WEATHER53

Go hug that model know nothing . Adult commentary with childlike cartoon “response” Gotta protect the supply

PSU need not stalk reply Worst internet winter ever Such promise and so many cocky “promises” Around 12/20 I identified the “delay but….” That was setting up and received tons of wailing criticism. That delay pattern continued until a one week late January blessing with Insistence and constant dumb ass model projection showing indisputable favorable condition reemerging 2/10 thru end of month. Abysmal failure but Tons of model defenses. That delayed but horseshit continued on for late Feb thru mid March and flopped also. Unlike 90% here I post all seasons and the huggers disappear. This place needs to decide if it wants to be a fantasy continuous 10+ day drum banger or a mature site for realistic weather discussions Models need a huge overhauling and have progressed very very little in last 20 years. It would be wise to stop denying that. .

Did he become confrontational?

Cold low of 29 and high of 49 our -10 to -15 now come from Mid March thru April

51 for a high but in shade and with wind it was cold. In sun and no wind felt like 60.

46.5 for a high so far Models at least got the cold right even if no precip .

Wind chills in 20’s. Been a while

You must stop responding to every single post I make, 95% of which are not directed to you its stalking its creepy its not going to drive me away You are out of line. I have asked for you to cut it out and now I’m telling You-Cut it out. Moderators-the history is right in this thread with support from many other threads. This guy is obsessive. Take care of it please and thank you

Which can’t miss event are we onto now. Jan 14 2025 looks locked in

Most index assertions that have blossomed in the last 10 years are theoretical Why has the mid Atlantic switched from about 50% As and 50%Bs to about 80% Bs.

Add to it inferior predictive “tools” and it’s game set match

As far as snow , models have about a 25% accuracy this winter. when you and I started in early 2000’s they were about 70% accurate on snow calls. Then they tried to become more complicated and turn into microscopes rather than a broader based binoculars and since about 2011 they have been 50/50 with a recent decrease in that over last 3 years. They do great for wind events because they don’t start hyping it 2 weeks in advance in an attempt to accomplish what they can’t. Winter weather models could try that approach

Utter crap continues

I wedged our plastics in as best I could but its been a chase the rolling soda bottles morning.

Closing in and holding strength. Just 5-10 more miles

Flurries here. Half way down 270 is a batch maybe moderate. See if it holds and makes it 39F Peak gust 46

Flooded Florida and gave Maine 70mph winds I think but not sure, somewhere up there had an 85mph gust.

Snowing in Frederick

Looking too juicy need a modest miller A and not a whole bunch of moving parts that have to mesh

And the granddaddy of them all and number one event for me March 1993 Lived in Beltsville and got 13” even with rain and sleet mixing in, 40 moh gusts constantly, 2pm looked like 15 minutes before dark , record low barometer for me that nothing has been close to since 28.16” I think DCA got 6.7” and up around Frederick close to 20

Be real careful please as you are stating that the models performed quite poorly.

I think we need a modest low traveling from near Atlanta and ne toward East of Norfolk . Not worried about Gulf effect on Stu because if it’s that juicy and if it gets involved with that we will be 40 and rain. Can’t be a phase job or transfer either. Will be really tough if it tries to onset between 10am to 5pm as we would need about -20 departure and that’s too tough. But. After dark in March it can still snow big time the entire month when the low is right

If it has the characteristics of a Miller A, organized low pressure moving from GA to off mid Atlantic coast then that works. Anything else hasn’t and won’t

When I seek such advice, please render it For now cling to your wishes and dependencies and I will continue to not engage in denial. I’ll add the Fact that you concerns be addressed Not to someone who posts real info 3-5 times per day but rather those averaging 40+ and more Every Day.

I’m telling ya. Largest accumulation event of year still looking like could be April