WEATHER53

I go by what I see and I believe several other posters commented that during both of last weeks events you were absent. A number of other very active posters in the past were similar; the ongoing event meant nothing, they were already onto the 240 hour GFS.

We don’t need to do that I agree. We do not agree on the efficiency and usefulness of models. There is Way More to my weather enjoyment than following models.. I think it’s the bulk of your enjoyment and I need to be more sensitive to that. In return you dont need to take up a challenge every single time I comment on models. I’m not commenting on You. That might work

We understand it’s an ever changing situation to cover the bases of 0 to 12”._

Bad trend to delayed to later

7pm 45F

Makes people mad to talk “models bad”

Can we get three in less than two weeks that go frim near zero to hero??

Right now we are in 0.5” to 10.5” model mode

Annapolis dropped from 76 to 59 in one hour with wind shift west to East this afternoon

Ground real wet and I put my hands down on it and was surprised how cold it still is.

Yes and throw in a couple normal snow but very cold and it’s more often. We forget the biggies and the 10 day or longer sieges. But they happen Not every 10 years only either. The law of averages tends to be that so yes we are overdue to fulfill it

Can we get Another “ looks bad” early on and then slowly swings our way? it’s still not over, colder air asserting a bit more

This is fun now that three in two weeks may evolve from zero to hero!!

The river has frozen and the outcome the same. It so rare that it’s hard to provide data. camp Springs Andrew’s is 10 miles east of DC and in a similar setting and DCA is 25 and Camp Springs 15. That’s an artificial restraint on DCA ability to radiate. Winds homogenize things so the issue is when winds are light what is capping radiation? I agree it’s not comparable to IAD but its close to BWI and should not be 7-12 degrees milder in the repeated current circumstances that it is. some of our DC observers location may also have their thermometers totally surrounded by buildings, roads etc . DCA problems are strange considering it is NOT surrounded by extensive development on All sides

If Reid keeps him under 50 for rushing, they are in trouble

Your measuring location as well may have issues

DCA matches perfectly with downtown DC where roads, sidewalks, buildings abound and no open grassy areas. However DCA IS surrounded by open space and parkland to north east and south. A lightly traveled parkway is slightly to the west. Nearby to the west is developed like downtown DC. And the facility itself. It’s also an FAA facility so their forte is not meteorologic records but rather in the moment plane safety.

Whether it’s in advance, or in situ., DC always does better with earlier rather than later.

Is that the time BWI had a high of 17 four days in a row?

It’s the third in a short period of time and has evolved into good after not looking good mostly

The party that nailed this is the party who steadfastly maintained from November into December that we should not expect winter weather until mid January. Step forward and identify and receive your congratulations

Some punted end of Dec. Most here are sincere but for a few this is their myopic, emotional deformities dumping ground. It’s chilling to think what that attitude does to those they have dominion over.

Pattern change dim bulb depresso

The last two events certainly did. The depresso act grows Real Old.

Snowing everytime it possibly could was theme of 86-87 and to lesser degree late Jan into Feb 95. Both in my winter outlook analogs