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WEATHER53

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  1. WEATHER53
    Since 1970 years when DCA had 5”+ of rain in Dec, and where Jan is headed the same way , were 1977-78 and 1986-87. 77-78 were like 4.9+ for both months and 86-87 5” Dec and 7” Jan. Analog precedent rainfall pattern gives hope.
  2. WEATHER53
    That very long southerly fetch produces that but it’s rare
  3. WEATHER53
    Seems like many places had 3/4 consecutive hours of 40+ gusts topping out at 50
  4. WEATHER53
    For sure we are having ample low pressures and just gotta get cold that isn’t gone in 25 hours.
  5. WEATHER53
    Wasn’t this just a snowstorm here?
  6. WEATHER53
    Persistent 25-30!with gusts to 40.
  7. WEATHER53
    Warmest I’ve ever seen real flakes was 47 on a March boil up snow shower day.
  8. WEATHER53
    Wow! I think the only one that is not on the map is a gale warning and that’s because it’s a storm warning
  9. WEATHER53
    Frequent gusts well over 30 im seeing these like 8” tall 4 feet long sheets of wind driven heavy rain fly by and in those “strips” I can t see through them Anyone else?
  10. WEATHER53
    Nasty ass day for sure. 60 and driving rain is rough but 45 and same is too cold and difficult
  11. WEATHER53
    Just had 44mph wind gust
  12. WEATHER53
    This sounds funky old fashioned but it’s almost like the gears don’t mesh and grind the same way anymore. That in turn seems to make the 3-5 days not solid anymore and we are down to 1-3 for solid accuracy
  13. WEATHER53
    Models do a good job with cold outbreaks. This is rollover cold coming in from Midwest which is not as good for us and cold that moves over eastern Lakes and se and down upon us. Those below zero readings in OV will moderate by 20F by time it gets here but that’s still around 20 for 7am Get that pouring in se from eastern lakes and we have a low around 5F.
  14. WEATHER53
    Delayed IS denied
  15. WEATHER53
    The winds on the Bridge coming up that very long fetch from the south is killer. I’ve been in some 45mph stuff that was scary . When it’s like winter cold fronts and very windy from nw it’s somehow not like 50 miles of open water
  16. WEATHER53
    Ra**y it gotten too hard. I would not miss like I did last one pre 2012. And it’s happened too much in last 12 years. Reliable enso the NAO and AO are not the predictors they once were. Solid cold air now moves out in a heartbeat. Planetary changes. What I accumulated from 1965 to 2012 does not prevail anymore Makes me assess interest
  17. WEATHER53
    It was still a big one three days out. Let see if models can do Anything accurate outside of 72 hours.
  18. WEATHER53
    From now on I’m going to wait until 24 hours remaining to comment
  19. WEATHER53
    Which usually means not nice is forthcoming
  20. WEATHER53
    Thanks for snow pics snd I’m getting more westerly component to wind and temp down 1.3F since 3pm which may be darkness oncoming or maybe Magic!
  21. WEATHER53
    Winchester and Frederick have really revitalized in last 1-10 years.!
  22. WEATHER53
    When did this weather discussion board become a model adherence board or watch out?
  23. WEATHER53
    And you ventured forth what?
  24. WEATHER53
    The models did another terrible job and within 4 days showed ranges of 1-11” . By yesterday most of them had a solution like what has happened. The most I ever went for was 3-6”. They very well may be the “best we have” but they didn’t get it until about 24 hours in advance so despite you being in denial, they do not warrant “respect” .
  25. WEATHER53
    Past prime sun time and I’ve dropped from 36.8 to 35.5. where is low centered? Maybe when it gets east of our longitude something better might happen.
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