Jump to content

Carvers Gap

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,659

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    @nrgjeff, you wake up yet? That was a late night for you Jayhawk's fans!
  2. Carvers Gap
    What a comeback!!!!
  3. Carvers Gap
    You all have done really well. It is either feast or famine here. March was very dry at TRI. I have found it is very tough to make-up for a dry month during spring. Just looking at the 12z GFS, this appears to be a year where the snows at higher elevations may not stop until late in the season. After several warm weeks, we may be getting ready to return to normal or below. My lettuce in my garden has been struggling due to warm temps during the afternoon and low ground moisture. Hoping that changes back to a more normal spring-like temp cycle during the next few weeks.
  4. Carvers Gap
    I bet he has gone radio silent for fear of a jinx!!! LOL. Anyway, @nrgjeff, good luck to your Jayhawks tonight. They will be who I am pulling for.
  5. Carvers Gap
    More wind this afternoon. Just unreal. People in WY complain that it never stops on the high prairies there.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, it has been steady. Windy here yet again today. Getting slightly worried about a summer which might turn dry, especially early.
  7. Carvers Gap
    Next time we see a La Nina show-up, it is probably worth discussing fire danger as well. There have been two fires in the same area this year, and then the Gatlinburg fire a few years back. I think all of those fires occurred during La Nina conditions. I think there are microclimates that tend to really dry out during those, specifically the Smokies and eastern side of the eastern TN River Valley. Add those high winds to a pattern where it is somewhat dry, and there are conditions for forest fires.
  8. Carvers Gap
    More strong winds this morning. I am not sure I can remember a time when the wind just blew for days on end at these levels.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Wind is absolutely howling IMBY this year, much more than yesterday. It is just a steady roar.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Looks like it damaged or destroyed ~100 homes/cabins. They are saying 5% containment, but likely feel the worst is behind them due to overnight rains. https://www.wbir.com/article/news/local/mayor-wears-valley-fire-about-5-percent-contained-consists-of-about-3700-acres/51-c7881c7b-a25d-47ca-b650-bc1600c9cc04
  11. Carvers Gap
    Anyone know how things are going on the west slope of the Smokies this AM? I am hoping they got plenty of rain.
  12. Carvers Gap
    I saw where stations around TRI are sending firefighters and equipment. You can see the plume on RadarScope.
  13. Carvers Gap
    Just saw a twitter report on WATE...that is a long, long fire line.
  14. Carvers Gap
    The fire in Wears Valley is now 1,000 acres with zero containment.
  15. Carvers Gap
    To go along with the severe threat, we have fires on the west slope of GSMNP in Wears Valley. They are being driven by high winds which are preceding the storms. Not good. I mentioned in the obs thread...we have had maybe 3 severe threats during the past 4-5 years which have included bad fires. This is the second fire in that area this year.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Looks like a mess. I saw on AshevilleWx that there was a link to one of the resort cams which shows the fire. Let's hope the high winds don't hit that fire before the rain does. During the Gatlinburg fire, the first line of rain died out and then the wind hit. An understatement on my part, we need the initial line to just pour down rain. For some reason we have been having combined fire and sever wx threads during the past 4-5 years, even during spring!
  17. Carvers Gap
    @Math/Metis this a mountain wave event tomorrow afternoon and night. It looks like the Smokies are looking at gusts up to 80mph.
  18. Carvers Gap
    I feel like the wind has ween howling for like two weeks. This is Wyoming everyday pretty much, but not here. It seems like nearly every afternoon we have been hitting gusts almost over 30mph. Sustained winds are around 15-20mph right now. Slight chance of snow showers/flurries tomorrow morning...
  19. Carvers Gap
    The wind yesterday was howling. We lost power for roughly twelve hours.
  20. Carvers Gap
    @PowellVolz, that is an amazing video that you posted on the VQ about the tornado that was in New Orleans. As @AMZ8990 notes, stormy day indeed.
  21. Carvers Gap
    Looks like very high winds in the mountains and foothills overnight.
  22. Carvers Gap
    Beware of using the Euro Weeklies during shoulder season, but they are not warm after this week. Quick warm-up after this weekend, and then looks like potential for prolonged cooler weather after that.
  23. Carvers Gap
    Fun story which I have shared before and also recently. On June 14th, I saw a "lower" elevation snow in Yellowstone. It was 5" of snow at 6,000'. That is not uncommon out there during June. We had beautiful weather for several days, and then winter storms packages were posted from the NWS. I could literally see the cold/snow roll in from the Madison Range. It was just a wall. I have also been in a meadow fishing in YNP when a lightning storm hit. It rolled in so quickly, we could barely get out of the meadow. It began to hail, and temps probably fell 20-30 degrees in about 30 minutes. Message for the day...wild weather swings can and do occur even here in E TN. That is by no means a certainty, but that makes weather fun. I will get a look at the Weeklies here in a bit. I don't foresee a warm spring, so enjoy these days. Looks like BN temps may return for the early part of April.
  24. Carvers Gap
    If anything, there is a significant signal for a couple of big mountain snow events. Our folks in western North Carolina may see some big numbers. Both the GFS and Euro at 12z reflect that. I would think the Plateau may not be done either.
  25. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, the weather is nice! I like it. The 12z Euro has 4-6" in the mountains for the weekend(this Saturday) along w/ snow showers in the valleys of NE TN. There is also a lower elevation event along the northern TN border in fantasy land - day9/10. Both of the biggest snows IMBY this season occurred after big warm-ups. The pattern this winter has been for big warm-ups followed by sharp cold snaps. Let's see if that continues into early spring. Now, we are just about on the outside edge of what climatology allows terms of accumulating snows at TRI. One of the things I learned out west, warm temps can be gone in 3-4 hours with a strong cold front. I would think it unlikely to see another valley snow greater than 2", but I would still put the chances for that between say 25-30%. There are a TON of systems coming out of the GOM and getting cut-off. Most of those will be cold rain. If we get a decent cold front to time with one of those, game on. Here at TRI, I have seen accumulating snows into the first week of April - rare but no without precedent. This year's patterns could yield a surprise. For now, I have been working in my garden, but I have not taken down the hoop house or cold frames. The weather on modeling right now is going to potentially give folks whiplash in terms of temps. Just nine days ago the wind chill was in the low single digits IMBY and snow on the ground.
×
×
  • Create New...