-
Posts
15,695 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Carvers Gap
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, the humidity out there is nuts. Went for a run, and it looked like someone had dumped a gatorade cooler over me once I had finished. I have run on days in the low 90s, and been more comfortable. Whew!- 86 replies
-
We have received about 1" of rainfall here in Kingsport for the month of June. Not terrible, but we have struck-out quite a bit on days where rain seemed a given. Had a lot of wind yesterday that seemed to come out of the blue.
- 175 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Looks like the Euro seasonal has an extended summer look with warmth continuing into September and October. Then, it shifts the ridge out West for November. For December, it has ridging out West and over Greenland. December at 500 looks really good, though the temp map is warm over Canada as there is some hint of cold over Alaska which is a poor teleconnection for cold here - mixed signals but overall not a bad look. It is June, so take with a huge grain. Will be interesting to see if the ENSO manages to hover in the La Nada range by mid-winter. Would be nice to see a bit of La Nina this fall as that would increase chances for an earlier start to winter, and then have it switch to neutral or a bit above. Not saying that would happen, but it might decrease chances of a mid-late winter Nina induced torch. Weak Nina all winter would be optimal IMO.
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some nice rain here yesterday. Temps have been very tolerable given early summer. Looks like that continues through much of this week.- 86 replies
-
@PowellVolz, outstanding fish!
- 175 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Some much needed rain this evening. Still need more, but a good start. Probably won't have to water the garden for a couple of days. You all can thank me for the pattern change. Stepped up and bought some irrigation stuff for my garden this week. Works like a champ. This guaranteed rain. I will be setting up a GoFundMe which will help fund this sacrifice.
- 175 replies
-
- 2
-
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the rainless streak ends tomorrow. Also, looks like @nrgjeff is going to nail the upcoming pattern - no surprise. He is a LR guru(and short and mid-range guru as well). The Euro Weeklies look much improved in terms of precip.- 86 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hasn't rained here since May 12th. 1.80" BN for the month. Things can get quite dry in TRI quite quickly with even the slightest downsloping winds. Had a day recently where we watered the garden in the AM, and it was suffering by that afternoon. Looks like Friday is a good chance for rain. We need it. That Bermuda high is just parked on some modeling. The 12z EPS is BN for precip even with that event on Friday. Read where Cosgrove noted the Bermuda high may slide a little eastward around mid-July and that should provide return flow for the SE. It would also allow for a weakness between a high out West and that Bermuda high. The only downside is that this would also provide a realistic path for hurricanes to track into Gulf States then as well. Again, I am not a huge fan of watering my garden this early. During many years when that occurs, we play catch-up all summer. Now, we don't want hot and humid at the same time. Temps this week have actually been tolerable. Think John noted in the obs thread that humidity levels are allowing for comfortable overnight temps.- 86 replies
-
The peppers in my garden are hating these cold nights. Manage to coax up some beans despite the cold rains a few weeks ago. Dry summers actually work for my garden provided there is no sudden spike in humidity which summons all kinds of plant disease. I haven't planted corn yet. Will probably swap out some cool wx stuff next week and plant some sweet corn. Sweet potatoes are also due to be planted.
- 292 replies
-
- garden
- vegetables
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Weeklies almost always look warm to me. Glad to read Jeff's comments above. I just don't like seeing these ridges lock in place. Often seems like modeling will try to break them down (think -NAO this past winter) too quickly. My yard will be fried after next week. No rain and lots of heat. I always consider it an ominous sign to be watering my garden during spring. Rarely turns out well(in terms of moisture) during the following summer. We are long overdue for an extended period of dry weather.- 86 replies
-
- 2
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Euro Weeklies are hinting at developing dry with possible drought conditions developing through the next 6 weeks. The spigot, after several years of good rains, is off. TBD on when it returns. Thinking this might be the beginning of a very dry time frame measuring in months if not years - but THAT is getting far to ahead of myself.- 86 replies
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dodged one with a frost on the rooftops last week, but the garden was spared....Looks like summer heat is about to show-up and have some staying power. My garden needs some seasonably warm weather - and consistent rain(which may be tough to come by with the modeled Bermuda high configuration).- 86 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
- 86 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Cold rain.....feels like spring is about to put it in reverse.- 86 replies
-
- 2
-
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
@nrgjeff thoughts about potential drought if La Nina double dips???- 86 replies
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
In hindsight, that was definitely the way to go. We have a hoop house for our garden that does that for us. Just need something to trap the earth's heat and leave a little bit of separation with the cover. I figured the peach would be ok since it it right next to the house, but the cold air must have dammed against the house there. It looks better than I though today. These late season freezes tax our resources - tarps, plastic, etc. Some stuff(if we didn't have covers) we were simply like...good luck! LOL. The one thing which I would have covered better were our blueberry bushes which were in full bloom.- 86 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good thinking. We covered up our patio peach as well. Man, it is was still burned though. I think the duration of time which we were in the 20s was the problem. We will see if it survives.- 86 replies
-
- 1
-
-
Wind blown pollen, snow, wind chills in the mid 30s.....sounds just like another day in paradise.
- 175 replies
-
- 3
-
-
Man, it looks rough out there. Some of our covered stuff was still hit pretty badly.
- 175 replies
-
- 1
-
-
So it shall be written, so shall it be done.
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The potential low of 26 at TRI would be very close to the latest that TRI has experienced temps dipping into the 20s this late in the season. Looks like the latest that temps have dipped into the 20s is April 27th. Impressive cold. Man, looks frigid out there. Going to be a lot of plants with new foliage damaged by this. Sometimes I put tarps of things and wonder if it does any good. Right now, the tarps are covered with frost. Looks like this has been a freeze where temps have been sustained for several hours below freezing. Looks like TRI dropped from 36 to 29 in a matter of one hour just after midnight. Quick drop. We have one of the coldest temps in the region right now. The quick drop leaves me mildly suspicious (humidity soared about then as well) of the record, but looking out the window....looks rough(meaning very cold and has been that way for some time). We will likely have been below 30 for 6+ hours. Have to wonder if this will be tough on even trees in the forest which are hardy. I have seen that happen once several years ago. This is a bad freeze. One more night of this tonight, and then we might be done for the season...might be. Garden begins to go into the ground next week.- 86 replies
-
TRI is sitting at 26 which should break the record low of 28 set in 1944.
- 175 replies
-
Flurries just now. Crazy. April 21st. The side doors on the hoop house have been closed for the night.
- 175 replies
-
- 2
-
-
Was doing some initial digging into late fall and next winter. VERY EARLY but possibly a western ridge setting up shop later next fall or at least in the nation's mid-section. Not sure how that pans out here, but we will see. I haven't really looked at ENSO stuff yet. May swing by later this week with some early ideas. Again, this thread is very much speculation at this range. We sort of fine tune as we get closer. So, the end of the thread is usually quite accurate in my experience. For now, summer awaits...even as the last snowflakes fall on Mt Leconte and the Plateau today. With it being late April now, we only have about five-ish more months until the next season's first snowflakes fly in higher elevations.
-
Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Carvers Gap replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Freeze watches have been hoisted for Wednesday night(not tonight....). For gardeners and farmers, very important to keep a close eye on things. 30 is the forecast low at TRI. Wouldn't be surprised to see it a bit lower if things go really calm. The amount of time by freezing is critical. Fingers crossed this doesn't get worse as things are in bloom and all of the new foliage. This fits a recent pattern(though certainly not uncommon) of late freezes, even after things make a turn towards spring. Some years, we turn the corner at lower elevations and no worries. Past two seasons have been a pain in the neck.- 86 replies