more cold shots(this weekend and mid/late next week) before we switch fully to the new pattern
  5. the long range GFS and super cold shots. Name a better combo
  6. we're well below average on snow so all I can ask is that temps are either around average or above. No longer want to be regularly waking up to below zero windchills and highs below 25
  7. You need to go to account > my attachments and clear some away. You only have limited space
  8. Mping report of snow near Keokuk Iowa
  9. Average temp of 14.4 at MSN, -5.0 on the month. 9.1" of snow which is 4.6" below average and only .48" of precip. good for 18th driest and nearly a whole inch below average. Hoping for a wetter pattern later this month or in March.
  10. major overperformance with temps today. already up to 44 at the house and 43 at the airport at noon
  11. Afraid we might be stuck in a cold a dry pattern for 10-14 days. After that at least temps should start responding more to increased daylight
  12. 16.2" at the airport. 17.5" at the house so far. A majority has been in January and the last week of December
  13. There was some fairly impressive thundersnow with that one in Madison. There was a snow day during finals week at UW.
  14. things point to us being on the sidelines for this one. obviously the track will change but the favored storm track looks to our south
  15. 2nd week of February looks cold, likely a less severe version of what occurred the second week of February last year. Good chance that some very cold air sneaks into the southern plains. After that the SE ridge starts to flex a bit more again.
  16. unexpectedly popped above freezing during the sunshine after FROPA today. nice to get some of the ice/snow melted off roads
  17. 22 degrees here this morning. An impressive 43 degrees warmer than this time yesterday
  18. Moisture will be there. Western US trough will be there. The rest is all one big ? at this point
  19. Looks like -21 is the low at the house. About 15 more minutes of cooling left to beat that. Airport down to -17. coldest temps in Wisconsin I could find were -35 in Black River Falls and -32 in Sparta
  20. Tomahawk Wi already down to -21 at 935 PM
  21. -7 at the house this morning, -10 at the airport. Saw as low as -16 on my car thermometer during the drive into work.
  22. Tuesday night looks to be the coldest night of the season here, point has -17 right now. Wednesday mornings record was -23 set back in 2019 and looks just out of reach
  23. I would be shocked if we got a SSW event this year. The stratospheric vortex has been very resilient and has stayed stable despite multiple pulses of upward energy from the troposphere. Also the GFS has tried multiple times in the long range to break down the vortex only to back off
  24. 1.6” here. Slight underperformance but happy with the 6.1” total over the weekend
  25. Ceilings lowering now. Expecting about 2” ending around 8 or 9 am. The snow this morning was a breeze to shovel. The wind might just shovel it for me tomorrow before I get a chance
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