wawarriors4

Absolutely pouring Heavy Snow, 29 Up to 4.5”

Hope not….. Have picked up just over 0.5” in about 20 minutes Heavy Snow, 29

Things deteriorating quick around Fredericksburg.

Heavy Snow, temp has dropped to 29. 2.3” so far

Heavy Snow, 30, everything is caving.

Snow noticeably heavier. Probably like 0.75 mile visibility stuff. Temp has dropped to 31.5.

Snow has started in Hartwood. 34/23

0.81” qpf in 6 hrs and EZF…. Whew

31/21 in Hartwood/Stafford. 4.3” gets us to 15” for the season, so I guess that’s the goal, though I wouldn’t throw 9.3” to get to 20” out of bed.

I can’t agree with this more. It’s just odd, nothing seems to match.

LWX updated forecast discussion … Winter Storm Watches coming shortly South of I66/Rt 50 .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Benign weather conditions expected Monday as an area of surface high pressure over the OH Valley slides east across PA/NJ, and into the western Atlantic. On and off clouds throughout the day, though dry conditions prevail. Highs in the 40s, with 30s in the mountains. An active weather pattern ensues for the middle portion of the week as several waves of low pressure bring wintry precipitation to the area starting Tuesday. From a synoptic look, flow aloft remains purely zonal over the eastern CONUS. The confluence of the northern and southern branch jet streams will create an impressive jet stream over the OH Valley to PA/NY/southern New England. Several fast moving waves of low pressure aloft ride along just south of the jet streak. At the surface, several associated areas of low pressure move from the Deep South to the lower Mid-Atlantic, then out to sea. The main concern on Tuesday will be the temperatures, which are currently forecast to be in the mid to upper 30s. The surface high to our north falls apart as it moves into the Atlantic, weakening the source region of cold air into our area. This makes the p-type forecast tricky for daytime Tuesday. It is possible that snow struggles to accumulate over most of the area, unless marginal temps are overcome by high precip rates. This seems most likely along the I-64 corridor, but model guidance is still uncertain on where the high precip rates occur Tuesday. Nonetheless, precipitation is forecast to begin as all snow Tuesday morning over the southwest CWA, then spread northeast through the afternoon. Cooling temperatures Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, combined with steady precipitation, is forecast to produce accumulating snow across the entire area. Warm air advection aloft along and south of the surface frontal zone could cause p-type to transition to freezing rain (possibly mixed with snow) over the central Shenandoah Valley and parts of Central VA. Through Tuesday night, the current forecast is for 3-5" of snow, with higher totals up to 6-7 possible". Where confidence is highest, a Winter Storm Watch will be issued shortly, along/south of I-66/US- 50. Additional considerations for Watch expansion, and issuances of Winter Weather Advisories is expected tonight into tomorrow. Stay tuned to the latest updates at weather.gov/lwx/winter.

I'm going to take the under, but a glaze is a glaze......

What does the freezing rain look like?

Just started snowing but doesn’t look like we will last too long. 33 degrees

Temp got down to 32, now up to 34.

Mine sits 30 feet from any tree, deck, shed or anything else in a grass field in the back of the house. It’s usually pretty accurate and I have an analog quality control in front of garage.

Right around 8-9 feet

34/31 and Clear in Hartwood, Stafford County, VA. Cooled of nicely after a high of 48.

No Winter Weather Product down this way the 1-2” call seems pretty reasonable though.

It’s funny, Euro has around 5” in my hood, GFS, maybe 3”, 3K around 2.5” and I am fully expecting maybe 1” I honestly don’t know what to think. Might work out be about 10 miles NW of 95/Fredericksburg but my experience says No.

When do the thunderstorms roll through Fredericksburg? Asking for a friend…..

There’s actually kind of a band in Spotsy, looks like it might head my way, who knows, #SnowTown

Flakes started down here in Stafford. Flurries, 30/16

LWX expanded the Winter Weather Advisory up to the District and Beltway areas.....

I am trying to will 2-3" inches of Snow down EZF way. Wouldn't be totally shocked if it happened, but expecting 1-1.5"